{"id":69103,"date":"2017-07-28T06:20:05","date_gmt":"2017-07-28T13:20:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=69103"},"modified":"2018-06-10T23:21:54","modified_gmt":"2018-06-11T06:21:54","slug":"trumps-white-house-shakeup-is-catalyst-for-correction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/market-update\/trumps-white-house-shakeup-is-catalyst-for-correction\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump&#8217;s White House shakeup is catalyst for correction <br \/>Intraday market update: July 28, 2017"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Trump&#8217;s White House shakeup is catalyst for correction<\/h2>\n<p class=\"caption\">Updated 6:45 a.m.<\/p>\n<p>The Emini opened around the open of the week, which will probably be a magnet all day. This is especially true in the final hour. Yesterday&#8217;s reversal creates confusion and makes traders cautious. They prefer to buy low, sell high, and take quick profits. Consequently, a trading range day is likely, probably straddling the open of the week.<\/p>\n<p>Most days have had trading range opens lately. In addition, today opened at the magnet of the open of the week. Furthermore, it is in the middle of the week&#8217;s range. Finally, it began with a reversal. While a swing up and down are likely today, the Emini looks like it  might take an hour or more to decide which will come first. The Emini is Always In Long, but without a strong break above yesterday&#8217;s lower high, the odds favor a trading range open.<\/p>\n<h2>Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe Emini reversed down strongly yesterday from a parabolic wedge top on the daily charts. While there is also a parabolic wedge top of the monthly chart, it is unlikely that July will close below its open or last month&#8217;s low in its remaining 2 days.<\/p>\n<p>The weekly buy climax is historic and the odds therefore favor a pullback to 20 &#8211; 50 points below the weekly moving average. It is likely to begin soon. Today is Friday, and if the week closes near its low, it will be a sell signal bar on the weekly chart. That would increase the chances that a 100 &#8211; 150 point pullback is underway. <\/p>\n<p>The most important price today is the open of the week. The Emini closed yesterday just above it. The bears want today to close below it to create a bear body on the weekly chart. Hence, that would be a stronger sell signal bar. The bulls always want the opposite. It will probably be a magnet all day today, and especially in the final hour.<\/p>\n<p>Yesterday&#8217;s selloff was strong enough so that the bulls will probably need at least a micro double bottom before they will buy. If instead today is a 2nd consecutive big bear day, that would make the daily chart Always In Short. In addition, that would make it more likely than not that the 2 &#8211; 3 month correction is underway.<\/p>\n<p>Since the reversal up in the 2nd half of yesterday was exceptionally strong, it created a Big Down, Big Up environment. The odds therefore favor sideways for the next several days. Furthermore, it erased much of the bearishness of the early selloff.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight Emini Globex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EMINI GLOBEX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe Emini is down 6 points in the Globex market. Because yesterday&#8217;s late reversal up was strong, the chart has a Big Down, Big Up pattern. That creates Big Confusion, and confused traders are cautious. Then tend to buy low, sell high, and scalp. Therefore a trading range day is likely today. <\/p>\n<p>Yet, yesterday showed that both the bulls and bears can create strong trends. Consequently, if there is a strong breakout up or down, or a good reversal pattern, day traders will swing trade. Even if there is a trading range, the legs will probably be big enough for swing traders.<\/p>\n<h2>Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT YESTERDAY'S CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/ES-17.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/ES-17-600x338.png\" alt=\"Emini sell climax and reversal up after generals disagree with Trump on transgender.\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-69488\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/ES-17-600x338.png 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/ES-17-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/ES-17-768x433.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars.<\/p>\n<p><!--  EURUSD FOREX MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES  --><\/p>\n<h2>EURUSD Forex market trading strategies<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT FOREX CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/EC-20.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/EC-20-600x337.png\" alt=\"EURUSD 240 minute Forex chart has expanding triangle top\" width=\"600\" height=\"337\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-69499\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/EC-20-600x337.png 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/EC-20-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/EC-20-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The 240 minute EURUSD Forex chart has an expanding triangle top near the top of its bull channel<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET FOREX ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD Forex market has been in a strong bull trend for 7 months on the daily chart. Yet it is at resistance on the monthly chart. In addition, it now has an expanding triangle top on the 240 minute chart. Any reasonable top has a 40% chance of a swing down. There is a 60% chance of the chart going sideways or up. The bears want either a lower high major trend reversal, or for a breakout to a new high to fail and reverse down. They then want a test of the bottom of the triangle. If they get that, they then want a measured move down.<\/p>\n<h4>Trends lead to trading ranges<\/h4>\n<p>Although most tops fail, most bull channels evolve into trading ranges. That is likely to happen within the next month or so here on the daily chart. Because of the parabolic wedge rally, the odds are that the EURUSD daily chart will begin to pull back within a week or so. The bulls hope that the pullback will be another bull flag that leads to another strong breakout to a new high. <\/p>\n<p>But, because of the buy climax at resistance, bulls will probably sell out of longs at a new high and bears will short. Hence, the odds are that the channel will soon start to go sideways and form a trading range.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EURUSD FOREX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe 5 minute chart has rallied 70 pips since yesterday&#8217;s close. Yet, it is still within its 6 day trading range. Furthermore, bears will probably sell above yesterday&#8217;s high. While the overnight rally has been strong, it is near resistance. <\/p>\n<p>Therefore, it will probably transition into a trading range over the next couple of hours. Hence, bulls buying up here have to be prepared to exit quickly if the rally begins to stall. They instead will begin to use trading range techniques, which means buy low, sell high, and scalp. <\/p>\n<p>Because the 5 minute channel is tight, bears will wait for at least a little sideways trading before shorting. However, since the channel is tight, the downside over the next 2 hours is small.<br \/>\n<!--  SUMMARY OF TODAY'S EMINI PRICE ACTION  --><\/p>\n<h2>Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n<p><!-- EOD CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/ES-18.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/ES-18-600x338.png\" alt=\"the bulls got a reversal up in the Emini\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-69517\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/ES-18-600x338.png 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/ES-18-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/ES-18-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The Emini opened and closed near the open of the week. It began with a weak selloff, and then had a week reversal up back to above the high of the day and open of the week. It spent 3 hours in a 2 point range.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT EOD COMMENTS --><br \/>\nThe Emini formed a bull inside day on the daily chart after yesterday&#8217;s big bear doji day. It is therefore a buy signal bar for Monday. This is the 8th day in a tight trading range. Because of the buy climaxes on the daily, weekly, and monthly charts, the odds are that the Emini will pullback for several months. Yet, there is no clear top or strong reversal down yet. Therefore, the odds favor sideways to slightly up.<\/p>\n<p><!--  FOOTER TEXT AND LINKS  --><\/p>\n<p>See the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly candlestick chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a title=\"Emini intraday market update\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump&#8217;s White House shakeup is catalyst for correction Updated 6:45 a.m. The Emini opened around the open of the week, which will probably be a magnet all day. This is especially true in the final hour. Yesterday&#8217;s reversal creates confusion and makes traders cautious. They prefer to buy low, sell high, and take quick profits. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-69103","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69103","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69103"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69103\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69103"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69103"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69103"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}