{"id":107169,"date":"2020-10-07T06:20:00","date_gmt":"2020-10-07T13:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=107169"},"modified":"2020-10-07T14:07:03","modified_gmt":"2020-10-07T21:07:03","slug":"emini-wedge-rally-double-top","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-wedge-rally-double-top\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini wedge rally and double top at September 16 high"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Emini and Forex Trading Update:<br>Wednesday October 7, 2020<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I will update again at the end of the day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pre-Open market analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I have been saying for a month that 3400 &#8211; 3500 was the sell zone and that many traders wanted to wait for a break above the September 16 high before selling. Yesterday briefly broke above that high and then collapsed.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is a wedge rally over the past 2 weeks to a double top with the September 16 high on the daily chart. That is a common sell setup. Yesterday was an outside down bar and therefore a sell signal bar. Not only was yesterday outside down, it closed below Monday&#8217;s low. That increases the chance the resistance of the September 16 high will hold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The bulls might try for another test of the September 16 high before the bears get their 2nd leg down from the September 3 all-time high, but traders will look to sell rallies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trends need follow-through<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>It is a mistake to assume that one day makes a trend. The Emini has been in a trading range for over a month and it might continue sideways until the US election. For example, if it drifts down 300 and then bounces, the bulls will see a head and shoulders bull flag on the daily chart. They will buy, hoping to break above the neck line, which is yesterday&#8217;s high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Today is important. Trends panic traders. If today is a big bear day, then the bear trend from the September 3 high is likely resuming. But if today is a bull day, the bears will be disappointed. Disappointment is a hallmark of a trading range. That would increase the chance that the trading range will continue, maybe for a few more weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That July\/August streak of 9 consecutive bull bars was an important buy climax. Traders should expect the pullback to fall to at least a little below that July 26 bottom of the streak, which means below the September low.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Overnight Emini Globex trading <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The Emini is up 27 points in the Globex session. The day after an outside day is often an inside day. If the bulls can keep today inside of yesterday&#8217;s range, today will be a buy signal bar for tomorrow. They will then try again to break above the September 16 lower high within a few days. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The bears want a 2nd consecutive big bear day. But since the Emini has been in a trading range for 2 months, the bears will probably be disappointed by a lack of strong follow-through selling today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most bear trend days make a high early in the day. The bears therefore will try to get a reversal down in the 1st couple hours. If they are unable, today would then probably be either a trading range day or a bull trend day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Can today be a big bull trend day. That is unlikely after such a strong bear surprise. However, it could be a weak bull trend day and get back above last week&#8217;s high. That would undo a lot of yesterday&#8217;s bearishness and increase the chance that the 2-month trading range will continue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yesterday&#8217;s setups<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-and-then-bear-trend-reversal.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-and-then-bear-trend-reversal-680x383.png\" alt=\"Emini wedge bull flag and then bear trend reversal\" class=\"wp-image-107273\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-and-then-bear-trend-reversal-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-and-then-bear-trend-reversal-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-and-then-bear-trend-reversal-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-and-then-bear-trend-reversal-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-and-then-bear-trend-reversal.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I show each buy entry with a green rectangle and each sell entry with a red rectangle. I rarely also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. I do not want the lines to be distracting. If they are longer, I make them dotted. But, they have to be visible, so I make the shorter ones solid. Buyers of both the Brooks Trading Course and Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns have access to a much more detailed explanation of the swing trades for each day (see Online Course\/BTC Daily Setups).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not currently in the market, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">If the risk is too big for your account, you should wait for trades with less risk or trade an alternative market like the Micro Emini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD Forex market trading strategies<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/EURUSD-Forex-wedge-bear-flag-but-small-pullback-bull-trend.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/EURUSD-Forex-wedge-bear-flag-but-small-pullback-bull-trend-680x383.png\" alt=\"EURUSD Forex wedge bear flag but small pullback bull trend\" class=\"wp-image-107284\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/EURUSD-Forex-wedge-bear-flag-but-small-pullback-bull-trend-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/EURUSD-Forex-wedge-bear-flag-but-small-pullback-bull-trend-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/EURUSD-Forex-wedge-bear-flag-but-small-pullback-bull-trend-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/EURUSD-Forex-wedge-bear-flag-but-small-pullback-bull-trend-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/EURUSD-Forex-wedge-bear-flag-but-small-pullback-bull-trend.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The EURUSD Forex market on the daily chart formed a wedge bear flag over the past 2 weeks. Yesterday was a good sell signal bar. By going below yesterday&#8217;s low overnight, the sell signal on the daily chart triggered. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the EURUSD immediately reversed back up. Today so far is a bull bar and therefore a terrible entry bar for the bears.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 2 week rally has been in a Small Pullback Bull Trend. The September 21 sell climax high is a magnet above. If the bulls can break above it and above the September 10 high, traders will look for a test of the September 1 high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The EURUSD is back in its 2 month trading range. That means there is also always both a bull trend and a bear trend. If it continues down in a series of lower highs and lows, traders will say the bear trend began on September 1. If the 2 week rally continues up to above the September 1 high, traders will say that the 4 month bull trend resumed on September 25. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Because of the wedge top at resistance on the weekly chart (not shown), the odds are slightly better for the bears. But the EURUSD is back in its 2 month trading range. Consequently, the odds are only slightly better than 50%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Overnight EURUSD Forex trading<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The 5 minute chart of the EURUSD Forex market traded below yesterday&#8217;s low overnight, which triggered a sell signal on the daily chart. However, the breakout was small and the EURUSD reversed back up. The bulls want today to break above yesterday&#8217;s high. Today would then be an outside up bar after yesterday&#8217;s sell signal bar. That would increase the chance of a test of the September 21 sell climax high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If today closes near its high, traders will see today as a buy signal bar. They would wonder if the wedge bear flag on the daily chart failed and if the Small Pullback Bull Trend is continuing up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The reversal up from below yesterday&#8217;s sell signal bar makes a bear trend unlikely today. While the EURUSUD has been in a bull trend for 8 hours, the trend has not been particularly strong. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It has been easier to make money as a bull, but there has been a lot of trading range price action for 5 hours. That means that day traders are also willing to sell reversals down for scalps. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the lack of energy for several hours, today will probably not go much higher. The rally will probably stall around yesterday&#8217;s high. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fight will then be over the close. The bulls will buy selloffs, trying to get today to close near its high. That would make higher prices likely tomorrow. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The bears will sell rallies. They know today will remain a bull day, but if they can get the day to close in the middle of the range, they will try to break again below yesterday&#8217;s low tomorrow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini futures price action and what to expect tomorrow<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-bull-trending-trading-range-day.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-bull-trending-trading-range-day-680x383.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-107306\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-bull-trending-trading-range-day-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-bull-trending-trading-range-day-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-bull-trending-trading-range-day-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-bull-trending-trading-range-day-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-bull-trending-trading-range-day.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are several reasonable stop entry setups for today. I show each buy entry with a green rectangle and each sell entry with a red rectangle. I rarely also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. I do not want the lines to be distracting. If they are longer, I make them dotted. But, they have to be visible, so I make the shorter ones solid. Buyers of both the Brooks Trading Course and Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns have access to a much more detailed explanation of the swing trades for each day (see Online Course\/BTC Daily Setups).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not currently in the market, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">If the risk is too big for your account, you should wait for trades with less risk or trade an alternative market like the Micro Emini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">End of day summary<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The Emini gapped up on the open to the middle of yesterday&#8217;s collapse and then went sideways for a few hours. This is not how a bear trend typically begins. It then rallied for the rest of the day and retraced most of yesterday&#8217;s selloff. There was late profit-taking, but the day still closed above its midpoint. Today was a bull trending trading range day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Today was a bull inside day after an outside day on the daily chart. There is now an ioi Breakout Mode pattern. Today is both a buy and sell signal bar for tomorrow. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With today erasing so much of yesterday&#8217;s collapse and closing in the upper half of the range, and with the September 16 high still a magnet above, the Emini will probably test that high again this week. Also, today increased the chance that the Emini will trade higher up in the 3400 &#8211; 3500 sell zone. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders still should expect a break below the September low before there is a new high. However, the trading range could continue for a long time before the Emini has a 2nd leg down from the all-time high. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>See the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading Room<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed S&amp;P Emini futures price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Charts use Pacific Standard Time<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emini and Forex Trading Update:Wednesday October 7, 2020 I will update again at the end of the day. Pre-Open market analysis I have been saying for a month that 3400 &#8211; 3500 was the sell zone and that many traders wanted to wait for a break above the September 16 high before selling. Yesterday briefly [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":107273,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[281,60],"class_list":{"0":"post-107169","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-market-update","8":"tag-eurusd-forex","9":"tag-sp-emini","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Emini-wedge-bull-flag-and-then-bear-trend-reversal.png","author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107169","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107169"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107169\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107273"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107169"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107169"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107169"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}