{"id":72076,"date":"2017-11-10T06:20:26","date_gmt":"2017-11-10T14:20:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=72076"},"modified":"2018-05-20T05:02:54","modified_gmt":"2018-05-20T12:02:54","slug":"emini-bull-reversal-bar-before-trumps-tax-cut-and-budget-votes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-bull-reversal-bar-before-trumps-tax-cut-and-budget-votes\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini bull reversal bar before Trump&#8217;s tax cut and budget votes<br \/>Intraday market update: November 10, 2017"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Emini bull reversal bar before Trump&#8217;s tax cut and budget votes<\/h2>\n<p class=\"caption\">Updated 6:44 a.m.<\/p>\n<p>While yesterday was a bull reversal day, it was in a 2 week trading range and therefore there is nothing to reverse. Today opened in the middle 3rd of yesterday&#8217;s range, which increases the chances of a lot of overlap. Overlap increases the chances of a trading range day. In addition, yesterday had a big range. <\/p>\n<p>With today in the middle 3rd of yesterday, there is an increased chance of an inside day today. Inside days are usually trading range days. Unless there is a strong breakout above yesterday&#8217;s high, which is unlikely, today will probably be a trading range day. It is now deciding on the direction of the 1st leg.<\/p>\n<h2>Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nYesterday reversed up from the 20 day moving average and just above last week&#8217;s low. Since it was a doji bar, it is a weak buy signal bar for a double bottom with last week&#8217;s big bull doji bar. The Emini has been sideways for 2 weeks and trading range trading is therefore likely today.<\/p>\n<p>Today is Friday so weekly support and resistance are  magnets, especially in the final hour. The open, high, and low of the week are all within reach.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight Emini Globex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EMINI GLOBEX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe Emini is down 6 points in the Globex session. It has been in both a wedge top for a month and a tight trading range for 2 weeks. There is no sign of a breakout up or down yet. Since yesterday was a big reversal day, it was a Big Down, Big Up pattern on the 5 minute chart. This means Big Confusion, which is a hallmark of a trading range. Therefore, today will probably have a lot of trading range trading. This is especially true since yesterday was a big doji bar on the daily chart, which is a one day trading range. Furthermore, today is Veterans Day and therefore trading might be light.<\/p>\n<p>The bulls want a breakout above the wedge top. The bears want the 2 week trading range to form a head and shoulders top on the daily chart. The daily chart is therefore in breakout mode.<\/p>\n<h2>Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT YESTERDAY'S CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ES-5.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ES-5-600x337.png\" alt=\"Wedge bear flag after big gap own in the Emini, and then a parabolic wedge bottom at the 20 day EMA and last week&#039;s low.\" width=\"600\" height=\"337\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-72481\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ES-5-600x337.png 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ES-5-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ES-5-768x431.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars.<\/p>\n<p><!--  EURUSD FOREX MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES  --><\/p>\n<h2>EURUSD Forex market trading strategies<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT FOREX CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/EC-7.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/EC-7-600x335.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Forex wedge bull flag and head and shoulders top before trump tax reform and budget votes.\" width=\"600\" height=\"335\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-72502\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/EC-7-600x335.png 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/EC-7-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/EC-7-768x429.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The daily EURUSD Forex chart has a head and shoulders top, but the wedge bull flag is more important.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET FOREX ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD daily Forex chart has been in a trading range for 4 months. It had a breakout below the range on October 26, but there has been no follow-through selling. The trading range is also a lower high major trend reversal and a head and shoulders top. <\/p>\n<p>Like all tops that have a bear breakout, there is a 60% chance that the breakout will fail. The breakout was strong enough so that the bears might get 1 more small leg down before the market reverses up. The reversal up so far looks like another small leg in the 3 week tight trading range. The bulls need a big bull trend bar before traders will conclude that the chart is reversing the October 26 bear breakout. <\/p>\n<p>The odds are that they will get it within a few weeks. Yet, trading ranges disappoint bulls and bears. While a 50% pullback from the 3 month selloff is likely, the rally will probably stall in the middle of the range at around the October 12 major lower high. Consequently, the 4 month trading range is likely to continue for at least another 1 &#8211; 2 months.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EURUSD FOREX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe 5 minute chart has been in a 40 pip range overnight, with no significant follow-through buying after yesterday&#8217;s rally. This was likely because the daily chart has been in a tight range for 3 weeks. Trading ranges have inertia, which means they are more likely to continue than to successfully break out. Consequently, the odds favor another small, scalping day.<br \/>\n<!--  SUMMARY OF TODAY'S EMINI PRICE ACTION  --><\/p>\n<h2>Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n<p><!-- EOD CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ES-6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ES-6-600x335.png\" alt=\"Emini small inside day before Trump&#039;s tax reform vote.\" width=\"600\" height=\"335\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-72529\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ES-6-600x335.png 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ES-6-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ES-6-768x429.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Today was a small day, and therefore the late bull breakout was likely to fail. The day began with a double top bear flag, and then a wedge bull flag. It was also a 50% pullback from yesterday&#8217;s rally.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT EOD COMMENTS --><br \/>\nToday was a small day. There was a deep pullback to a new low after a 7:20 a.m. opening rally. That bear breakout failed and the day then became a small day. It remained Always In Long. It got a late bull breakout, but could not reach the open of the week. The day was an inside day. Since it is a bull bar above the moving average, it is a buy signal bar for next week. The week was a doji week. Both the day and week are neutral going into next week.<br \/>\n<!--  FOOTER TEXT AND LINKS  --><\/p>\n<p>See the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly candlestick chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a title=\"Emini intraday market update\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini bull reversal bar before Trump&#8217;s tax cut and budget votes Updated 6:44 a.m. While yesterday was a bull reversal day, it was in a 2 week trading range and therefore there is nothing to reverse. Today opened in the middle 3rd of yesterday&#8217;s range, which increases the chances of a lot of overlap. Overlap [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-72076","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72076","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=72076"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72076\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=72076"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=72076"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=72076"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}