{"id":78026,"date":"2018-05-17T06:20:59","date_gmt":"2018-05-17T13:20:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=78026"},"modified":"2018-05-17T13:57:30","modified_gmt":"2018-05-17T20:57:30","slug":"emini-weak-buy-signal-yesterday-back-april-high","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-weak-buy-signal-yesterday-back-april-high\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini weak buy signal yesterday and back above April high<br \/>Intraday market update: May 17, 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Emini weak buy signal yesterday and back above April high<\/h2>\n<p class=\"caption\">I will update again at the end of the day<\/p>\n<h2>Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe Emini rallied in a trending trading range day yesterday. It was the 2nd day in a bull flag on the daily chart. The odds are that the daily chart will go above Monday&#8217;s high within a few days. The bears will try to get a micro double top or wedge top at that point. Until then, the downside risk is small.<\/p>\n<p>Tomorrow is Friday so weekly support and resistance are becoming important. The bulls want the bar on the weekly chart to have a bull body. That would create consecutive bull bars on the weekly chart, which is a sign of strength. They therefore want Friday&#8217;s close to be above Monday&#8217;s open. The bears want the opposite (a bear bar on the weekly chart). This fight will be important at the end the day tomorrow.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight Emini Globex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EMINI GLOBEX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe Emini is down 5 points in the Globex market. Since the 5 minute chart has spent most of the past 5 days in trading ranges, that is likely again today. While the bears want a big bear trend day, the 2 week rally is strong enough to make that unlikely without at least a micro double top. The odds are that today and tomorrow will be mostly sideways. But, the bulls will probably get a rally above Monday&#8217;s high within a week. <\/p>\n<h2>Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT YESTERDAY'S CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Emini-trending-trading-range-day-at-the-April-high-then-bear-reversal-day.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Emini-trending-trading-range-day-at-the-April-high-then-bear-reversal-day-680x383.png\" alt=\"Emini trending trading range day at the April high, then bear reversal day\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-78116\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Emini-trending-trading-range-day-at-the-April-high-then-bear-reversal-day-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Emini-trending-trading-range-day-at-the-April-high-then-bear-reversal-day-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Emini-trending-trading-range-day-at-the-April-high-then-bear-reversal-day-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Emini-trending-trading-range-day-at-the-April-high-then-bear-reversal-day.png 1680w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars.<\/p>\n<p><!--  EURUSD FOREX MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES  --><\/p>\n<h2>EURUSD daily Forex chart has consecutive sell climaxes and is transitioning into trading range<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT FOREX CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/EURUSD-daily-Forex-chart-has-consecutive-sell-climaxes-and-is-transitioning-into-trading-range.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/EURUSD-daily-Forex-chart-has-consecutive-sell-climaxes-and-is-transitioning-into-trading-range-680x383.png\" alt=\"EURUSD daily Forex chart has consecutive sell climaxes and is transitioning into trading range\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-78120\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/EURUSD-daily-Forex-chart-has-consecutive-sell-climaxes-and-is-transitioning-into-trading-range-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/EURUSD-daily-Forex-chart-has-consecutive-sell-climaxes-and-is-transitioning-into-trading-range-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/EURUSD-daily-Forex-chart-has-consecutive-sell-climaxes-and-is-transitioning-into-trading-range-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/EURUSD-daily-Forex-chart-has-consecutive-sell-climaxes-and-is-transitioning-into-trading-range.png 1504w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The EURUSD daily Forex chart broke strongly below a 3 day bear flag. The breakout is climactic. Since the bear trend is a parabolic wedge sell climax, the chart now has consecutive sell climaxes. This is typically the start of a trading range.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET FOREX ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD daily Forex chart has a strong 2 day break below a 3 day bear flag. The breakout is strong enough so that the bears might get a small 2nd leg down. However, it is climactic and it comes after a parabolic wedge sell climax. Furthermore, is it near support. Consequently, the chart is probably transitioning into a trading range. <\/p>\n<p>The approximate top of the range will be around the May 14 high at around 1.20. The bottom of the range will be between yesterday&#8217;s low and just below the December 12 bottom of the 2 month parabolic bull channel. Therefore, the range will be about 300 pips tall (about 1.17 to 1.20). A trading range has several legs up and down and lasts at least 20 bars. That means at least a month, but it will probably last longer.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EURUSD FOREX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD 5 minute Forex chart has been in a 50 pip trading range overnight. The week is an outside down on the weekly chart. This means it traded above and then below last week&#8217;s range. The bears want the week to close below last week&#8217;s range, which means below 1.1822. <\/p>\n<p>However, the past 2 days have rallied several times above that low. It is therefore an important magnet, and the 5 minute chart will probably stay around it until the week closes tomorrow afternoon. <\/p>\n<p>Since the daily chart has an exhaustion pattern, the odds are against a strong bear trend today. In addition, this week&#8217;s selloff was strong. Therefore a strong bull trend is also unlikely. The odds are that today will be a trading range day around 1.18.<br \/>\n<!--  SUMMARY OF TODAY'S EMINI PRICE ACTION  --><\/p>\n<h2>Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n<p><!-- EOD CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Emini-bear-reversal-day-and-doji-day-after-parabolic-wedge-top.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Emini-bear-reversal-day-and-doji-day-after-parabolic-wedge-top-680x381.png\" alt=\"Emini bear reversal day and doji day after parabolic wedge top \" width=\"680\" height=\"381\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-78129\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Emini-bear-reversal-day-and-doji-day-after-parabolic-wedge-top-680x381.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Emini-bear-reversal-day-and-doji-day-after-parabolic-wedge-top-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Emini-bear-reversal-day-and-doji-day-after-parabolic-wedge-top-768x430.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Emini-bear-reversal-day-and-doji-day-after-parabolic-wedge-top.png 1501w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">After a parabolic wedge rally on the open, the Emini reversed down and formed a bear reversal day. The bears could not break below yesterday&#8217;s low, and the Emini rallied at the end of the day.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT EOD COMMENTS --><br \/>\nToday was a bear reversal day and then a smaller bull reversal day. After reversing down from above yesterday&#8217;s high, the Emini reversed back up exactly at yesterday&#8217;s low. The bulls therefore prevented the day from being an outside down day. Because it closed near the open, it was a doji candle stick on the daily chart.<\/p>\n<p>Today was the 3rd day in a bull flag. The bears want a trend reversal down, but need consecutive big bear bars. The odds favor higher prices, even if the pullback lasts a few more days.<\/p>\n<p>Tomorrow is Friday and the open of the week is a magnet. The bulls want the week to close above the open.<br \/>\n<!--  FOOTER TEXT AND LINKS  --><\/p>\n<p>See the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly candlestick chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a title=\"Emini intraday market update\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini weak buy signal yesterday and back above April high I will update again at the end of the day Pre-Open market analysis The Emini rallied in a trending trading range day yesterday. It was the 2nd day in a bull flag on the daily chart. The odds are that the daily chart will go [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-78026","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78026","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78026"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78026\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78026"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78026"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78026"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}