{"id":224817,"date":"2024-12-08T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-08T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=224817"},"modified":"2024-12-07T22:53:41","modified_gmt":"2024-12-08T06:53:41","slug":"weekly-eurusd-breakout-pullback","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/weekly-eurusd-breakout-pullback\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly EURUSD Breakout Pullback"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: EURUSD Forex<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The market formed a weekly EURUSD breakout pullback in the last 2 weeks. The bears want a retest of the trading range low followed by a strong breakout and measured move based on the height of the trading range. The bulls want a failed breakout and the trading range low to act as support followed by a retest of the middle of the trading range (around the 20-week EMA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD Forex market <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> EURUSD chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Weekly-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-Another-Leg-Up.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Weekly-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-Another-Leg-Up-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"EURUSD Weekly - BO Pullback, Bulls Want Another Leg Up, Weekly EURUSD Breakout Pullback\" class=\"wp-image-224951\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Weekly-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-Another-Leg-Up-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Weekly-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-Another-Leg-Up-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Weekly-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-Another-Leg-Up-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Weekly-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-Another-Leg-Up-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Weekly-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-Another-Leg-Up.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This\u00a0week\u2019s\u00a0candlestick on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/currencies\/eur-usd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly EURUSD Forex chart<\/a> was a doji bar closing in its upper half.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/eurusd-breakout-below-trading-range-low\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said the market may still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. Traders would see if the bulls could create a strong bull entry bar (a follow-through bull bar) or if the market would trade slightly higher but close with a bear body or a long tail above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market traded above last week\u2019s high but closed as a doji bar and has a lot of overlapping range with the previous week\u2019s candlestick.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Previously, the bears got a strong bear leg breaking below the trading range low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the last two weeks as a breakout pullback. They want a retest of the trading range low followed by a strong breakout and measured move based on the height of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Because of the strong leg down (from Sept), the bears expect to get (at least) a small sideways to down leg to retest the recent extreme low (Nov 22) after the pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want another leg down to complete the wedge pattern (the first two legs being Oct 23 and Nov 22).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see the move to the November 22 low as a sell vacuum and a bear leg within a trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a failed breakout and the trading range low to act as support followed by a retest of the middle of the trading range (around the 20-week EMA).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a large double bottom bull flag (Oct 3 and Nov 22).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While this week traded slightly higher, the bulls couldn&#8217;t get a strong entry bar and a follow-through bull bar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They hope this week was simply a pullback and want at least another sideways to up leg (a two-legged pullback) to retest near the 20-week EMA area.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades lower, they see it as a retest of the prior leg&#8217;s extreme low and want a higher low major trend reversal and a small double bottom with the November 22 low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to indicate that they are back in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since this week\u2019s candlestick is a doji bar, it is not a strong signal bar for next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, the market may still be in the sideways to up pullback phase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will see if the bulls can create another leg higher (a two-legged pullback) and close with a strong bull bar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or if the market will trade slightly higher but close with a bear body or a long tail above instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The prior bear leg was strong and in a tight bear channel. The odds still slightly favor at least a small sideways to down leg after the current pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The longer the bulls can maintain a sideways to up leg by creating strong bull bars (and bear bars with no follow-through selling), the more the odds will swing in favor of a failed breakout and the bull leg beginning.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Most breakouts from trading ranges fail and odds favor the trading range to continue.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is trading around the lower third of the trading range which can be the buy zone of trading range traders.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The EURUSD is in a 108-week trading range. (Trading range high: July 2023, low: October 2023).\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) within a trading range until a\u00a0breakout with follow-through selling\/buying.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> EURUSD chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Daily-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-3-or-4-Legged-Pullback.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Daily-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-3-or-4-Legged-Pullback-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"EURUSD Daily - BO Pullback, Bulls Want 3- or 4-Legged Pullback\" class=\"wp-image-224954\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Daily-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-3-or-4-Legged-Pullback-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Daily-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-3-or-4-Legged-Pullback-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Daily-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-3-or-4-Legged-Pullback-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Daily-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-3-or-4-Legged-Pullback-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Daily-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-3-or-4-Legged-Pullback.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The EURUSD traded lower on Monday but lacked follow-through selling. The market then traded sideways to up for the week. Friday traded higher but closed as a bear bar with prominent tails, closing below the 20-day EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/eurusd-breakout-below-the-trading-range\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Previously<\/a>, we said that the move down while strong, may still only be a sell vacuum within a trading range. Most breakouts from trading ranges fail and odds favor the trading range to continue. The odds favor at least a small second leg sideways to down after a pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see the move down to the November 22 low as a sell vacuum and a bear leg testing the trading range low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a large double bottom bull flag (Oct 3 and Nov 22) and a parabolic wedge (Nov 6, Nov 14, and Nov 22) to the middle of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a failed breakout and hope that the trading range low will act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades lower, they want a higher low major trend reversal and a double bottom with the November 22 low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs trading far above the 20-day EMA to indicate that they are back in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Previously, the bears got a strong second leg sideways to down breaking below the trading range low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move down was in a tight bear channel. That means strong bears.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the current move as a breakout pullback (a two- or three-legged pullback). They want a retest of the trading range low followed by a breakout and a measured move down based on the height of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears expect to get at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the recent leg extreme low (Nov 22), even if it only forms a higher low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the 20-day EMA or the bear trend line to act as resistance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So far, the pullback has the shape of a double top bear flag (Nov 29 and Dec 6). Some pullbacks can have 3 pushes or more (a wedge bear flag or Low 4).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Because of the strong move down, odds slightly favor at least a small sideways to down leg to retest the November 22 low after the pullback, even if it forms a higher low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bulls can create another leg up, completing the wedge bear flag (with the first two legs being Nov 29 and Dec 6).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market stall around the 20-day EMA or the bear trend line followed by a retest of the November 22 low within a few weeks?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The low of the large trading range can be the buy zone of trading range traders.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move down while strong, may still only be a sell vacuum within a trading range. Most breakouts from trading ranges fail and odds favor the trading range to continue.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will continue to\u00a0BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) within a trading range until\u00a0a\u00a0breakout with follow-through selling\/buying.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: EURUSD Forex The market formed a weekly EURUSD breakout pullback in the last 2 weeks. The bears want a retest of the trading range low followed by a strong breakout and measured move based on the height of the trading range. The bulls want a failed breakout and the trading range low to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":224951,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1842,136],"tags":[281],"class_list":{"0":"post-224817","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-forex","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-eurusd-forex","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/EURUSD-Weekly-BO-Pullback-Bulls-Want-Another-Leg-Up.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224817","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=224817"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224817\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/224951"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=224817"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=224817"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=224817"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}