{"id":155281,"date":"2022-07-02T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-07-02T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=155281"},"modified":"2022-07-02T03:32:42","modified_gmt":"2022-07-02T10:32:42","slug":"dax-40-outside-down-bar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/dax-40-outside-down-bar\/","title":{"rendered":"DAX 40 outside down bar at 13000 big round number"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: DAX 40 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>DAX 40<\/strong> outside down bar at 13000 big round figure. The bulls failed to break out of the trend line and the inside-outside down pattern was sold off. It is a micro double bottom with March and looks bearish, but we are at prior support for the bulls. If the bulls can pause here and setup a High 1 or High 2 we might get a chance to test the highs later this year. You can see we are at the 50% mark of the pandemic lowest close and the bull runs highest close, so the measured move had finished for the bulls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DAX 40 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Monthly<\/em> DAX chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Outside-Down-Bar-at-13000-Big-Figure.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Outside-Down-Bar-at-13000-Big-Figure.jpg\" alt=\"DAX 40 Outside Down Bar at 13000 Big Round Number\" class=\"wp-image-155361\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Outside-Down-Bar-at-13000-Big-Figure.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Outside-Down-Bar-at-13000-Big-Figure-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Outside-Down-Bar-at-13000-Big-Figure-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Outside-Down-Bar-at-13000-Big-Figure-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Outside-Down-Bar-at-13000-Big-Figure-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>DAX 40 Outside Down Bar at 13000 Big Round Number<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/indices\/germany-30\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DAX 40 futures<\/a> was a bear surprise bar, an outside down bar at 13000 big round number. It has a small tail below it.<\/li><li>It is a micro double bottom with March and a pause at the pre-pandemic high. <\/li><li>The bulls see a micro double bottom and a pullback to the prior breakout point after the pandemic&#8217;s initial lows. They see we are at the bottom of a bear channel and expect bears to take profit here, expecting a reversal. They will likely scale in lower.<\/li><li>Bulls see last month as a sell climax as the biggest bear bar in the recent trend.<\/li><li>The bulls want a pause bar, an inside bar with a tail below for a micro double bottom and setup a High 1 buy on the monthly chart. <\/li><li>Bulls look left and see that the 5 previous times we crossed the 50-month MA, the bears exited so they will likely buy here again.<\/li><li>But is the context different?<\/li><li>The bears see a broad bear channel and a surprise bar late in the trend and might expect a measured move down from here.<\/li><li>The bears know we are likely always in short and want a follow-through bar. But there is something wrong with the trend. 2 bear bars, pause, bear bar pause &#8211; it is not big consecutive bear bars which tells us it is likely a leg in a trading range.<\/li><li>So if we are in a trading range where is the bottom? Perhaps we are at it. They know that the month following a push down to the 50-month moving average was reversed each time, so they are likely to scalp.<\/li><li>Reasonable to expect prices to go sideways to down here.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> DAX chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Double-Bottom-at-13000-Big-Figure.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Double-Bottom-at-13000-Big-Figure.jpg\" alt=\"DAX 40 Double Bottom at 13000 Big Figure\" class=\"wp-image-155364\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Double-Bottom-at-13000-Big-Figure.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Double-Bottom-at-13000-Big-Figure-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Double-Bottom-at-13000-Big-Figure-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Double-Bottom-at-13000-Big-Figure-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Double-Bottom-at-13000-Big-Figure-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>DAX 40 Double Bottom at 13000 Big Round Number<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/indices\/germany-30\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dax 40 futures<\/a> was a small bull doji at the 13000 big figure. It is a micro double bottom with last week and a potential double bottom with March 7<sup>th<\/sup>.<\/li><li>The bulls see a higher close than March and it could be a higher low major trend reversal. They know we failed to get a reversal last month and this second time might work.<\/li><li>They see the consecutive bear bars as a sell climax and the bottom of a trading range, so the math favors buying here. They want a follow-through buy signal like a High 1 or High 2 for a test up to the top of May.<\/li><li>They also see a possible wedge bottom and might scale in lower on an overshoot reversal swing.<\/li><li>Bears see a broad bear channel from January and now we are forming a trading range. They see the lower high major trend reversal in January and expected 2 legs down and we are in the second leg. <\/li><li>The bears would like to get a harmonic retracement on the green line of the same distance but that might be too far.<\/li><li>They see the failed breakout by the bulls, a bull trap and collapse from the breakout point as a sign to keep selling above prior bars. The bears might expect a measured move from the consecutive bear bars last few weeks which would bring us new lows for the year.<\/li><li>It is reasonable to expect sideways to down-trading from here.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: DAX 40 Futures DAX 40 outside down bar at 13000 big round figure. The bulls failed to break out of the trend line and the inside-outside down pattern was sold off. It is a micro double bottom with March and looks bearish, but we are at prior support for the bulls. If the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10339,"featured_media":155361,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1698,136],"tags":[1700,337,339],"class_list":["post-155281","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-dax-40","category-analysis","tag-dax-40","tag-double-bottom","tag-outside-down","entry","override","shadow"],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/DAX-40-Outside-Down-Bar-at-13000-Big-Figure.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Timothy","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/timfairweathercagmail-com\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155281","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10339"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=155281"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155281\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/155361"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=155281"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=155281"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=155281"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}