{"id":160600,"date":"2022-09-18T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-09-18T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=160600"},"modified":"2022-09-18T01:33:20","modified_gmt":"2022-09-18T08:33:20","slug":"eurusd-testing-bear-trend-line","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/eurusd-testing-bear-trend-line\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD Weak Bear Bar after Testing Bear Trend Line"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: EURUSD Forex<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>EURUSD <\/strong>Forex was a weak bear bar after testing bear trend line, with tail above and below. The bulls failed to create a consecutive bull bar on the weekly chart. The bulls hope that this week was simply a pullback and want at least a small second leg sideways to up, closing above the bear trend line. The bears will need to create a follow-through bear bar to increase the odds of the EURUSD trading lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD Forex market <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> EURUSD chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-Following-Test-of-Bear-Trendline.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-Following-Test-of-Bear-Trendline-680x383.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Forex Weekly Chart Pullback after Testing Bear Trend Line\" class=\"wp-image-160741\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-Following-Test-of-Bear-Trendline-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-Following-Test-of-Bear-Trendline-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-Following-Test-of-Bear-Trendline-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-Following-Test-of-Bear-Trendline-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-Following-Test-of-Bear-Trendline.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>This week\u2019s candlestick on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/currencies\/eur-usd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly EURUSD Forex chart<\/a>\u00a0was a bear bar with prominent tails above and below.\u00a0<\/li><li>Last week, we said that the EURUSD slightly favor sideways to up and traders will be watching if the bulls can create sustained follow-through buying. If they can, it can lead to a larger 2-legged sideways to up pullback lasting many weeks.<\/li><li>This week traded higher but reversed into a bear bar but closed off the low.<\/li><li>The bears want a strong breakout below the 2017 low, and a measured move down based on the height of the 7-year trading range. This will take them to the year 2000 low.<\/li><li>The move down is in a tight bear channel. That means strong bears.\u00a0<\/li><li>The bears got the second leg sideways to down in August after the recent pullback. However, they did not get follow-through selling below July low.<\/li><li>This week, the bears manage to create a reversal lower from the bear trend line. They want a retest of Sept 6 low from a double top bear flag (Aug 10 and Sept 12).<\/li><li>The bears will need to create a follow-through bear bar to increase the odds of the EURUSD trading lower.<\/li><li>The bulls hope that the recent 4-week tight trading range pullback is the final flag of the move down which started in February 2022. They want a failed breakout below the 7-year trading range.\u00a0<\/li><li>They want a reversal higher from a wedge bottom (Mar 4, May 13 and July 14) and a double bottom with the July low (July 14 and Sept 6).<\/li><li>The bulls also have a micro wedge (July 14, Aug 23 and Sept 6).<\/li><li>However, the bulls failed to get follow-through buying again this week, a recurring theme since the selloff started in 2021.<\/li><li>The bulls hope that this week was simply a pullback and wants at least a small second leg sideways to up closing above the bear trend line.<\/li><li>Since this week was a bear bar, it is a sell signal bar for next week. However, the prominent tail below makes it a slightly weaker sell signal bar.<\/li><li>Traders will be monitoring if the bears get a follow-through bear bar next week or fail to do so. If they get that, the odds of a retest of Sept 6 low and a breakout attempt increases.<\/li><li>For now, the EURUSD may still be the sideways to up pullback phase.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> EURUSD chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Daily-Sideways-Trading-Range.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Daily-Sideways-Trading-Range-680x383.png\" alt=\"EUSUD Forex Daily Chart Sideways Trading Range\" class=\"wp-image-160744\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Daily-Sideways-Trading-Range-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Daily-Sideways-Trading-Range-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Daily-Sideways-Trading-Range-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Daily-Sideways-Trading-Range-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Daily-Sideways-Trading-Range.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The EURUSD traded higher on Monday but did not close above the bear trend line. Tuesday sold off below the 20-day exponential moving average followed by sideways trading from Wednesday to Friday.<\/li><li>Last week, we said that odds slightly favor sideways to up. If the EURUSD reverses lower from a double top bear flag (Aug 31 and Sept 9) breaking below Sept 6 low, odds are it would not go far and would reverse higher within a couple of weeks.<\/li><li>The bulls want a failed breakout below the 7-year trading range.<\/li><li>They hope that the recent 4-week tight trading range pullback is the final flag of the move down which started in February.&nbsp;<\/li><li>The bulls want a reversal higher from a wedge bottom (Mar 4, May 13 and July 14) and a double bottom with the July low (July 14 and August 23).<\/li><li>The bulls also have a smaller wedge (July 14, Aug 23 and Sept 6).<\/li><li>They need to create strong consecutive bull bars closing near their highs breaking far above the bear trend line to increase the odds of a test of the August 10 high.<\/li><li>The bears want a continuation down and a measured move down based on the height of the 7-year trading range. That would take them to the year 2000 low.<\/li><li>They got a second leg sideways to down testing July low and want a breakout and a measured move down.<\/li><li>However, they have not been able to create follow-through selling below the July low.<\/li><li>The bears want another leg lower following Tuesday\u2019s strong leg down re-testing Sept low.<\/li><li>While the EURUSD may still trade lower, the selling has been climactic and relentless since it started in Jan 2021. Odds favor a larger 2-legged sideways to up pullback lasting many weeks before the EURUSD trades much lower.<\/li><li>If the EURUSD reverses lower from a double top bear flag (Aug 10 and Sept 12) breaking below Sept 6 low, odds are it would not go too far and would reverse higher within a couple of weeks.<\/li><li>For now, odds slightly favor the EURUSD to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The EURUSD Forex was a weak bear bar with tail above and below. The bulls failed to create a consecutive bull bar on the weekly chart. The bulls hope that this week was simply a pullback and wants at least a small second leg sideways to up closing above the bear trend line. The bears will need to create a follow-through bear bar to increase the odds of the EURUSD trading lower.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":160741,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1842,136],"tags":[281],"class_list":{"0":"post-160600","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-forex","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-eurusd-forex","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-Following-Test-of-Bear-Trendline.png","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160600","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=160600"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160600\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/160741"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=160600"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=160600"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=160600"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}