{"id":250891,"date":"2025-09-25T09:46:32","date_gmt":"2025-09-25T16:46:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=250891"},"modified":"2025-09-25T22:47:47","modified_gmt":"2025-09-26T05:47:47","slug":"e-mini-testing-daily-moving-average","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/e-mini-testing-daily-moving-average\/","title":{"rendered":"E-mini Testing Daily Moving Average"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading Update: Thursday September 25, 2025<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S&amp;P E-mini market analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">E-mini daily chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The E-mini formed consecutive bull bars yesterday following Monday&#8217;s strong bi-climate.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Because the daily chart is forming a nested wedge top and Monday&#8217;s breakout bar to the upside was climactic, the odds favored a reversal down and test of the moving average, which is what happened this morning.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The sell-off to the moving average on the daily chart is good for the bears. However, a trading range day is more likely than a strong reversal down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This means that there&#8217;s probably a buyer near the moving average, and the daily chart may have to go sideways for several bars.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The buy climax on the daily chart is more likely to lead to a trading range and not the start of a strong bear sell-off.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While a strong reversal down is possible, the bears will need to form a series of strong barreled bars before that becomes a reality.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>More likely, the moving average is going to lead to support, and the market will go sideways for a couple of days. Less likely that the market breaks firmly below the moving average without first getting a bounce.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">E-mini 5-minute chart and what to expect today<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Today, from the large gap down, with three consecutive large bear trend bars closing on their lows.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While this was good for the Bears, the sell-off down to bar 3 was climactic late in a sell-off on the Globex chart.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This increased the risk that the sell-off would go down to bar 3, which was more of a sell vacuum test of the daily moving average that would likely find buyers.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The gap down and the sell-off on the open lower the probability of today forming a bear trend. That&#8217;s because the range from yesterday&#8217;s close to the low of 3 was bigger than the average.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market formed a reversal up to bar 11 that was strong enough to get a second leg up and a test of yesterday&#8217;s low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Bears managed to make the market go sideways and get two strong legs down to 24, which was a test of the midpoint of the day&#8217;s range. The Bulls ended up getting a reversal up to bar 27. However, they were unable to break far above the day&#8217;s high of 12. &nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>As of Bar 39, the market has drifted sideways to down and is near the open of the day.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Overall, the market is slightly more bullish than bearish based on the rally from bars 5 to 11. With that said, the market formed a large gap down with three consecutive bear bars closing on their lows on the open. That increases the risk that the market may be forming a trading range day and may test down to the bar 5 Low 1 short later today.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yesterday&#8217;s E-mini setups<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Bear-Trending-Trading-Range-Day.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Bear-Trending-Trading-Range-Day-680x382.jpg\" alt=\"SP500 E-mini 5-Minute Bear Trending Trading Range Day\" class=\"wp-image-251256\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Bear-Trending-Trading-Range-Day-680x382.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Bear-Trending-Trading-Range-Day-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Bear-Trending-Trading-Range-Day-768x431.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Bear-Trending-Trading-Range-Day.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Al created the SP500 E-mini charts.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I show each buy entry bar with a green arrow and each sell entry bar with a red arrow. Buyers of both the Brooks Trading Course and Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns have access to a near 4-year library of more detailed explanations of swing trade setups (see Online Course\/BTC Daily Setups). Encyclopedia members get current daily charts added to Encyclopedia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not currently in the market, these entries would be logical times for him to enter. These therefore are swing entries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">It is important to understand that most swing setups do not lead to swing trades. As soon as traders are disappointed, many exit. Those who exit prefer to get out with a small profit (scalp), but often have to exit with a small loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">If the risk is too big for your account, you should wait for trades with less risk or trade an alternative market like the Micro E-mini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P E-mini price action<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Sell-Climax-and-Then-Trading-Range-Day.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Sell-Climax-and-Then-Trading-Range-Day-680x382.jpg\" alt=\"SP500 E-mini 5-Minute Sell Climax and Then Trading Range Day\" class=\"wp-image-251322\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Sell-Climax-and-Then-Trading-Range-Day-680x382.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Sell-Climax-and-Then-Trading-Range-Day-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Sell-Climax-and-Then-Trading-Range-Day-768x431.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Sell-Climax-and-Then-Trading-Range-Day.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Al created the SP500 E-mini charts.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">E-mini end of day video review<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Periodic end of day review videos will be moved to top of page when done.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><em>See the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading Room<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed E-mini price action real-time each day in the Brooks Trading Course <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a 2 day free trial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Charts use Pacific Time<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>When times are mentioned, it is USA Pacific Time. The E-mini day session charts begin at 6:30 am PT and end at 1:15 pm PT which is 15 minutes after the NYSE closes. You can read background information on the market reports on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trading Update: Thursday September 25, 2025 S&amp;P E-mini market analysis E-mini daily chart E-mini 5-minute chart and what to expect today Yesterday&#8217;s E-mini setups Al created the SP500 E-mini charts. Here are reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I show each buy entry bar with a green arrow and each sell entry bar with a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5460,"featured_media":251256,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153,136],"tags":[60],"class_list":{"0":"post-250891","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-market-update","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-sp-emini","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/SP500-E-mini-5-Minute-Bear-Trending-Trading-Range-Day.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Brad","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/brad-wolff\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/250891","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5460"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=250891"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/250891\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/251256"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=250891"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=250891"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=250891"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}