{"id":240813,"date":"2025-06-15T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-15T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=240813"},"modified":"2025-06-15T02:00:33","modified_gmt":"2025-06-15T09:00:33","slug":"eurusd-bulls-want-a-strong-breakout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/eurusd-bulls-want-a-strong-breakout\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD Bulls Want a Strong Breakout"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: EURUSD Forex<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The EURUSD bulls want a strong breakout above the April 21 high. They must create strong follow-through buying over the next few weeks to increase the odds of a measured move up. The bears want a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal and a wedge pattern (Mar 18, Apr 21, and Jun 12).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> EURUSD chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Weekly-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Weekly-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"EURUSD Weekly - Bulls Want Strong BO, Bears Want HH MTR, EURUSD Bulls Want a Strong Breakout\" class=\"wp-image-241037\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Weekly-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Weekly-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Weekly-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Weekly-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Weekly-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This\u00a0week\u2019s candlestick on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/currencies\/eur-usd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly EURUSD Forex chart<\/a> was a bull bar closing in its upper half with a prominent tail above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/eurusd-lower-high-major-trend-reversal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said traders would see if the bears could create a strong bear entry bar, or if the follow-through selling would be weak and the candlestick close with a long tail below or with a bull body instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears could not create a bear entry bar, and the market traded higher to retest the April 21 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the current move as a retest of the April 21 high and want a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal and a wedge pattern (Mar 18, Apr 21, and Jun 12).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a failed breakout followed by a retest of the middle of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create strong bear bars with sustained follow-through selling to show they are back in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls got a retest of the April 21 high and want a strong breakout and a measured move based on the height of the trading range. That would take the market to the 2021 high area.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want another big leg up to complete the wedge pattern, with the first two legs being March 18 and April 21. The third leg is currently underway.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market traded above the April 21 high this week but closed below it with a long tail above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls must create a strong breakout above the April 21 high with follow-through buying over the next few weeks to increase the odds of a measured move up.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move up (Jun 12) is in a tight bull channel with stronger buying pressure (big bull bars, consecutive bull bars) as compared to the weaker selling pressure (bear bars with limited follow-through selling).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders expect a retest of the April 21 high. It has done so.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The long tail above this week\u2019s candlestick indicates some selling activity (albeit not strong yet) above the prior swing high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Most breakouts from trading ranges fail. Markets have inertia and tend to continue what they have been doing.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>That means trading ranges (and trends) are resistant to change and tend to continue.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls must create strong follow-through buying breaking above the April 21 high to increase the odds of a successful breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the move lacks strong follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, doji(s), inside bars, long tails above candlesticks), the odds of a higher high major trend reversal or a double top will increase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bulls can create more follow-through buying trading above the April 21 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the follow-through buying be weak and the market stall around the April 21 high instead?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> EURUSD chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Daily-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Daily-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"EURUSD Daily - Bulls Want Strong BO, Bears Want HH MTR\" class=\"wp-image-241040\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Daily-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Daily-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Daily-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Daily-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Daily-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The EURUSD traded sideways to up for the week, breaking above the April 21 high on Thursday. Friday was an inside doji.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/eurusd-lower-high-major-trend-reversal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said traders would see if the bears could create strong bear bars breaking below the wedge bear flag (May 14, May 21, and May 23), or if the follow-through selling would be limited and the market continue to trade around the 20-day EMA instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears were not able to create a breakout below the wedge pattern.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the current move as a retest of the prior high (Apr 21) and want it to form a higher high major trend reversal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a large wedge pattern (Apr 3, Apr 21, and Jun 12) and a smaller wedge bear flag in the third leg up (May 21, Jun 5, and Jun 12).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see Thursday (Jun 12) forming a trend channel line overshoot and want a pullback testing the May 12 low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a failed breakout followed by a retest of the middle of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need to create strong consecutive bear bars breaking below the wedge bear flag (May 21, Jun 5, and Jun 12) to show they are back in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls want a strong breakout above the April 21 high, followed by a measured move based on the height of the trading range. That would take the market to near the 2021 high area.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the third leg up to complete the large wedge pattern, with the first two legs being March 18 and April 21. The third leg up is currently underway.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need to create strong consecutive bull bars closing near their highs trading above the April 21 high to increase the odds of a successful breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades lower, they want the 20-day EMA or the May 29 low to act as support, forming a large double bottom bull flag.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So far, the retest of the April 21 high has overlapping candlesticks which indicates the bulls are not as strong as the prior legs up.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If this continues to be the case, the odds of a higher high major trend reversal will increase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The wedge in the third leg up (May 21, Jun 5, and Jun 12) and the trend channel line overshoot (Jun 12) increases the odds of a pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While the current move is strong, it could be a bull leg and a buy vacuum in the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Markets have inertia, and odds slightly favor the trading range to continue.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls need to create sustained follow-through buying to increase the odds of a successful breakout above the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bulls can create strong follow-through buying trading above the April 21 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market stall around the April 21 high followed by a TBTL (Ten Bars, Two Legs) pullback instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If a pullback forms but is weak and trading mostly sideways, the odds of another leg up from a double bottom bull flag (with May 12) will increase after that.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: EURUSD Forex The EURUSD bulls want a strong breakout above the April 21 high. They must create strong follow-through buying over the next few weeks to increase the odds of a measured move up. The bears want a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal and a wedge pattern (Mar 18, Apr [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":241037,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1842,136],"tags":[281],"class_list":{"0":"post-240813","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-forex","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-eurusd-forex","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EURUSD-Weekly-Bulls-Want-Strong-BO-Bears-Want-HH-MTR.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/240813","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=240813"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/240813\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/241037"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=240813"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=240813"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=240813"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}