{"id":148923,"date":"2022-04-16T06:59:00","date_gmt":"2022-04-16T13:59:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=148923"},"modified":"2022-04-16T02:13:08","modified_gmt":"2022-04-16T09:13:08","slug":"dax-futures-successful-low-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/dax-futures-successful-low-1\/","title":{"rendered":"DAX futures moved lower with successful Low 1"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: DAX 40 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>DAX futures<\/strong> moved lower last week with a successful Low 1 at moving average last week, now with 2 consecutive bear bars with tails below. We are always in short. Bulls are looking to scale in for a double bottom at the March low for a long-term trend resumption up. The bears are scalping so we might be sideways to down in a trading range next week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DAX 40 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> DAX chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Weekly-CSC-Bear-Bars.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Weekly-CSC-Bear-Bars-680x382.png\" alt=\"DAX 40 Weekly Chart Consecutive Bear Bars at 100-week Moving Average with successful Low 1\" class=\"wp-image-148980\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Weekly-CSC-Bear-Bars-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Weekly-CSC-Bear-Bars-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Weekly-CSC-Bear-Bars-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Weekly-CSC-Bear-Bars-1536x863.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Weekly-CSC-Bear-Bars-2048x1151.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>DAX 40 Weekly &#8211; Consecutive Bear Bars at the 100-Week Moving Average<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/indices\/germany-30\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The DAX 40 Weekly chart<\/a> has consecutive bear bars with tails below and we closed within the prior weeks range, so it is not as bearish as it could be.<\/li><li>We rejected the 20-week and 100-week MA and we are still always in short. We are still on the Low 1 MA sell from 2 weeks ago with a target to the 200-week MA below.<\/li><li>For the bulls it\u2019s a deep pullback from the sell climax reversal and longer-term trend resumption. But the maths isn\u2019t good, so they will likely scale in until they can find a double bottom near the 200-week moving average.<\/li><li>For the bears we are in a weaker bear channel, but it rejected the trend line so likely hoping for a second leg sideways to down.\u00a0<\/li><li>The bulls want a High 1 buy scalp up to the moving average, possible double bottom and trend resumption. But with the MA above they know bears will likely sell there and above it.<\/li><li>Bears want the bulls to give up and get a sell climax down to the March lows. <\/li><li>The maths is slightly better for the bears currently, 2 bear bars in a row but tails above and below so we are in a trading range on a lower timeframe.<\/li><li>If we stay in a tight trading range we can expect something to be wrong with the bars. The bulls might get the High 1 but a failed close above. The bears might trade lower but with more tails.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> DAX chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Daily-Bear-Leg-in-a-Tight-Trading-Range.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Daily-Bear-Leg-in-a-Tight-Trading-Range-680x382.png\" alt=\"DAX 40 Daily Chart Bear Leg in Tight Trading Range\" class=\"wp-image-148983\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Daily-Bear-Leg-in-a-Tight-Trading-Range-680x382.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Daily-Bear-Leg-in-a-Tight-Trading-Range-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Daily-Bear-Leg-in-a-Tight-Trading-Range-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Daily-Bear-Leg-in-a-Tight-Trading-Range.png 1344w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>DAX 40 Daily &#8211; Bear Leg in a Tight Trading Range<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The DAX traded sideways to down last week and last week was the 3<sup>rd<\/sup> week we had consecutive bear bars. <\/li><li>The bears see the moving average gap sell and now a 12-day bear channel. They have watched the bulls get a failed high 1 buy and a failed high 2 buy.<\/li><li>So there are no buyers above bars, but why are the bears selling below scalping out? If traders think we are in a trading range they will trade it like so.<\/li><li>We are below the moving average, we\u2019ve had three sets of consecutive bear bars so we are probably always in short. <\/li><li>But bad follow-through and big bars mean big risk, for both bulls and bears. It\u2019s limit order trading and low-probability swings. The daily ranges are tighter than that pair of jeans you never wear.<\/li><li>For the bulls it&#8217;s a bull flag, a deeper pullback from reversal up from the March 7<sup>th<\/sup> lows. It&#8217;s three pushes up and a wedge reversal so they expect two legs sideways to down before resuming. Will it turn into an endless pullback?<\/li><li>For the bears, they want to get a second leg down to the March lows and we might have started already. They saw the wedge and a possible head and shoulders last week which played out, but might wait to sell higher with a Low 2 closer to the moving average.<\/li><li>Markets have a way of making traders always chase it. If the bulls get a High 2 or High 3, or consecutive bull bars here, the spike and channel is still reasonable to get a move back up to at least the March 29<sup>th<\/sup> high. But you need a wide stop to scale in. We might get bears closing early and looking to sell up higher for a higher probability double top.<\/li><li>The bears see the March 29<sup>th<\/sup> as a lower low, confirmation of the bear breakout and retest of the range to move lower for a measured move is back down at March 7<sup>th<\/sup>. A good pair of consecutive bear bars next week should get some kind of sell climax down there.<\/li><li>With such tight trading, if you&#8217;re a beginner, regardless of whether you\u2019re long or short, I think you should be at the beach!<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: DAX 40 Futures DAX futures moved lower last week with a successful Low 1 at moving average last week, now with 2 consecutive bear bars with tails below. We are always in short. Bulls are looking to scale in for a double bottom at the March low for a long-term trend resumption up. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10339,"featured_media":148980,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1698,136],"tags":[1353,1700],"class_list":{"0":"post-148923","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-dax-40","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-consecutive-bear-bars","10":"tag-dax-40","11":"entry","12":"override","13":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/DAX-40-Weekly-CSC-Bear-Bars.png","author_info":{"display_name":"Timothy","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/timfairweathercagmail-com\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/148923","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10339"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=148923"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/148923\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/148980"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=148923"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=148923"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=148923"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}