The Weekly<\/em> S&P 500 Emini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n![\"Emini](\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Emini-Weekly-Pullback-Test-of-Breakout-Point-680x383.jpg\" "\\"\\"")
<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n- This week\u2019s Emini candlestick <\/a>was a bear bar closing near its low with a small tail below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Last week<\/a>, we said that until the bears can create strong consecutive bear bars or a big reversal bar, odds continue to favor the market to remain in the sideways to up phase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- This week gapped lower at the open and closed down for the week, ending the 10-bar bull microchannel streak.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The bulls got a strong rally in the form of a 10-bar bull microchannel with bull bars closing near their highs. That means strong bulls.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The next target for the bulls is the all-time high. They want a strong breakout into new all-time high territory, hoping that it will lead to many months of sideways to up trading.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Usually, traders expect buyers below the first pullback from such a strong bull microchannel. Will it be the same this time? Or not because of the climactic nature of the rally?<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- If a two-legged pullback begins, the bulls want it to be sideways and shallow (with doji(s), bull bars and overlapping candlesticks), possibly forming a double bottom bull flag.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- If there is a deep pullback, they want a second leg sideways to up and the 20-week EMA to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The bears hope that the strong move is simply a buy-vacuum test of what they believe to be a 37-month trading range high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They want a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal (with the July 27 high) or a lower high major trend reversal (with the all-time high). <\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They also see a large wedge pattern (Feb 2, July 27, and December 28) and a micro wedge (Dec 14, Dec 20, and Dec 28).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The problem with the bear\u2019s case is that the rally is very strong. <\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They will need to create sustained follow-through selling to increase the odds of a deeper pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The next targets for the bears are the September 1 high and the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Since this week\u2019s candlestick is a bear bar closing near its low, it is a sell signal bar for next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- However, it is following a 10-bar bull microchannel which means strong bulls. <\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Traders would prefer a second entry (Low 2 sell setup) before they would be willing to sell more aggressively.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- For now, odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to down pullback phase. Traders will see if the bears can create a follow-through bear bar next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Odds slightly favor the pullback to be minor and the market to still be Always In Long.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
The Daily<\/em> S&P 500 Emini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n![\"Emini](\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Emini-Daily-TBTL-Pullback-or-20-Gap-Bar-Buy-Setup-680x383.jpg\" "\\"\\"")
<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n- The market traded lower for the week, testing the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Previously<\/a>, we said that while the market is becoming increasingly climactic until the bears can create strong bear bars, odds slightly favor the market to remain in the sideways to up phase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The bulls got a strong rally with several big gaps that remained open and in a tight bull channel.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They hope that the current rally will form a spike and channel which will last for many months after a pullback. <\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They want the 20-day EMA to act as support and form a 20-Gap-Bar buy setup. They want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Dec 20 and Jan 5) or a wedge bull flag (Dec 14, Dec 20, and Jan 5).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They want any pullback to be sideways and shallow (with doji(s), overlapping bars, bull bars and candlesticks with long tails below).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They see the current pullback as a test of the breakout point (July 27 high).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They want a resumption of the trend to retest the all-time high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The bears hope that the strong rally is simply a buy vacuum retest of what they believe to be a 37-month trading range high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They want a reversal down from a lower high major trend reversal (against the all-time high) and a large wedge pattern (Feb 2, July 27, and December 28).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They hope to get at least a TBTL (Ten Bars, Two Legs) pullback. They want at least a test of the September 1 high which was the prior breakout point.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The bears will need to create consecutive bear bars closing near their lows and trading far below the 20-day EMA to increase the odds of a deeper pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- For now, the buying pressure remains stronger (tight bull channel) as compared with the selling pressure (small pullback). <\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Traders see the current pullback as long overdue and within expectation. <\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to down pullback phase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Traders still expect the market to form at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the prior leg’s extreme high (Dec 28) after the pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The market remains Always In Long for now.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Trading room<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time each day in the BrooksPriceAction.com trading room<\/a>. We offer a 2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\nMarket analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
![\"Emini](\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Emini-Weekly-Pullback-Test-of-Breakout-Point.jpg\" "\\"\\"")
<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n- \n
- This week\u2019s Emini candlestick <\/a>was a bear bar closing near its low with a small tail below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Last week<\/a>, we said that until the bears can create strong consecutive bear bars or a big reversal bar, odds continue to favor the market to remain in the sideways to up phase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- This week gapped lower at the open and closed down for the week, ending the 10-bar bull microchannel streak.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The bulls got a strong rally in the form of a 10-bar bull microchannel with bull bars closing near their highs. That means strong bulls.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The next target for the bulls is the all-time high. They want a strong breakout into new all-time high territory, hoping that it will lead to many months of sideways to up trading.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Usually, traders expect buyers below the first pullback from such a strong bull microchannel. Will it be the same this time? Or not because of the climactic nature of the rally?<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- If a two-legged pullback begins, the bulls want it to be sideways and shallow (with doji(s), bull bars and overlapping candlesticks), possibly forming a double bottom bull flag.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- If there is a deep pullback, they want a second leg sideways to up and the 20-week EMA to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The bears hope that the strong move is simply a buy-vacuum test of what they believe to be a 37-month trading range high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They want a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal (with the July 27 high) or a lower high major trend reversal (with the all-time high). <\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They also see a large wedge pattern (Feb 2, July 27, and December 28) and a micro wedge (Dec 14, Dec 20, and Dec 28).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The problem with the bear\u2019s case is that the rally is very strong. <\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They will need to create sustained follow-through selling to increase the odds of a deeper pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The next targets for the bears are the September 1 high and the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Since this week\u2019s candlestick is a bear bar closing near its low, it is a sell signal bar for next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- However, it is following a 10-bar bull microchannel which means strong bulls. <\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Traders would prefer a second entry (Low 2 sell setup) before they would be willing to sell more aggressively.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- For now, odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to down pullback phase. Traders will see if the bears can create a follow-through bear bar next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Odds slightly favor the pullback to be minor and the market to still be Always In Long.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
The Daily<\/em> S&P 500 Emini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n- \n
- The market traded lower for the week, testing the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Previously<\/a>, we said that while the market is becoming increasingly climactic until the bears can create strong bear bars, odds slightly favor the market to remain in the sideways to up phase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The bulls got a strong rally with several big gaps that remained open and in a tight bull channel.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They hope that the current rally will form a spike and channel which will last for many months after a pullback. <\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They want the 20-day EMA to act as support and form a 20-Gap-Bar buy setup. They want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Dec 20 and Jan 5) or a wedge bull flag (Dec 14, Dec 20, and Jan 5).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They want any pullback to be sideways and shallow (with doji(s), overlapping bars, bull bars and candlesticks with long tails below).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They see the current pullback as a test of the breakout point (July 27 high).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They want a resumption of the trend to retest the all-time high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The bears hope that the strong rally is simply a buy vacuum retest of what they believe to be a 37-month trading range high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They want a reversal down from a lower high major trend reversal (against the all-time high) and a large wedge pattern (Feb 2, July 27, and December 28).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- They hope to get at least a TBTL (Ten Bars, Two Legs) pullback. They want at least a test of the September 1 high which was the prior breakout point.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The bears will need to create consecutive bear bars closing near their lows and trading far below the 20-day EMA to increase the odds of a deeper pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- For now, the buying pressure remains stronger (tight bull channel) as compared with the selling pressure (small pullback). <\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Traders see the current pullback as long overdue and within expectation. <\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to down pullback phase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Traders still expect the market to form at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the prior leg’s extreme high (Dec 28) after the pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The market remains Always In Long for now.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Trading room<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time each day in the BrooksPriceAction.com trading room<\/a>. We offer a 2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\nMarket analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
- Last week<\/a>, we said that until the bears can create strong consecutive bear bars or a big reversal bar, odds continue to favor the market to remain in the sideways to up phase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n