{"id":158586,"date":"2022-08-20T02:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-08-20T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=158586"},"modified":"2022-08-20T02:48:12","modified_gmt":"2022-08-20T09:48:12","slug":"dax-40-bear-reversal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/dax-40-bear-reversal\/","title":{"rendered":"DAX 40 Bear Reversal at the Moving Average"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: DAX 40 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>DAX 40<\/strong> bear reversal at the moving average. It&#8217;s a tight bull channel with 4 consecutive bull bars so it&#8217;s not a high probability sell below, but bears have been selling the moving average and making money. We are also at a measured move target on the weekly, although short of two targets on the daily so we might get another leg up before reversing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DAX 40 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> DAX chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Bear-Reversal-at-the-Moving-Average.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Bear-Reversal-at-the-Moving-Average.jpg\" alt=\"DAX 40 Bear Reversal at the Moving Average\" class=\"wp-image-158648\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Bear-Reversal-at-the-Moving-Average.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Bear-Reversal-at-the-Moving-Average-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Bear-Reversal-at-the-Moving-Average-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Bear-Reversal-at-the-Moving-Average-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Bear-Reversal-at-the-Moving-Average-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>DAX 40 Bear Reversal at the Moving Average<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/indices\/germany-30-futures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DAX 40 futures<\/a> on the weekly chart was a big bear bar closing near its low so we might gap down on Monday. <\/li><li>It&#8217;s a bear reversal at the moving average, but it didn&#8217;t go below a prior bar so it&#8217;s not yet as bearish as it could be.<\/li><li>For the bulls, it&#8217;s a 7-bar bull micro channel &#8211; a channel without a pullback. So it&#8217;s also a spike and could lead to a channel up.<\/li><li>The bulls see a double bottom with March and April, and want a breakout above the May high for a measured-move back up to January.<\/li><li>The bears see a broad bear channel and we&#8217;re selling off each time we touch the 20-week moving average (MA), so they expected to sell here last week.<\/li><li>Next week, if we trade below this week, would be a Low 1 sell signal in a bear trend and at the moving average. Although it&#8217;s a tight bull channel, so a higher probability short would be a Low 2 at the moving average.<\/li><li>For the bulls, it&#8217;s a pullback and they will look to buy below at the Low 1 for a second leg up. We just touched one of the measured move targets so we might pull back here. <\/li><li>There is another measured move target above, which would be reasonable, allowing the second leg after such a strong bull move.<\/li><li>We&#8217;re in a trading range so there are reasonable cases for buying and selling and generally if traders look to scale in and trade small, they can use trade management to make money.<\/li><li>It&#8217;s a decent sell signal for the bears and we might trade below next week. If the bears can get a follow-through bar &#8211; consecutive big bear bars closing on their lows, then it would be back to always in short.<\/li><li>If the bulls can buy below and get a High 1 or outside up bar, then that increases the chance of going up to the top of the March range.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> DAX chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Failed-Breakout-Above-a-Wedge-Top.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Failed-Breakout-Above-a-Wedge-Top.jpg\" alt=\"DAX 40 Failed Breakout Above a Wedge-Top\" class=\"wp-image-158653\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Failed-Breakout-Above-a-Wedge-Top.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Failed-Breakout-Above-a-Wedge-Top-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Failed-Breakout-Above-a-Wedge-Top-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Failed-Breakout-Above-a-Wedge-Top-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Failed-Breakout-Above-a-Wedge-Top-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>DAX 40 Failed Breakout Above a Wedge-Top<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/indices\/germany-30-futures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DAX 40 futures<\/a> on the daily chart was a bear bar closing on its low so we might gap down on Monday.<\/li><li>For the bulls, it&#8217;s a two-legged pullback in a small pullback bull trend. Bulls will look to buy a High 1 or High 2 near the moving average.<\/li><li>For the bears, it&#8217;s a failed breakout above a wedge top. They are expecting two legs sideways to down.<\/li><li>If you&#8217;re confused, you are probably in a trading range. We are right in the middle of the past 6 months of trading so the probability is 50% at best.<\/li><li>The bulls hit a measured move target on the weekly chart but missed both measured move targets on the daily chart. We might need to get back there before traders decide to move down.<\/li><li>Although it&#8217;s a bear reversal, the bear bars are neither consecutive nor big, so it is not as bearish as they could be.<\/li><li>The bears want a follow-through bar and a good close on Tuesday, for a chance at a stronger leg down.<\/li><li>Bulls want a reversal bar around the moving average to make the bears give up and look to get to their targets above. There is a chance both sides will be disappointed.<\/li><li>Bears could get a surprise bar with no follow-through, forcing them to sell too low. Bulls might get consecutive bull dojis, making it tough to buy. Expect sideways next week.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: DAX 40 Futures DAX 40 bear reversal at the moving average. It&#8217;s a tight bull channel with 4 consecutive bull bars so it&#8217;s not a high probability sell below, but bears have been selling the moving average and making money. We are also at a measured move target on the weekly, although short [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10339,"featured_media":158648,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1698,136],"tags":[1700,1364],"class_list":{"0":"post-158586","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-dax-40","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-dax-40","10":"tag-reversal","11":"entry","12":"override","13":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/DAX-40-Bear-Reversal-at-the-Moving-Average.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Timothy","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/timfairweathercagmail-com\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/158586","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10339"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=158586"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/158586\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/158648"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=158586"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=158586"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=158586"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}