{"id":179216,"date":"2023-05-27T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-05-27T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=179216"},"modified":"2023-05-27T03:17:32","modified_gmt":"2023-05-27T10:17:32","slug":"ftse-100-big-bear-breakout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/ftse-100-big-bear-breakout\/","title":{"rendered":"FTSE 100 Big Bear Breakout of Inside Bar at  MA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: FTSE 100 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The\u00a0<strong>FTSE futures <\/strong>market moved down last week with a FTSE 100 big bear breakout of an inside bar. We are at a 50% pullback of the prior bull leg sitting on the moving average (MA) and at the prior high of the 18-month trading range. We might need to go sideways here while traders decide on the next move. It is a sell signal for next week, but it is lower down in the range. And it is a big bull bar, so not a great buy either.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">FTSE 100 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> FTSE chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bear-Breakout-of-an-Inside-Bar-at-the-MA.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bear-Breakout-of-an-Inside-Bar-at-the-MA.jpg\" alt=\"FTSE 100 Big Bear Breakout of an Inside Bar at the MA\" class=\"wp-image-179286\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bear-Breakout-of-an-Inside-Bar-at-the-MA.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bear-Breakout-of-an-Inside-Bar-at-the-MA-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bear-Breakout-of-an-Inside-Bar-at-the-MA-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bear-Breakout-of-an-Inside-Bar-at-the-MA-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bear-Breakout-of-an-Inside-Bar-at-the-MA-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">FTSE 100 Bear Breakout of an Inside Bar at the MA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ice.com\/products\/38716764\/FTSE-100-Index-Future\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">FTSE 100 futures<\/a> was a bear breakout, a big bear bar closing below its midpoint with tails above and below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It is the 5<sup>th<\/sup> consecutive bear bar and the second leg.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>We broke strongly below last week&#8217;s bear bar, so we are likely always in short. Most traders should be short or flat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>We just closed an open bull gap from March with the tail but did not close the body gap. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Gaps closing are a sign of trading range price action or the end of a trend.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see an 18-month trading range breakout, a higher high, and a deep pullback to 50% of that leg. They see it as a lower high and this second leg having two legs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The leg up from March was strong enough to expect a second leg, but it hasn&#8217;t started yet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>But 5 bear bars are disappointing, so we can expect sellers above at the April high and maybe even beforehand.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls will scale in above the next bull bar and likely get out at the midpoint of the two entries or the Low 1 on April 17<sup>th<\/sup>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see a failed breakout above the trading range and now a lower high. It is possibly a head and shoulders top, and we just printed the right shoulder.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>An Head &amp; Shoulders top (HST) is also a Lower High Major Trend Reversal (LH MTR). Traders will expect two legs sideways to down if that is the case. We are likely in the second leg.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Most of the bar is below the moving average, so likely sellers are above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls want a bull bar next week to buy above, a High 2 and a reasonable long swing entry at the MA in a bull trend.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Because this bar is larger than the others, it is a type of climax, and some traders will expect profit-taking. Bears need follow-through, a measured move down from the lower high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The prior week was a doji, so a bad sell signal. We might go up early next week to let those trapped traders out before moving down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>March 20<sup>th<\/sup> was a reasonable bar to sell above in a bear spike, and they got trapped, so we expected buying at that high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Also, remember the prior week was an inside bar, so breakouts of inside bars have a high failure rate. Likely, we pull back to the low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It was reasonable for bulls to buy at the MA, so we should get back there to let them out.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Expect sideways to down next week, with a pullback of the bear breakout<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> FTSE chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bull-Outside-Bar-Open-Bear-Gaps-Above.jpg\" alt=\"FTSE 100 Bull Outside Bar, Open Bear Gaps Above\" class=\"wp-image-179289\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bull-Outside-Bar-Open-Bear-Gaps-Above.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bull-Outside-Bar-Open-Bear-Gaps-Above-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bull-Outside-Bar-Open-Bear-Gaps-Above-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bull-Outside-Bar-Open-Bear-Gaps-Above-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bull-Outside-Bar-Open-Bear-Gaps-Above-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">FTSE 100 Bull Outside Bar, Open Bear Gaps Above<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ice.com\/products\/38716764\/FTSE-100-Index-Future\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">FTSE 100 futures<\/a> was a bull outside bar on Friday which failed to close above Thursday.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tuesday was also an outside up bar, but it closed below, so there is resistance underneath that bar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears will sell the midpoint of Wednesday&#8217;s big climax bar and the middle of the open gap. It is a bear breakout on a higher timeframe.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>We expected the market to test the price on March 22<sup>nd<\/sup> as it was a double top (DT) bear flag that failed and trapped bears. The bull leg was strong, but it was just a test of the bear BO point above &#8211; a lower high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>We are in the middle of the range, so the probability is likely 50% for either direction and we will likely enter a limit-order environment next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see a two-legged pullback after a strong leg up. They want a second leg symmetrical to the first.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>But the pullback has too many bars now. An endless pullback, disappointment and trading range price action.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see the wedge bottom reversal failed, and we broke below &#8211; they want a measured move down &#8211; back to the inside bar that set off the initial bull leg.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Consecutive bear bars close below the MA &#8211; so we are likely always in short and STC. Traders will expect a second leg &#8211; maybe even two legs down because of the surprising strength.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls want it to be a sell climax and reversal, maybe a micro DB on the daily chart.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>But the bears have two open gaps now, which might keep us heading down to support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Expect sideways to down next week.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: FTSE 100 Futures The\u00a0FTSE futures market moved down last week with a FTSE 100 big bear breakout of an inside bar. We are at a 50% pullback of the prior bull leg sitting on the moving average (MA) and at the prior high of the 18-month trading range. We might need to go [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10339,"featured_media":179286,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1697,136],"tags":[1861,1699,1865],"class_list":{"0":"post-179216","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ftse-100","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-bear-breakout","10":"tag-ftse-100","11":"tag-inside-bar","12":"entry","13":"override","14":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/FTSE-100-Bear-Breakout-of-an-Inside-Bar-at-the-MA.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Timothy","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/timfairweathercagmail-com\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179216","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10339"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=179216"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179216\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/179286"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=179216"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=179216"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=179216"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}