{"id":81018,"date":"2018-08-29T06:20:17","date_gmt":"2018-08-29T13:20:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=81018"},"modified":"2018-08-29T13:40:44","modified_gmt":"2018-08-29T20:40:44","slug":"emini-failed-breakout-january-high-2900","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-failed-breakout-january-high-2900\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini failed breakout above January high and 2900<br \/>Intraday market update: Wednesday August 29, 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Emini failed breakout above January high and 2900<\/h2>\n<p class=\"caption\">I will update again at the end of the day.<\/p>\n<h2>Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nYesterday gapped up to another all-time high, but sold off back into Monday&#8217;s tight trading range. Since it was a bear bar on the daily chart, it is a sell signal bar for today. The bears want a failed breakout above the January high. <\/p>\n<p>Their 1st goal is to get back below the 2884 January high. A more important goal is to close the gap above Friday&#8217;s high. The bulls always want the opposite and they will buy just above that 2877.25 high. The Emini will probably test one or both of these support levels this week. It will then decide between trend resumption up or trend reversal down. Up is more likely.<\/p>\n<p>The 3 week bull channel on the daily chart is tight. The bears therefore will probably need at least a micro double top before they can get a swing down. But, the 1st reversal down will probably only last 1 &#8211; 2 days.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight Emini Globex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EMINI GLOBEX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe Emini is down 1 point in the Globex session. After Monday&#8217;s gap up to a new all-time high, the odds favor 2 &#8211; 4 trading range days. Since yesterday was a trading range day, today will likely be another. However, because the Emini is at a major prior high, there is an increased chance of a big trend day up or down.<\/p>\n<h2>Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT YESTERDAY'S CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-yesterdays-all-time-high.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-yesterdays-all-time-high-680x382.png\" alt=\"Emini failed breakout above yesterday&#039;s all-time high\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-81140\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-yesterdays-all-time-high-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-yesterdays-all-time-high-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-yesterdays-all-time-high-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-yesterdays-all-time-high.png 1681w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not in a position at the moment, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n<p><!--  EURUSD FOREX MARKET TRADING STRATEGIES  --><\/p>\n<h2>EURUSD Forex parabolic wedge buy climax at resistance<\/h2>\n<p><!-- INSERT FOREX CHART --><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-buy-climax-at-resistance-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-buy-climax-at-resistance-1-680x381.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Forex parabolic wedge buy climax at resistance\" width=\"680\" height=\"381\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-81158\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-buy-climax-at-resistance-1-680x381.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-buy-climax-at-resistance-1-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-buy-climax-at-resistance-1-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-buy-climax-at-resistance-1.png 1694w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Yesterday&#8217;s reversal was a 3rd leg up from the August 15 low. The 3 week rally was in a tight bull channel and therefore it is a parabolic wedge. <\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT PREMARKET FOREX ANALYSIS --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD daily Forex chart had a 3 legged rally in a tight bull channel. This is a parabolic wedge buy climax. Two small legs sideways to down over the next week are likely. <\/p>\n<p>The rally came from a parabolic wedge sell climax. Trend reversals usually have a transition when there are elements of both a bull and bear trend. For example, the 1st leg up in the August 15 parabolic wedge bottom began before the final low. This is common. <\/p>\n<p>The rally is strong enough to have one more leg up before there is exhaustion. But, it has met the minimum goal. In addition, it is just below the July 31 major lower high and at the 20 week EMA resistance. Furthermore, the daily chart has been oscillating around 1.17 for 4 months, so that is also resistance.<\/p>\n<p>The daily chart has probably entered a trading range, especially since it is back in the middle of a 4 month range. While there might be another minor high this week, the chart will probably be sideways for at least a week or two. Traders will sell rallies, buy selloffs, and take quick profits.<\/p>\n<h3>Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n<p><!-- INSERT OVERNIGHT EURUSD FOREX TRADING --><br \/>\nThe EURUSD 5 minute Forex chart sold off 70 pips overnight. I said yesterday that the trading range would probably be about 150 pips tall. Obvious support is the 20 day EMA, the August 23 low just above 1.15, and he June 21 low.  <\/p>\n<p>When the daily chart enters a trading range, the lower time frame charts begin to have smaller bars and lots of small trading ranges. Day Traders will be quick to take profits. However, there will be 30 &#8211; 50 pip day trades from minor support and resistance on the daily and 60 minute charts.<br \/>\n<!--  SUMMARY OF TODAY'S EMINI PRICE ACTION  --><\/p>\n<h2>Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n<p><!-- EOD CHART --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-wedge-rally-to-new-all-time-high-then-trading-range.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-wedge-rally-to-new-all-time-high-then-trading-range-680x382.png\" alt=\"Emini wedge rally to new all time high, then trading range after moving average gap bars\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-81163\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-wedge-rally-to-new-all-time-high-then-trading-range-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-wedge-rally-to-new-all-time-high-then-trading-range-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-wedge-rally-to-new-all-time-high-then-trading-range-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Emini-wedge-rally-to-new-all-time-high-then-trading-range.png 1679w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups for today. I sometimes also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not in a position at the moment, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n<p><!-- INSERT EOD COMMENTS --><br \/>\nThe Emini rallied strongly to a new all-time high. However, the 2 day trading range on the 60 minute chart is a possible Final Bull Flag. In addition, this rally is extreme and therefore climactic. This increases the odds of a 1 &#8211; 2 day pullback soon. However, the bull trend is intact and higher prices are likely.<br \/>\n<!--  FOOTER TEXT AND LINKS  --><\/p>\n<p>See the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly candlestick chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a title=\"Emini intraday market update\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini failed breakout above January high and 2900 I will update again at the end of the day. Pre-Open market analysis Yesterday gapped up to another all-time high, but sold off back into Monday&#8217;s tight trading range. Since it was a bear bar on the daily chart, it is a sell signal bar for today. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-81018","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81018","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81018"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81018\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81018"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81018"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81018"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}