{"id":80458,"date":"2018-08-08T06:20:23","date_gmt":"2018-08-08T13:20:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=80458"},"modified":"2018-08-08T13:36:04","modified_gmt":"2018-08-08T20:36:04","slug":"emini-parabolic-wedge-top-measured-move-target","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-parabolic-wedge-top-measured-move-target\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini parabolic wedge top at measured move target<br \/>Intraday market update: Wednesday August 8, 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Emini parabolic wedge top at measured move target<\/h2>\n<p class=\"caption\">I will update again at the end of the day.<\/p>\n<h2>Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe Emini rallied for 4 days in a tight bull channel on the 60 minute chart. This is extreme and unsustainable, and therefore climactic. It pulled back in a tight range yesterday from a 4 day parabolic wedge rally on the 60 minute chart. The high was at a measured move target based on the 60 minute chart (not shown). <\/p>\n<p>A buy climax will usually pull back for 10 or more bars. This is about a day and a half on the 60 minute chart. A major reversal comes less than 40% of the time. Yesterday&#8217;s high might be the start of the pullback. Since Monday had a triangle, it is probably the Final Bull Flag. Therefore, a minimum target is a test of the apex of that triangle today or Thursday.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight Emini Globex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EMINI GLOBEX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe Emini is down 2.5 points in the Globex session. It therefore might gap down. This would make yesterday a 1 day island top. If so, that slightly increases the chance of a minor reversal for a few days. But, most small gaps close within the 1st hour. While a 1 &#8211; 2 day pause or pullback is likely, it can come even if today gaps down and then rallies back above yesterday&#8217;s low, closing the gap.<\/p>\n<p>The one thing that is unlikely today is a strong bull trend day. The 5 minute chart&#8217;s bullish momentum has reduced over each of the past 2 days. This makes at least a small pullback likely. Therefore, today will probably be either another trading range day or a small bear day.<\/p>\n<p>As always, there is a 20% chance of a big trend up or down on any day.<\/p>\n<h2>Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT YESTERDAY'S CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-wedge-top-at-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-and-measured-move-target-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-wedge-top-at-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-and-measured-move-target-1-680x382.png\" alt=\"Emini parabolic wedge top at 60 minute parabolic wedge and measured move target\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-80555\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-wedge-top-at-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-and-measured-move-target-1-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-wedge-top-at-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-and-measured-move-target-1-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-wedge-top-at-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-and-measured-move-target-1-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-wedge-top-at-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-and-measured-move-target-1.png 1684w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not in a position at the moment, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n<p><!--  EURUSD FOREX MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES  --><\/p>\n<h2>EURUSD Low 1 bear flag after selling pressure<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT FOREX CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Low-1-bear-flag-after-selling-pressure.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Low-1-bear-flag-after-selling-pressure-680x382.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Low 1 bear flag after selling pressure\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-80551\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Low-1-bear-flag-after-selling-pressure-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Low-1-bear-flag-after-selling-pressure-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Low-1-bear-flag-after-selling-pressure-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Low-1-bear-flag-after-selling-pressure.png 1690w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">After 5 consecutive bear days on the EURUSD daily Forex chart, the bears will probably break below the June low. If today is a bear day, It will be a Low 1 bear flag and a sell signal bar for tomorrow.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET FOREX ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe 5 consecutive bear days on the EURUSD daily Forex chart after the breakout below the 2 month triangle is a sign that the selling pressure has increased. This is a change and it makes a break below the June low likely. If today has a bear body, it will be a Low 1 bear flag and a sell signal bar for tomorrow.<\/p>\n<p>The final 2 days of the selloff had small bodies. This represents a loss of momentum near the bottom of the range. Therefore, the bears will probably need 2 attempts to break below the range. As a result, the chart will likely enter a tight trading range over the next few weeks. If so, there will probably be a small double top and a small double bottom. This will slightly reduce the bearishness of the 5 bear days. <\/p>\n<p>The small double top would be a Low 2 bear flag. If the bears then get consecutive closes below the June 21 low, traders will conclude that a 300 pip measured move down is underway.<\/p>\n<p>Alternatively, if the bulls get 3 or more bull days, traders will believe that the chart formed a double bottom with the June 28 low. The pattern would then be a micro double bottom and a double bottom higher low major trend reversal. Without this, the odds now favor a bear breakout.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EURUSD FOREX TRADING --><br \/>\nI said yesterday that the 5 minute chart would probably bounce to between 1.16 and 1.1650 in the next 2 days and stall. This is because the daily chart will probably enter a tight trading range over the next week. That range will have a small double bottom and a small double top. <\/p>\n<p>Day traders will expect this and look for reversals every couple days. They therefore will buy around 1.1550 &#8211; 1.1570 expecting about a 50 pip rally from a double bottom with the August 6 low. This would create a micro double bottom on the daily chart.<\/p>\n<p>The rally will likely only last a couple of days. Day traders will then sell again above 1.16. If the selloff from there is strong, they will look for a swing trade and a break below the June low.<br \/>\n<!--  SUMMARY OF TODAY'S EMINI PRICE ACTION  --><\/p>\n<h2>Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n<p><!-- EOD CHART --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-bear-doji-day-after-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-top.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-bear-doji-day-after-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-top-680x382.png\" alt=\"Emini bear doji day after 60 minute parabolic wedge top\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-80564\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-bear-doji-day-after-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-top-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-bear-doji-day-after-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-top-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-bear-doji-day-after-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-top-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-bear-doji-day-after-60-minute-parabolic-wedge-top.png 1681w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups for today. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not in a position at the moment, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT EOD COMMENTS --><br \/>\nAfter trading below yesterday&#8217;s low, the Emini reversed up sharply. It then entered a trading range. The open of the day was a magnet all day. Today is a High 1 bull flag buy signal bar for tomorrow. But, the bears got a close below the opne. Therefore, the bears will probably get a little more sideways to down trading after their 4 day parabolic wedge top at a measured move target.<br \/>\n<!--  FOOTER TEXT AND LINKS  --><\/p>\n<p>See the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly candlestick chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a title=\"Emini intraday market update\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini parabolic wedge top at measured move target I will update again at the end of the day. Pre-Open market analysis The Emini rallied for 4 days in a tight bull channel on the 60 minute chart. This is extreme and unsustainable, and therefore climactic. It pulled back in a tight range yesterday from a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-80458","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80458","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80458"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80458\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80458"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80458"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80458"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}