{"id":78461,"date":"2018-06-08T06:20:31","date_gmt":"2018-06-08T13:20:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=78461"},"modified":"2018-06-08T14:09:59","modified_gmt":"2018-06-08T21:09:59","slug":"emini-weak-sell-signal-bar-fomc-meeting-next-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-weak-sell-signal-bar-fomc-meeting-next-week\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini weak sell signal bar ahead of FOMC meeting next week <br \/>Intraday market update: June 8, 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Emini weak sell signal bar ahead of FOMC meeting next week<\/h2>\n<p class=\"caption\">I will update again at the end of the day<\/p>\n<h2>Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe Emini sold off yesterday after Wedesday&#8217;s buy climax, but it reversed back up late in the day. Since it has a bear body, it is a sell signal bar on the daily chart. However, it is only a bear doji bar, which is a weak sell setup. Furthermore, after 4 bull days, the Emini will probably not fall far today. The Emini might begin to go sideways into Wednesday&#8217;s FOMC meeting.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight Emini Globex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EMINI GLOBEX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe Emini is down 8 points in the Globex market. The past several days on the daily chart are important for today. A big bull trend day is unlikely today after a bear doji day yesterday and a buy climax Wednesday. Also, a big bear day is unlikely after a bear doji and 4 bull days.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, yesterday was mostly a trading range day, which increases the chance of a trading range day today. Finally, with the uncertainty of Wednesday&#8217;s FOMC announcement, the Emini will probably go sideways for the next few days. <\/p>\n<h2>Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT YESTERDAY'S CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-exhaustive-sell-climax-after-parabolic-wedge-top.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-exhaustive-sell-climax-after-parabolic-wedge-top-680x381.png\" alt=\"Emini exhaustive sell climax after parabolic wedge top\" width=\"680\" height=\"381\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-78574\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-exhaustive-sell-climax-after-parabolic-wedge-top-680x381.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-exhaustive-sell-climax-after-parabolic-wedge-top-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-exhaustive-sell-climax-after-parabolic-wedge-top-768x430.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-exhaustive-sell-climax-after-parabolic-wedge-top.png 1495w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars.<\/p>\n<p><!--  EURUSD FOREX MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES  --><\/p>\n<h2>EURUSD Forex double top in trading range after sell climax<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT FOREX CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/EURUSD-Forex-double-top-in-trading-range-after-sell-climax.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/EURUSD-Forex-double-top-in-trading-range-after-sell-climax-680x381.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Forex double top in trading range after sell climax\" width=\"680\" height=\"381\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-78585\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/EURUSD-Forex-double-top-in-trading-range-after-sell-climax-680x381.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/EURUSD-Forex-double-top-in-trading-range-after-sell-climax-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/EURUSD-Forex-double-top-in-trading-range-after-sell-climax-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/EURUSD-Forex-double-top-in-trading-range-after-sell-climax.png 1500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The EURUSD daily Forex chart sold off over the past 2 days at the 20 day EMA after breaking slightly above the May 9 high. Since the 8 day rally was strong and it followed a sell climax, a 2nd leg sideways to up is likely after a test down. And, so is a trading range for at least a month.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET FOREX ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD daily Forex chart traded to below yesterday&#8217;s low today. The 8 day rally was strong, but it is stalling at resistance. It broke slightly above the 20 day EMA and the May 22 lower high. However, a Big Up move after a Big Down move creates Big Confusion. <\/p>\n<p>When traders become less certain, they take quick profits. In addition, they prefer only to sell high and buy low. This creates a trading range. Consequently, this rally is a bull leg in a trading range. Therefore, there will soon be a bear leg, and then at least one more  bull leg. <\/p>\n<p>This process will take at least 1 &#8211; 2 months. The bulls are now probing to find the top of the 1st leg up. Yesterday&#8217;s high is a reasonable candidate, but so is the May 14 major lower high just below the 1.20 Big Round Number.<\/p>\n<p>While today is trading below yesterday&#8217;s low, yesterday had a bull body. That is a weak sell signal bar. In addition, the 8 day rally was in a tight bull channel. The bears will probably need at least a micro double top to end the 1st leg up.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore there are probably more buyers than sellers below yesterday&#8217;s low. However, many buyers will prefer to buy around a 50% pullback. In any case, the odds are that today&#8217;s selloff will probably not last more than a few days. For example, the market might go sideways into Wednesday&#8217;s FOMC meeting. <\/p>\n<p>Just as there are probably buyers below yesterday&#8217;s low, there are probably sellers above its high. At a minimum, today is the start of a few sideways days, but it might be the end of the 1st leg up.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EURUSD FOREX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD 5 minute Forex chart sold off 70 pips overnight and 110 pips from yesterday&#8217;s high. Since this is following a strong 7 day rally and it is already fairly big, there will probably not be much more selling today. The odds are that the 5 minute chart will continue the trading range that began 3 hours ago. <\/p>\n<p>In addition, after a sell climax on the daily chart and a buy climax on the 60 minute chart, the 5 minute chart will probably be in a trading range for a few days. Therefore, day traders will mostly scalp for 10 &#8211; 20 pips.<br \/>\n<!--  SUMMARY OF TODAY'S EMINI PRICE ACTION  --><\/p>\n<h2>Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n<p><!-- EOD CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-trending-trading-range-day-with-breakout-test-and-measuring-gap.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-trending-trading-range-day-with-breakout-test-and-measuring-gap-680x380.png\" alt=\"Emini trending trading range day with breakout test and measuring gap\" width=\"680\" height=\"380\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-78592\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-trending-trading-range-day-with-breakout-test-and-measuring-gap-680x380.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-trending-trading-range-day-with-breakout-test-and-measuring-gap-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-trending-trading-range-day-with-breakout-test-and-measuring-gap-768x429.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-trending-trading-range-day-with-breakout-test-and-measuring-gap.png 1499w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The Emini was in a trending trading range today and it closed near its high.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT EOD COMMENTS --><br \/>\nThe Emini today spend most of its time in trading ranges, despite the brief mid-day bull breakout and the close near the high. The rally might stall around 2800 ahead of Tuesday&#8217;s North Korean summit and Wednesday&#8217;s FOMC announcement. However, the bull trend has resumed on the daily and weekly charts.<br \/>\n<!--  FOOTER TEXT AND LINKS  --><\/p>\n<p>See the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly candlestick chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a title=\"Emini intraday market update\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini weak sell signal bar ahead of FOMC meeting next week I will update again at the end of the day Pre-Open market analysis The Emini sold off yesterday after Wedesday&#8217;s buy climax, but it reversed back up late in the day. Since it has a bear body, it is a sell signal bar on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-78461","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78461","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78461"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78461\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78461"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78461"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78461"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}