{"id":248789,"date":"2025-08-31T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-31T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=248789"},"modified":"2025-08-30T22:12:35","modified_gmt":"2025-08-31T05:12:35","slug":"e-mini-bull-microchannel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/e-mini-bull-microchannel\/","title":{"rendered":"E-mini Bull Microchannel"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: S&amp;P 500 E-mini Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The market formed a 5-bar <strong>S&amp;P 500 E-mini<\/strong> bull microchannel on the monthly chart. The bulls want the broad bull channel to resume and expect at least a small second leg sideways to up after any pullback. The bears want a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal and a double top (Dec 6 and Aug 28).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S&amp;P500 E-mini futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Monthly<\/em> E-mini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Emini-Monthly-Follow-through-Buying-Following-Breakout.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Emini-Monthly-Follow-through-Buying-Following-Breakout-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Emini Monthly - Follow-through Buying Following Breakout, E-mini Bull Microchannel\" class=\"wp-image-248983\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Emini-Monthly-Follow-through-Buying-Following-Breakout-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Emini-Monthly-Follow-through-Buying-Following-Breakout-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Emini-Monthly-Follow-through-Buying-Following-Breakout-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Emini-Monthly-Follow-through-Buying-Following-Breakout-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Emini-Monthly-Follow-through-Buying-Following-Breakout.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/indices\/us-spx-500-futures\" rel=\"noopener\">August monthly E-mini candlestick<\/a> was a bull bar closing in its upper half with prominent tails.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/emini-4-bar-bull-microchannel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last month<\/a>, we said traders would see if the bears could create strong bear bars to show they are back in control, or if the pullback would lack follow-through selling, forming a long tail or a bull body in August instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market gapped down and traded lower early in the month, but lacked follow-through selling. The E-mini then traded sideways to up for the month.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls created a breakout above the prior all-time high (Dec 6) in July with follow-through buying in August.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the broad bull channel to resume.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move up (from Apr 7 low) is in the form of a 5-bar bull microchannel. That means persistent buying.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls expect at least a small second leg sideways to up after any pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see the current move as a buy vacuum retest of the prior all-time high (Dec 6).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal and a double top (Dec 6 and Aug 28).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a failed breakout above the December 6 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears must create strong bear bars to show they are back in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So far, the move up from the April 7 low is strong, in the form of a 5-bar bull microchannel and consecutive bull bars closing near their highs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is Always In Long.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move covered over 33% from low to high (Apr 7 to Aug 28) in 5 months without any significant pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While the move is strong, it is slightly climactic and overbought. The market may need to form a pullback to alleviate the overbought condition before the trend resumes.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will only be willing to sell aggressively when they see that the bears can create strong bear bars with sustained follow-through selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The 5-bar bull microchannel increases the odds that the first pullback may be minor, followed by a retest of the recent leg extreme high (now Aug 28).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bull can create more follow-through buying.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the bears be able to create some decent selling pressure (bear bars), something they haven\u2019t been able to do since the April low, instead?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> S&amp;P 500 E-mini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/E-mini-Weekly-Wedge-Embedded-Wedge.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/E-mini-Weekly-Wedge-Embedded-Wedge-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"E-mini Weekly - Wedge, Embedded Wedge\" class=\"wp-image-248986\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/E-mini-Weekly-Wedge-Embedded-Wedge-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/E-mini-Weekly-Wedge-Embedded-Wedge-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/E-mini-Weekly-Wedge-Embedded-Wedge-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/E-mini-Weekly-Wedge-Embedded-Wedge-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/E-mini-Weekly-Wedge-Embedded-Wedge.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This week\u2019s E-mini candlestick was a doji bar closing in its lower half with a long tail above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/e-mini-bulls-want-a-trend-resumption\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said the market could still trade slightly higher. Traders would see if the bulls could create follow-through buying above the July 31 high, or if the market would trade slightly higher but stall instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market reached a new all-time high but reversed to close below the prior two candlesticks\u2019 highs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls view the recent moves (Aug 1 and Aug 20) as pullbacks and want a resumption of the bull trend.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a Leg 1 = Leg 2 move, which will take the market to the 6800 area (Leg 1 being the Apr 21 low to the May 19 high).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want another strong leg up from a wedge bull flag (Jul 16, Aug 1, and Aug 20) or a double bottom bull flag (Aug 1 and Aug 20).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create follow-through buying above the July 31 high to increase the odds of a measured move.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades lower, they want the bull trend line or August 1 low to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears want a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal and a wedge pattern (May 19, Jul 3, and Aug 28).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the current leg forming an embedded wedge (Jul 3, Jul 31, and Aug 28).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a TBTL (Ten Bars, Two Legs) pullback lasting a few weeks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They hope that the recent sideways trading range (starting early July) will be the final flag of the move.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The problem with the bear\u2019s case is that they could not create sustained follow-through selling on the weekly chart since the April 7 low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create consecutive bear bars closing near their lows to show they are back in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move up since the April 21 low is in a tight bull channel, indicating strong bullish momentum.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The buying pressure is stronger (bull bars with follow-through buying) compared to weaker selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market has been stalling around the 6500 level for the last 3 weeks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move is slightly climactic and overbought. The market may need to form a pullback before resuming the trend.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The wedge and embedded wedge increase the odds of a minor pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears need to do more by creating strong consecutive bear bars to show they are back in control. Without that, traders will not be willing to sell aggressively.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bears can create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to start the pullback phase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market continue to trade higher, lacking follow-through selling strength, as has been the case since the April low?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading room<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed E-mini price action real-time each day in the Brooks Trading Course <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: S&amp;P 500 E-mini Futures The market formed a 5-bar S&amp;P 500 E-mini bull microchannel on the monthly chart. The bulls want the broad bull channel to resume and expect at least a small second leg sideways to up after any pullback. The bears want a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":248986,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[136,1843],"tags":[60],"class_list":{"0":"post-248789","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analysis","8":"category-sp500-emini","9":"tag-sp-emini","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/E-mini-Weekly-Wedge-Embedded-Wedge.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/248789","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=248789"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/248789\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/248986"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=248789"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=248789"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=248789"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}