{"id":254423,"date":"2025-11-09T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-09T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=254423"},"modified":"2025-11-08T19:06:07","modified_gmt":"2025-11-09T03:06:07","slug":"eurusd-bear-leg-in-a-trading-range","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/eurusd-bear-leg-in-a-trading-range\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD Bear Leg in a Trading Range"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: EURUSD Forex<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The market is forming a EURUSD bear leg in a trading range on the weekly chart. Bulls see a wedge bull flag (Sep 25, Oct 9, Nov 5) forming and want a strong break above the bear microchannel to resume the trend. If the market trades higher, bears want it to form a lower-high major trend reversal (relative to Sep 17).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD Forex market <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> EURUSD chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Weekly-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Weekly-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"EURUSD Weekly - Wedge Bull Flag in Trading Range, EURUSD Bear Leg in a Trading Range\" class=\"wp-image-254538\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Weekly-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Weekly-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Weekly-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Weekly-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Weekly-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This week\u2019s EURUSD candlestick was a bull bar closing in its upper half, with a small tail above and a long tail below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/eurusd-major-lower-high\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a> we said traders were watching whether bears could create consecutive bear bars closing far below the 20-week EMA (something not seen since February), or if the pullback would stay sideways with weak follow-through selling, followed by a reversal above the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market traded lower in the first half of the week but reversed higher from Thursday onwards. Bears did not get sustained follow-through selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears want the upper third of the multi-year trading range to act as resistance, forming a lower high relative to January 2021. So far, this remains the case.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They are looking for a reversal from a higher-high major trend (Sep 17) and a wedge top (Apr 21, Jul 1, Sep 17).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The pullback is forming an 8-bar bear microchannel, showing persistent selling pressure.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>There may be sellers above the first pullback from this bear microchannel.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, bears want it to form a lower-high major trend reversal (relative to Sep 17).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears need consecutive strong bear bars closing near their lows, breaking decisively below both the 20-week EMA and the Aug 1 low, to increase the odds of a trend reversal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls see the current move as a pullback within a broader bull trend.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the 20-week EMA and the Aug low area to act as support, forming a large double bottom bull flag with the Aug 1 low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see a wedge bull flag (Sep 25, Oct 9, Nov 5) forming and want a strong break above the bear microchannel to resume the trend.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls will need strong consecutive bull bars breaking decisively above the bear microchannel and the 20-week EMA to show they have regained control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market has been in a trading range for the past 21 weeks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders may continue to Buy Low, Sell High (BLSH) within this range \u2014 buying near the lower third and selling near the upper third \u2014 until there is a clear breakout with follow-through in either direction.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will watch if bulls can create a strong breakout above the 8-bar bear microchannel and the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market stall around the 20-week EMA, followed by more follow-through selling?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move from the Sep 17 high to the Nov 5 low appears to be a bear leg within the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Odds slightly favor the pullback being minor for now.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> EURUSD chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"EURUSD Daily - Wedge Bull Flag in Trading Range\" class=\"wp-image-254539\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The EURUSD traded lower in the first half of the week but reversed higher from Thursday onwards.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/eurusd-pullback-is-stalling\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Previously<\/a>, we said traders are watching whether bears could produce a stronger third leg sideways to down to retest the Oct 9 or Aug 1 lows, or if the market would continue stalling around the Oct 9 area, followed by a retest of the Sep 17 high in the weeks ahead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market formed the third leg sideways to down, breaking below the Oct 9 low but reversing to retest the 20-day EMA on Friday.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears created a pullback from a higher-high major trend reversal and a large wedge top (Apr 21, Jul 1, Sep 17).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move consisted of three pushes, forming a wedge bull flag (Sep 25, Oct 9, Nov 5).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need strong consecutive bear bars closing near their lows, trading far below the 20-day EMA and Aug 1 low, to increase the odds of a successful reversal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, bears want it to stall below the September 17 high, forming a lower-high major trend reversal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls see the current move as a pullback, forming a large double bottom bull flag (Aug 1 and Nov 5) and a wedge bull flag (Sep 25, Oct 9, Nov 5).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest of the September 17 high followed by a resumption of the bull trend.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades lower, bulls want the August 1 low to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need strong consecutive bull bars closing far above the 20-day EMA and breaking above the bear trend line to increase the odds of the bull trend resuming.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>EURUSD has been in a trading range for the past 108 trading days.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders may continue to BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) within the range \u2014 buying near the lower third and selling near the upper third \u2014 until there is a strong breakout with sustained follow-through in either direction.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The middle of the trading range can act as an area of balance and a magnet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will watch whether bulls can produce strong consecutive bull bars closing near their highs, above the 20-day EMA and the bear trend line. If they do, the odds of a retest of the September 17 high increase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market stall around the 20-day EMA or Oct 28 high area, forming another lower high?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, the move from the September 17 high to the November 5 low appears to be a bear leg within a trading range and a minor pullback.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: EURUSD Forex The market is forming a EURUSD bear leg in a trading range on the weekly chart. Bulls see a wedge bull flag (Sep 25, Oct 9, Nov 5) forming and want a strong break above the bear microchannel to resume the trend. If the market trades higher, bears want it to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":254538,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1842,136],"tags":[281],"class_list":{"0":"post-254423","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-forex","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-eurusd-forex","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EURUSD-Weekly-Wedge-Bull-Flag-in-Trading-Range.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/254423","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=254423"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/254423\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/254538"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=254423"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=254423"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=254423"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}