{"id":97271,"date":"2020-02-20T06:20:00","date_gmt":"2020-02-20T14:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=97271"},"modified":"2020-02-20T13:52:34","modified_gmt":"2020-02-20T21:52:34","slug":"emini-trying-break-3400-big-round-number","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-trying-break-3400-big-round-number\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini trying to break above 3400 Big Round Number"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Emini and Forex Trading Update:<br>Thursday February 20, 2020<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I will update again at the end of the day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Emini triggered a High 1 bull flag buy signal yesterday by going above Friday&#8217;s high. The bulls want a strong breakout above the 3400 Big Round Number. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yesterday got near that target. Traders expect it to get closer within a few days. Furthermore, they expect at least a small breakout above. If there is a big breakout with follow-through over the following days, the rally will probably continue up to the Leg 1 = Leg 2 target at 3468. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More likely, the Emini will begin to pull back to the February 10 low within a week. That is the bottom of the most recent leg up and therefore a magnet below. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, there is a 50% chance of a selloff down to the January low by the end of March. This 3 week rally looks more like it will end up as a bull leg in a trading range that began around Christmas than a resumption of  last year&#8217;s bull trend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most recent days have had predominantly trading range price action. Traders will expect that again today and will look for at least one swing up and one swing down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Overnight Emini Globex trading <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The Emini is down 10 points in the Globex session. The Emini is overbought on the daily chart and there is also a parabolic wedge buy climax top on that chart. There is therefore an increased chance of several bear trend days within the next couple of weeks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, there is no reversal down yet and the Emini has been working higher. Can the bulls get a strong rally from here? While it is possible, if there is going to be several trend days, down is slightly more likely. But with the past 6 days having mostly trading range price action, traders will continue to bet on reversals until there is a strong breakout up or down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-bull-trend-from-the-open-and-then-trading-range.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-bull-trend-from-the-open-and-then-trading-range-680x383.png\" alt=\"Emini bull trend from the open and then trading range\" class=\"wp-image-97363\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-bull-trend-from-the-open-and-then-trading-range-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-bull-trend-from-the-open-and-then-trading-range-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-bull-trend-from-the-open-and-then-trading-range-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-bull-trend-from-the-open-and-then-trading-range-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-bull-trend-from-the-open-and-then-trading-range.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I show each buy entry with a green rectangle and each sell entry with a red rectangle. I rarely also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. Buyers of the Brooks Trading Course and Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns have access to a much more detailed explanation of the swing trades for each day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not currently in the market, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">If the risk is too big for your account, you should wait for trades with less risk or trade an alternative market like the Micro Emini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD Forex market trading strategies<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-sell-climax-closing-gap-above-April-2017-high.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-sell-climax-closing-gap-above-April-2017-high-680x383.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Forex parabolic wedge sell climax closing gap above April 2017 high\" class=\"wp-image-97369\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-sell-climax-closing-gap-above-April-2017-high-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-sell-climax-closing-gap-above-April-2017-high-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-sell-climax-closing-gap-above-April-2017-high-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-sell-climax-closing-gap-above-April-2017-high-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-sell-climax-closing-gap-above-April-2017-high-20x11.png 20w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURUSD-Forex-parabolic-wedge-sell-climax-closing-gap-above-April-2017-high.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The daily chart of the EURUSD Forex market triggered a buy signal overnight by going above yesterday&#8217;s high. There is a parabolic wedge sell climax and yesterday was a reasonable buy signal bar. However, the EURUSD has since reversed down to just below yesterday&#8217;s low. Today is therefore an outside down day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Today&#8217;s low so far is only 1 pip above the August 17, 1977 high. That high is the bottom of a gap on both the daily and weekly charts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have talked about that many times over the past 6 months as a possible magnet. Well, now we are here. Now what? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The bulls want a climactic reversal up and an end of the 2 year bear trend. That is unlikely. However, yesterday was the 3rd small reversal attempt in the past 7 days. There is therefore a parabolic wedge sell climax. And it is at a very important price. Finally, the stop for the bears is above the January 31 high, which means their risk is great. This combination typically results in profit taking. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While there is no reversal up yet, traders should expect some short covering to begin within a couple weeks. This should create sideways to up trading that will last a couple weeks or more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The 5 minute chart of the EURUSD Forex market reversed down from above yesterday&#8217;s high and then up from below yesterday&#8217;s low. There is a credible buy signal at support on the daily chart. Consequently, there is an increased chance of a several bull trend days over the next few weeks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The odds will begin to increase if today and the next several days have bull bodies. Therefore, the bulls will try to get today to close above the open. A stronger sign of a possible reversal up would be a close back above yesterday&#8217;s high after already going outside down overnight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the series of bull days has not begun yet. The bears want this test of the 2017 gap to fail. They know bulls are starting to buy. The bears want a strong break below today&#8217;s low. That would increase the chance that this selloff will continue down to the January 2017 low at bottom of the 2017 bull trend. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even though the bear trend has been strong for 2 weeks, the odds have now shifted in favor of the bulls for a couple weeks. It is more likely that the EURUSD will begin to reverse up than continue down for more than a few days. But a couple big bear days would shift the odds back in favor of the bears.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-wedge-top-and-then-sell-climax-and-bull-channel.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-wedge-top-and-then-sell-climax-and-bull-channel-680x383.png\" alt=\"Emini wedge top and then sell climax and bull channel\" class=\"wp-image-97381\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-wedge-top-and-then-sell-climax-and-bull-channel-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-wedge-top-and-then-sell-climax-and-bull-channel-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-wedge-top-and-then-sell-climax-and-bull-channel-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-wedge-top-and-then-sell-climax-and-bull-channel-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Emini-wedge-top-and-then-sell-climax-and-bull-channel.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups for today. I show each buy entry with a green rectangle and each sell entry with a red rectangle. I rarely also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. Buyers of the Brooks Trading Course and Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns have access to a much more detailed explanation of the swing trades for each day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not currently in the market, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">If the risk is too big for your account, you should wait for trades with less risk or trade an alternative market like the Micro Emini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">End of day summary<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The Emini had a wedge rally on the open and then collapsed. It reversed up in a bull channel after an extreme sell climax and closed near the open of the week. Today&#8217;s selloff might be the start of the move down to the February low. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have mentioned many times that the 3 week rally was probably just a leg in a trading range that began around Christmas. That is still the case. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is a 50% chance that the selloff will continue down to the January low by the end of March. However, since the selloff will be a bear leg in the 2 month trading range, it will probably have bounces up every few days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>See the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading Room<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Charts use Pacific Standard Time<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini and Forex Trading Update:Thursday February 20, 2020 I will update again at the end of the day. Pre-Open market analysis The Emini triggered a High 1 bull flag buy signal yesterday by going above Friday&#8217;s high. The bulls want a strong breakout above the 3400 Big Round Number. Yesterday got near that target. Traders [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-97271","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97271","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=97271"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97271\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=97271"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=97271"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=97271"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}