{"id":235974,"date":"2025-05-04T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-04T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=235974"},"modified":"2025-05-03T11:38:23","modified_gmt":"2025-05-03T18:38:23","slug":"monthly-eurusd-bull-breakout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/monthly-eurusd-bull-breakout\/","title":{"rendered":"Monthly EURUSD Bull Breakout"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: EURUSD Forex<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The market formed a monthly EURUSD bull breakout above the trading range. The bulls must create a follow-through bull bar in May to increase the odds of a successful breakout. The bears want a failed breakout followed by a retest of the middle of the trading range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD Forex market <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Monthly<\/em> EURUSD Forex chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Monthly-Bulls-Need-Follow-through-Buying.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Monthly-Bulls-Need-Follow-through-Buying-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"EURUSD Monthly - Bulls Need Follow-through Buying, Monthly EURUSD Bulls Breakout\" class=\"wp-image-236117\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Monthly-Bulls-Need-Follow-through-Buying-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Monthly-Bulls-Need-Follow-through-Buying-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Monthly-Bulls-Need-Follow-through-Buying-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Monthly-Bulls-Need-Follow-through-Buying-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Monthly-Bulls-Need-Follow-through-Buying.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The April monthly EURUSD candlestick was a big bull bar closing in its upper half with a long tail above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/eurusd-retest-of-the-trading-range-high\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last month<\/a>, we said traders would see if the bulls could get a strong follow-through bull bar in April, or if the market would stall near the trading range high area and close the April candlestick with a long tail above or a bear body instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls got a strong follow-through bull bar breaking above the trading range. The long tail above the candlestick indicates the bulls are not as strong as they hope to be.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a strong breakout above the trading range followed by a measured move based on the height of the trading range which will take the market to the 2021 high area.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create a follow-through bull bar in May to increase the odds of a successful breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see the current move as a bull leg and a buy vacuum test of the trading range high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a failed breakout followed by a retest of the middle of the trading range (around the 20-month EMA).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create strong bear bars to show they are back in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So far, the bulls have a breakout above the top of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>As strong as the move is, it could still be a bull leg and a buy vacuum within the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Markets have inertia. Most breakouts from trading ranges fail and odds slightly favor the trading range to continue.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>However, if the bulls can create follow-through buying, that would increase the odds of higher prices and possibly a measured move-up.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bulls can create a follow-through bull bar in May.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market form an inside bar or a bear bar closing near its low and trading back into the trading range instead?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> EURUSD chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-or-Failed-Breakout.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-or-Failed-Breakout-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"EURUSD Weekly - Pullback or Failed Breakout\" class=\"wp-image-236120\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-or-Failed-Breakout-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-or-Failed-Breakout-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-or-Failed-Breakout-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-or-Failed-Breakout-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-or-Failed-Breakout.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This\u00a0week\u2019s\u00a0candlestick on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/currencies\/eur-usd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly EURUSD Forex chart<\/a> was a bear bar closing in its lower half with a small tail below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/eurusd-bears-want-a-failed-breakout\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said traders would see if the bears could create a strong bear entry bar, or if the market would trade slightly lower, but lack follow-through selling, closing with a long tail or a bull body instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears got a small bear entry bar. They see the recent rally as a large 2-legged bull leg and a buy vacuum test of the trading range high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a failed breakout followed by a retest of the middle of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a wedge pattern (Apr 3, Apr 11, and Apr 21).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create more follow-through selling to increase the odds of a failed breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, they want it to form a lower high or a double top with the April 21 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls want a strong breakout followed by a measured move based on the height of the trading range. That would take the market to the 2021 high area.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the current pullback as a test of the breakout point.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the pullback to be weak, sideways, and lacking in follow-through selling (overlapping candlesticks, doji(s), bull bars, long tails below candlesticks).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the July and August\/September highs to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create sustained follow-through buying to increase the odds of a measured move-up.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move up (since the February 28 low) is in a tight bull channel with big bull bars and relatively small pullbacks which indicates stronger buying pressure.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Most breakouts from trading ranges fail. Markets have inertia and tend to continue what they have been doing.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>That means trading ranges (and trends) are resistant to change and tend to continue.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will see if the bears can create follow-through selling over the next few weeks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the bears can create strong consecutive bear bars back into the trading range, the odds of a failed breakout and the bear leg beginning will increase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the pullback phase lack follow-through selling, trading sideways with long tails below candlesticks or bull bodies instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the bulls can create strong follow-through buying above the trading range, the odds of a successful breakout and a measured move will increase.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: EURUSD Forex The market formed a monthly EURUSD bull breakout above the trading range. The bulls must create a follow-through bull bar in May to increase the odds of a successful breakout. The bears want a failed breakout followed by a retest of the middle of the trading range. EURUSD Forex market The [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":236120,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1842,136],"tags":[281],"class_list":{"0":"post-235974","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-forex","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-eurusd-forex","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/EURUSD-Weekly-Pullback-or-Failed-Breakout.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/235974","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=235974"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/235974\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/236120"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=235974"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=235974"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=235974"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}