{"id":151657,"date":"2022-05-21T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-05-21T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=151657"},"modified":"2022-05-21T06:11:17","modified_gmt":"2022-05-21T13:11:17","slug":"dax-40-double-bottom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/dax-40-double-bottom\/","title":{"rendered":"DAX 40 double bottom in bear channel"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: DAX 40 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>DAX 40 futures<\/strong> moved slightly higher last week with a DAX 40 double bottom in a bear channel. It is a tightening range so it&#8217;s breakout mode. It looks more bullish on the daily chart however with a possible higher low major trend reversal. The bulls want some follow through to break the bear trend into a trading range. The bears are still selling above bars, and at the moving averages, and will continue to do so, it is likely we will go sideways next week again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DAX 40 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> DAX chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Dax-40-Double-Bottom-in-Bear-Channel-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Dax-40-Double-Bottom-in-Bear-Channel-1-680x383.png\" alt=\"Dax 40 Double Bottom in Bear Channel\" class=\"wp-image-151734\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Dax-40-Double-Bottom-in-Bear-Channel-1-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Dax-40-Double-Bottom-in-Bear-Channel-1-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Dax-40-Double-Bottom-in-Bear-Channel-1-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Dax-40-Double-Bottom-in-Bear-Channel-1-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Dax-40-Double-Bottom-in-Bear-Channel-1.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>Dax 40 Double Bottom in Bear Channel<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/investing\/index\/dax?countrycode=dx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DAX 40 <\/a>weekly futures index was a small bear doji bar. with long tails above and below.<\/li><li>We said last week that we would trade sideways to up and to expect sellers. We also said that there might not be buyers for the follow-through bull bar.<\/li><li>The bulls see a double bottom buy setup with March 7<sup>th<\/sup>, but with no follow through last week they might need to drop lower to find buyers. <\/li><li>They see we rejected the 200-week moving average so we might need to go sideways before going back up.<\/li><li>Bears see a broad bear channel, and that we are still always in short. But it has been a tight trading range for the past 8 weeks and we closed right in the middle of this even tighter trading range &#8211; so it is breakout mode.<\/li><li>Bears have been selling above weekly highs for 8 weeks so expect more sellers at and above the moving average.&nbsp;<\/li><li>The bulls want a follow-through bar like 2 weeks ago, for a double bottom higher low major trend reversal and they might get it. But it could also be a bear flag and a good sell signal, so likely sideways to down for the time being.<\/li><li>The bears want the follow through to finish after 2 weeks as a bull trap for a continuation move down, hopefully forming a harmonic with the move down from January to March. But it might take a while to get there &#8211; maybe all year if we get there at all.<\/li><li>For the bulls, it&#8217;s a High 3, so it&#8217;s a wedge, looking for a follow through buy signal and measured move up. But we are below the moving average so they might scalp.<\/li><li>The math is bad for the bears, that is why we are stalling here. We are at the bottom of a tight trading range, in the bottom third of a larger range so the risk is big and the reward is small.<\/li><li>Bulls are happy to buy because it&#8217;s a swing buy in the bottom third of the range and the bottom third of the tighter trading range &#8211; low probability but a higher reward.<\/li><li>Some bulls are swinging with a target high up at the range highs so they will likely scale in lower as bears give up. If the double bottom holds they will start to more aggressive.<\/li><li>Bears want a follow-through bar to break through the range and set up the larger second leg but it might have finished last week.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> DAX chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/DAX-40-Higher-Low-Major-Trend-Reversal.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/DAX-40-Higher-Low-Major-Trend-Reversal-680x383.png\" alt=\"DAX 40 Higher Low Major Trend Reversal\" class=\"wp-image-151738\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/DAX-40-Higher-Low-Major-Trend-Reversal-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/DAX-40-Higher-Low-Major-Trend-Reversal-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/DAX-40-Higher-Low-Major-Trend-Reversal-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/DAX-40-Higher-Low-Major-Trend-Reversal-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/DAX-40-Higher-Low-Major-Trend-Reversal.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>DAX 40 Higher Low Major Trend Reversal<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/investing\/index\/dax?countrycode=dx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DAX 40<\/a> futures index was a bull bar on Friday with a tail on top.<\/li><li>Although we are still always in short, last week there were 2 large bull bars closing on their highs so it is not as bearish as it could be.<\/li><li>The bulls see a higher low major trend reversal with March 7<sup>th<\/sup>.&nbsp;<\/li><li>There is also a wedge reversal, three pushes down with April 12<sup>th<\/sup> and April 27<sup>th<\/sup> so traders might expect 2 legs up. We may have completed the first leg last week so may not necessarily see another move.<\/li><li>Traders also see a possible inverse head and shoulders with the neckline at Tuesday\u2019s high.<\/li><li>The bulls want a measured move from Tuesday\u2019s high. But the context is bad, we have been going sideways with reversals since February 24<sup>th<\/sup>. We are right in the middle of this range so it might be too far for the swing bulls to hold.<\/li><li>If the bulls can get consecutive bull bars closing on their highs that might take us up to the breakout point in February, but unlikely higher.<\/li><li>The bears see Tuesday as a moving average gap bar and it was a high probability sell signal in a bear trend. They sold it for a successful measured move based on the size of the bar and then scalped out.<\/li><li>Bears will keep selling the moving average but if they were unwilling to hold their swings it is reasonable that they will keep selling above slowing down a large bull move.<\/li><li>Wednesday closed on its low for the bears so if they can get another bar like that next week, we will likely move back down to the May 8<sup>th<\/sup> low.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: DAX 40 Futures DAX 40 futures moved slightly higher last week with a DAX 40 double bottom in a bear channel. It is a tightening range so it&#8217;s breakout mode. It looks more bullish on the daily chart however with a possible higher low major trend reversal. The bulls want some follow through [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10339,"featured_media":151734,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1698,136],"tags":[1700,337,1395],"class_list":{"0":"post-151657","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-dax-40","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-dax-40","10":"tag-double-bottom","11":"tag-higher-low-major-trend-reversal","12":"entry","13":"override","14":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Dax-40-Double-Bottom-in-Bear-Channel-1.png","author_info":{"display_name":"Timothy","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/timfairweathercagmail-com\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/151657","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10339"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=151657"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/151657\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/151734"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=151657"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=151657"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=151657"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}