{"id":191724,"date":"2023-10-08T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2023-10-08T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=191724"},"modified":"2023-10-08T07:01:57","modified_gmt":"2023-10-08T14:01:57","slug":"crude-oil-strong-pullback","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/crude-oil-strong-pullback\/","title":{"rendered":"Crude Oil Strong Pullback"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The weekly chart formed a Crude Oil strong pullback testing the breakout point (April high; trading range high) and the 20-week EMA. The bulls want the 20-week EMA to act as a support and a reversal up from a higher low. The bears want a reversal down from a large double-top bear flag with the November 2022 high and a parabolic wedge (Jul 13, Aug 10, and Sept 28).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Crude oil futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-PB-Testing-20-Week-EMA-BO-Point.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-PB-Testing-20-Week-EMA-BO-Point-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Weekly: PB Testing 20-Week EMA &amp; BO Point, Crude Oil Strong Pullback\" class=\"wp-image-191852\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-PB-Testing-20-Week-EMA-BO-Point-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-PB-Testing-20-Week-EMA-BO-Point-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-PB-Testing-20-Week-EMA-BO-Point-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-PB-Testing-20-Week-EMA-BO-Point-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-PB-Testing-20-Week-EMA-BO-Point.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This week\u2019s candlestick on the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/crude-oil-streaming-chart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly Crude Oil chart<\/a>&nbsp;was a big bear bar closing in the lower half of the candlestick.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/crude-oil-climactic-rally\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/crude-oil-climactic-rally\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Previously<\/a>, we said that while the odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up phase, the move up since June has lasted a long time and is slightly climactic. A minor pullback can begin at any moment.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The pullback has begun this week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears want a reversal down from a large double-top bear flag with the November 2022 high and a parabolic wedge (Jul 13, Aug 10, and Sept 28).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They hope that the strong move up is simply a buy vacuum and a bull leg within a larger trading range.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a strong bear leg to retest the trading range low (May low) to begin.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This week, they got a big bear bar testing the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Next week, they will need to create follow-through selling, closing below the 20-week EMA to increase the odds of a deeper pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Previously, the bulls have had a tight bull channel since June. That means strong bulls.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the pullback this week simply as a test of the breakout point (trading range high; April high).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the 20-week EMA to act as a support and a reversal up from a higher low, completing the larger wedge pattern with the first two legs being August 10 and September 28.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>At the very least, they expect at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the leg extreme high (Sept 28).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They hope to get a measured move based on the height of the 41-week trading range, which will take them to around $103.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since this week\u2019s candlestick was a big bear bar closing in the lower half, it is a sell bar for next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to down pullback phase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will see if the bears can create follow-through selling, closing below the 20-week EMA. Or will the market trade slightly lower, but stall around the 20-week EMA area?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bear trend lines becoming progressively less steep also indicates a loss of momentum for the bears.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market likely has flipped into Always In Long.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-PB-but-Bear-Spike.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-PB-but-Bear-Spike-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Daily: PB but Bear Spike\" class=\"wp-image-191855\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-PB-but-Bear-Spike-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-PB-but-Bear-Spike-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-PB-but-Bear-Spike-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-PB-but-Bear-Spike-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-PB-but-Bear-Spike.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The market traded lower for the week, closing far below the 20-day EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Previously, we said that while the market continues to slightly favor sideways to up, the recent move up is slightly climactic and has lasted a long time. A minor pullback can begin at any moment.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The pullback phase has begun and tested the April high which was the breakout point of the recent rally.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears want a reversal down from a large wedge pattern (Jul 13, Aug 10, and Sept 28, a smaller wedge (Sept 5, Sept 19, and Sept 28) and a final flag.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move down is strong in the form of a bear spike (strong bear bars with little overlap).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>That increases the odds of at least a small second leg sideways to down after a small pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears hope to get a spike and channel down and for the market to have flipped into Always In Short.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls got a strong rally from June in the form of a tight bull channel which lasted a long time.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They hope that the strong pullback this week is simply a sell vacuum test of the breakout point (April high).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the pullback to stall around the April high and form a higher low followed by another strong leg up, completing the larger wedge pattern with the first two legs being August 10 and September 28.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to down pullback phase, and for a second leg lower after a pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The pullback should last at least TBTL (Ten Bars, Two Legs).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the bears continue to create consecutive bear bars closing near their lows, it will increase the odds of the bear leg testing the May low to begin.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures The weekly chart formed a Crude Oil strong pullback testing the breakout point (April high; trading range high) and the 20-week EMA. The bulls want the 20-week EMA to act as a support and a reversal up from a higher low. The bears want a reversal down from a large [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":191852,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1892,136],"tags":[325,1362,1347],"class_list":["post-191724","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-crude-oil","category-analysis","tag-crude-oil-futures","tag-parabolic-wedge","tag-pullback","entry","override","shadow"],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-PB-Testing-20-Week-EMA-BO-Point.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/191724","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=191724"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/191724\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/191852"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=191724"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=191724"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=191724"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}