{"id":78807,"date":"2018-06-21T06:20:38","date_gmt":"2018-06-21T13:20:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=78807"},"modified":"2018-06-21T13:34:36","modified_gmt":"2018-06-21T20:34:36","slug":"emini-daily-bull-flag-weekly-wedge-top","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-daily-bull-flag-weekly-wedge-top\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini daily bull flag after weekly wedge top<br \/>Intraday market update: June 21, 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Emini daily bull flag after weekly wedge top<\/h2>\n<p class=\"caption\">I will update again at the end of the day.<\/p>\n<h2>Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nYesterday was a small trading range day. Since Tuesday was a bull day that reversed up from the 20 day EMA, it was a buy signal bar on the daily chart. When yesterday went above Tuesday&#8217;s high, it triggered the buy signal. However, since the Emini has sold off for 5 days, yesterday is a pullback in a bear trend. It is therefore a minor sell signal bar for today. But, it is a doji and it followed a big bull bar. Therefore it is a weak sell signal, and there are probably more buyers than sellers below its low.<\/p>\n<p>The weekly chart is still on a weak sell signal. The two day reversal has been strong enough to generate confusion. Confusion usually leads to a trading range. Therefore, the odds are against a big move up or down today.<\/p>\n<p>Because last week&#8217;s range was small, the bulls have a 40% chance of going above last week&#8217;s high. Since it reversed up from below last week&#8217;s low, this week would then be an outside up week. That is a sign of strength. But, the resistance of the March high is just above. Until the bulls break above it, there is no breakout. Therefore, the 5 month trading range is still in effect.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight Emini Globex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EMINI GLOBEX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe Emini is down 3 points in the Globex market. Today will probably trade below yesterday&#8217;s low. That would trigger a sell signal on the daily chart. <\/p>\n<p>There will likely be more buyers than sellers below yesterday&#8217;s low since it is a weak sell signal. Furthermore, yesterday was a small day. Therefore, a reversal up from below yesterday&#8217;s low would have a 30% chance of continuing to above yesterday&#8217;s high. Today would then be an outside up day, which is a sign of buying pressure.<\/p>\n<p>With most days being mostly sideways, the odds are that today will have a lot of trading range trading again.<\/p>\n<h2>Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT YESTERDAY'S CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-opening-reversal.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-opening-reversal-680x382.png\" alt=\"Emini wedge opening reversal up from the EMA, then doji day\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-79001\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-opening-reversal-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-opening-reversal-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-opening-reversal-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-opening-reversal.png 1686w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars.<\/p>\n<p><!--  EURUSD FOREX MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES  --><\/p>\n<h2>EURUSD Forex market trading strategies<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT FOREX CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/EURUSD-Forex-weak-breakout-below-weak-ioi-bear-flag.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/EURUSD-Forex-weak-breakout-below-weak-ioi-bear-flag-680x380.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Forex weak breakout below weak ioi bear flag\" width=\"680\" height=\"380\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-79005\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/EURUSD-Forex-weak-breakout-below-weak-ioi-bear-flag-680x380.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/EURUSD-Forex-weak-breakout-below-weak-ioi-bear-flag-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/EURUSD-Forex-weak-breakout-below-weak-ioi-bear-flag-768x429.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/EURUSD-Forex-weak-breakout-below-weak-ioi-bear-flag.png 1690w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The EURUSD daily Forex chart broke below yesterday&#8217;s low. But, yesterday was a bear doji in a tight trading range, and the past 4 days had prominent tails below. This is a weak ioi bear flag. An ioi is an inside bar after an outside bar. The outside bar means that the bar before is inside of the outside bar.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET FOREX ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD daily Forex chart is in a strong bear trend. However, it is also in the early stages of a trading range. It is looking for the bottom of the range. <\/p>\n<p>The bulls hope that this week&#8217;s low will be the bottom. But, they need a strong bull bar today or tomorrow for a buy signal bar. They would then have a High 2 bottom with Monday&#8217;s bull bar. That would be a reasonable bottom because it would be a 2nd reversal up from below the May low. In addition, the daily chart is at the support of the November 7 low.<\/p>\n<p>While yesterday was a bear inside day, it was a doji bar. Therefore, it is a weak sell signal bar. Yet, if the bulls cannot create bull bars today or tomorrow, the odds favor at least slightly lower prices. <\/p>\n<p>The minimum goal for the bears is a 100 point measured move down based on the height of the 4 day bear flag. They have a 40% chance of a 300 pip measured move down based on a failed double bottom attempt. There is a 60% chance of at least a 200 pip rally before the daily chart falls more than 100 pips below the May 29 low.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EURUSD FOREX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD 5 minute Forex chart reversed up 40 pips after breaking below yesterday&#8217;s low. However, the bulls need a continuation of the rally. Without that, the rally will be a bull leg in a trading range rather than the start of a swing up. <\/p>\n<p>The 240 minute chart is forming a wedge bottom over the past 5 days. Therefore, the bulls will look for a strong rally and a test of the top of the wedge today or tomorrow. That is just above 1.1700.<br \/>\n<!--  SUMMARY OF TODAY'S EMINI PRICE ACTION  --><\/p>\n<h2>Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n<p><!-- EOD CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-trend-resumption-after-moving-average-gap-bars.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-trend-resumption-after-moving-average-gap-bars-680x382.png\" alt=\"Emini trend resumption after moving average gap bars\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-79024\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-trend-resumption-after-moving-average-gap-bars-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-trend-resumption-after-moving-average-gap-bars-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-trend-resumption-after-moving-average-gap-bars-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/Emini-trend-resumption-after-moving-average-gap-bars.png 1682w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The Emini sold off on the open. After a 4 hour trading range, the bears got trend resumption down. However, the bulls again reversed up from just above the May 22 high.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT EOD COMMENTS --><br \/>\nAfter a sell climax on the open, the bulls got a trading range. But, the bears then got trend resumption down. Yet, they were unable to break below the May 22 high. The bulls got a 2nd reversal up from that support at the end of the day.<\/p>\n<p>The bears need a break far below the May 22 high. They then would look for a test of the next higher low, which is the May 29 low.<\/p>\n<p>Tomorrow is Friday and this week&#8217;s open and last week&#8217;s low are the most important weekly magnets for tomorrow.<br \/>\n<!--  FOOTER TEXT AND LINKS  --><\/p>\n<p>See the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly candlestick chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a title=\"Emini intraday market update\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini daily bull flag after weekly wedge top I will update again at the end of the day. Pre-Open market analysis Yesterday was a small trading range day. Since Tuesday was a bull day that reversed up from the 20 day EMA, it was a buy signal bar on the daily chart. When yesterday went [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-78807","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78807","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78807"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78807\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78807"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78807"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78807"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}