{"id":257447,"date":"2025-12-14T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-14T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=257447"},"modified":"2025-12-13T22:34:06","modified_gmt":"2025-12-14T06:34:06","slug":"crude-oil-bears-need-follow-through-selling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/crude-oil-bears-need-follow-through-selling\/","title":{"rendered":"Crude Oil Bears Need Follow-through Selling"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Crude oil<\/strong> bears need follow-through selling breaking below the October 20 low to increase the odds of another strong leg down. Bulls see the current move as a retest of the prior low (Nov 25) and want it to form a small double bottom (Nov 25 and Dec 11) and a higher low major trend reversal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Crude oil futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Need-FT-Selling-Bulls-Want-HL-MTR-680x383.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Need-FT-Selling-Bulls-Want-HL-MTR-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Weekly - Bears Need FT Selling, Bulls Want HL MTR, Crude Oil Bears Need Follow-through Selling\" class=\"wp-image-257632\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Need-FT-Selling-Bulls-Want-HL-MTR-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Need-FT-Selling-Bulls-Want-HL-MTR-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Need-FT-Selling-Bulls-Want-HL-MTR-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Need-FT-Selling-Bulls-Want-HL-MTR-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Need-FT-Selling-Bulls-Want-HL-MTR.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This week\u2019s Crude Oil candlestick was a big bear bar closing in its lower half, with a small tail below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/weekly-crude-oil-bulls-need-strong-follow-through-buying\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said traders would watch whether bulls could generate additional follow-through buying closing above the 20-week EMA and testing the October 24 high, or whether the market would stall around the 20-week EMA with sellers appearing above the 6-bar bear microchannel instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market failed to break above the 20-week EMA, and sellers appeared above the 6-bar bear microchannel.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls view the October 20 selloff as a large two-legged bear leg within a trading range, followed by a higher low major trend reversal on November 25.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the current move as a retest of the prior low (Nov 25) and want it to form a small double bottom (Nov 25 and Dec 11).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls need consecutive strong bull bars closing far above the 20-week EMA and the bear trendline to show they are taking control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears got a second leg sideways to down on November 25, retesting the October 20 low from a large wedge bear flag (Jul 30, Sep 26, Oct 24).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move, while persistent, had overlapping ranges, a sign that bears are still not strong.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears need consecutive strong bear bars breaking below the October 20 low to increase the odds of another strong leg down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, bears want the 20-week EMA and the bear trendline to hold as resistance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Crude Oil remains in a large trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will likely continue to Buy Low, Sell High \u2014 buying near the lower third and selling near the upper third \u2014 until there is a clear breakout with sustained follow-through.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The retest of the October low (Nov 25 and Dec 11), despite its persistence, showed overlapping bars, reinforcing that bears are not yet decisively in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Buyers may appear around the lower third of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will watch whether bears can create follow-through selling closing below the October 20 low, or whether the market stalls around the October 20 or November 25 low area and then retests the 20-week EMA and the bear trendline instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Poor follow-through and frequent reversals remain hallmarks of a trading range environment.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-FT.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-FT-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Daily - Wedge &amp; DB Bull Flag, Bears Need FT\" class=\"wp-image-257633\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-FT-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-FT-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-FT-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-FT-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-FT.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The market traded sideways to down for the week, remaining below the 20-day EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/weekly-crude-oil-bulls-need-strong-follow-through-buying\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said traders would watch whether bulls could generate more follow-through buying, breaking far above the 20-day EMA and the bear trendline to test the October 24 high, or whether the market would form another lower high and evolve into a larger wedge bear flag, with the first two legs on Jul 30 and Sep 26, instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls see the current pullback as forming a complex bull flag that began on October 24 and want a higher low major trend reversal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They view the current move as a retest of the prior leg low (Nov 25) and want a small double bottom (Nov 25 and Dec 11).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls need consecutive strong bull bars trading well above the 20-day EMA and the bear trendline to show they are regaining control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears see the recent move as a small two-legged pullback (Dec 1 and Dec 5) and want it to form a lower high. So far, this is the case.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears want a strong leg down to test the trading range low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears must produce consecutive strong bear bars breaking far below the October 20 low to increase the odds of another strong leg down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market remains in a large trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will continue to Buy Low, Sell High until a clear breakout with sustained follow-through appears \u2014 buying near the lower third and selling near the upper third.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The leg down since the October 24 high had overlapping ranges, showing bears are not yet decisively strong.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Buyers may appear near the lower third of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will watch whether bears can generate more follow-through selling, breaking below the November 25 and October 20 lows, or whether the market stalls around those levels instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Poor follow-through and frequent reversals continue to define a trading-range environment.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures The Crude oil bears need follow-through selling breaking below the October 20 low to increase the odds of another strong leg down. Bulls see the current move as a retest of the prior low (Nov 25) and want it to form a small double bottom (Nov 25 and Dec 11) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":257632,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1892,136],"tags":[325],"class_list":{"0":"post-257447","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-crude-oil","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-crude-oil-futures","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Need-FT-Selling-Bulls-Want-HL-MTR.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/257447","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=257447"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/257447\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/257632"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=257447"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=257447"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=257447"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}