{"id":100594,"date":"2020-05-19T06:20:00","date_gmt":"2020-05-19T13:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=100594"},"modified":"2020-05-21T01:55:53","modified_gmt":"2020-05-21T08:55:53","slug":"emini-triggered-april-monthly-high-1-bull-flag-buy-signal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-triggered-april-monthly-high-1-bull-flag-buy-signal\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini triggered April monthly High 1 bull flag buy signal"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Emini and Forex Trading Update:<br>Tuesday May 19, 2020<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I will update again at the end of the day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Emini triggered a High 1 bull signal on the monthly chart yesterday by going above the April high. This also theoretically stopped out the bears who shorted the wedge top on the daily chart. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It closed back at the April high, where it spend much of yesterday. After a big gap up, the Emini often goes sideways for a day or two before resuming up to the next target.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have mentioned the 200 day moving average many times. The rally should get there this week. It could get there today. That is also around the 3,000 Big Round Number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The minimum goal is to reach the 200 day moving average, which is around the 3,000 Big Round Number. The bulls want the rally to continue to the March 3 high. That was the start of the parabolic wedge sell climax on the daily chart. Also, it is at a measured move up from the month-long trading range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Because the 2 bears bars on the monthly chart were huge, this rally will probably have a 2nd leg sideways to down before there is a new all-time high. That leg down should begin within a few weeks. The sell zone is between 3,000 and 3,100, which is around the March 3 high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Overnight Emini Globex trading <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The Emini is down 4 points in the Globex session. Yesterday&#8217;s late selloff was a bear Surprise Breakout. A bear surprise typically has at least a small 2nd leg sideways to down. Also, Big Up, Big Down creates Big Confusion. Since confusion is a hallmark of a trading range, traders expect sideways trading today. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The bears want that selloff to be a spike down in a new bear trend on the daily chart. They then hope that today will be the start of a channel down for the next several days. If they get that, traders will conclude that yesterday&#8217;s breakout above the April high failed. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, what is more likely is that the selloff will simply be the start of a 1 &#8211; 3 day sideways to down pullback from triggering the monthly buy signal. There is a 55% chance that this rally will reach the measured move target at the March 3 high before there is more than a 3 &#8211; 5 day pullback<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-bull-trend-and-monthly-High-1-bull-flag-buy-signal.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-bull-trend-and-monthly-High-1-bull-flag-buy-signal-680x383.png\" alt=\"Emini bull trend and monthly High 1 bull flag buy signal\" class=\"wp-image-100654\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-bull-trend-and-monthly-High-1-bull-flag-buy-signal-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-bull-trend-and-monthly-High-1-bull-flag-buy-signal-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-bull-trend-and-monthly-High-1-bull-flag-buy-signal-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-bull-trend-and-monthly-High-1-bull-flag-buy-signal-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-bull-trend-and-monthly-High-1-bull-flag-buy-signal.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I show each buy entry with a green rectangle and each sell entry with a red rectangle. I rarely also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. I do not want the lines to be distracting. If they are longer, I make them dotted. But, they have to be visible, so I make the shorter ones solid. Buyers of the Brooks Trading Course and Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns have access to a much more detailed explanation of the swing trades for each day (see Online Course\/BTC Daily Setups).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not currently in the market, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">If the risk is too big for your account, you should wait for trades with less risk or trade an alternative market like the Micro Emini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD Forex market trading strategies<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/EURUSD-Forex-testing-neckline-of-head-and-shoulders-bottom.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/EURUSD-Forex-testing-neckline-of-head-and-shoulders-bottom-680x383.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Forex testing neckline of head and shoulders bottom \" class=\"wp-image-100665\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/EURUSD-Forex-testing-neckline-of-head-and-shoulders-bottom-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/EURUSD-Forex-testing-neckline-of-head-and-shoulders-bottom-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/EURUSD-Forex-testing-neckline-of-head-and-shoulders-bottom-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/EURUSD-Forex-testing-neckline-of-head-and-shoulders-bottom-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/EURUSD-Forex-testing-neckline-of-head-and-shoulders-bottom.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The EURUSD Forex market on the daily chart rallied strongly yesterday and it is now at the top of its 2 month trading range. But while yesterday increases the chance of a bull breakout, until there is a breakout, there is no breakout. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders know that the probability is cannot be more than 55% for either the bulls or the bears until there is a clear breakout. They want to see a close far above or below the range. If a breakout has consecutive closes, it is more likely to be successful.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Once there is a breakout up or down, traders will look for a move that is approximately as big as the trading range is tall. Because the range is 300 pips tall, traders would look for a measured move up from a bull breakout to reach around 1.13. That is still far below the March 9 high, which is the top of the 8 month trading range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since the daily chart is still in a trading range, the bears always have a reasonable argument. They would like a reversal down from around the top of the range. If it comes from a lower high, they will see the week-long rally as a pullback from the reversal down from the April\/May double top. If it comes from above the May high, they would then see the reversal as simply a failed breakout above the trading range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The 5 minute chart of the EURUSD Forex market had some overnight follow-through buying after yesterday&#8217;s bull trend. However, it has sold off 30 pips over the past 2 hours. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since the selloff has been in a tight bear channel, it is strong. That relentless profit-taking by the bulls reduces the chance of a strong bull trend today. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Can today continue down? The bear bars have been small and yesterday was strongly bullish. That combination makes a much bigger selloff unlikely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If it will not go up or down much today, traders are left with a trading range. They will look for 10 &#8211; 20 pip scalps up and down. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The bulls would like the day to close near its high. That would increase the chance of higher prices tomorrow. It would also increase the chance of a break above the range within a week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If today closes on the low and there is a bear body on the daily chart, traders will expect at least slightly lower prices tomorrow. But yesterday was surprisingly big. A bull surprise bar on the daily chart typically has at least a small 2nd leg sideways to up. Therefore, the downside over the next few days is not big.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-April-high-1-buy-signal-bar.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-April-high-1-buy-signal-bar-680x383.png\" alt=\"Emini failed breakout above April high 1 buy signal bar\" class=\"wp-image-100678\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-April-high-1-buy-signal-bar-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-April-high-1-buy-signal-bar-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-April-high-1-buy-signal-bar-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-April-high-1-buy-signal-bar-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Emini-failed-breakout-above-April-high-1-buy-signal-bar.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups for today. I show each buy entry with a green rectangle and each sell entry with a red rectangle. I rarely also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. I do not want the lines to be distracting. If they are longer, I make them dotted. But, they have to be visible, so I make the shorter ones solid. Buyers of the Brooks Trading Course and Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns have access to a much more detailed explanation of the swing trades for each day (see Online Course\/BTC Daily Setups).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not currently in the market, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">If the risk is too big for your account, you should wait for trades with less risk or trade an alternative market like the Micro Emini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">End of day summary<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>On the open, today reversed up from an early test of yesterday&#8217;s low. However, the Emini spent much of the rest of the day in a trading range around the April high. It collapsed to below yesterday&#8217;s low into the close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Today is a sell signal bar on the daily chart for a failed breakout above the month-long trading range and the April high. The daily chart is overbought and traders expect about a 3 week pullback in June. The bears hope it began today. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But yesterday&#8217;s strong rally and the break above the wedge on the daily chart make it slightly more likely that a reversal down will last only a day or two. This is especially true because the March 3 high and the 200 day moving average are important magnets above. However, there will probably be a pullback for several weeks beginning around the April high or the 200 day moving average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>See the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading Room<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Charts use Pacific Standard Time<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini and Forex Trading Update:Tuesday May 19, 2020 I will update again at the end of the day. Pre-Open market analysis The Emini triggered a High 1 bull signal on the monthly chart yesterday by going above the April high. This also theoretically stopped out the bears who shorted the wedge top on the daily [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[128,60],"class_list":{"0":"post-100594","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"tag-eurusd","8":"tag-sp-emini","9":"entry","10":"has-post-thumbnail","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100594","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=100594"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100594\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=100594"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=100594"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=100594"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}