{"id":154141,"date":"2022-06-19T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-06-19T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=154141"},"modified":"2022-06-20T11:30:55","modified_gmt":"2022-06-20T18:30:55","slug":"emini-channel-line-overshoot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/emini-channel-line-overshoot\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini breakout below May, trend channel line overshoot"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: S&amp;P 500 Emini Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The&nbsp;<strong>S&amp;P 500 Emini<\/strong>&nbsp;futures gapped down and broke below the May low. Bears want a continuation to measured moves below around 3600 and 3450. While the bulls have a trend channel line overshoot, they need at least a micro double bottom or a strong bull reversal bar before they would be willing to buy aggressively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S&amp;P500 Emini futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> S&amp;P 500 Emini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Weekly-2nd-Leg-BO-below-May-Low-TCL-Overshoot.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Weekly-2nd-Leg-BO-below-May-Low-TCL-Overshoot-680x383.png\" alt=\"SP50 Emini Weekly Chart 2nd Leg Breakout below May Low, Channel Line Overshoot\" class=\"wp-image-154418\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Weekly-2nd-Leg-BO-below-May-Low-TCL-Overshoot-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Weekly-2nd-Leg-BO-below-May-Low-TCL-Overshoot-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Weekly-2nd-Leg-BO-below-May-Low-TCL-Overshoot-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Weekly-2nd-Leg-BO-below-May-Low-TCL-Overshoot-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Weekly-2nd-Leg-BO-below-May-Low-TCL-Overshoot.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/indices\/us-spx-500-futures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">This week\u2019s Emini candlestick<\/a>\u00a0was a bear bar with a prominent tail below. It gapped down on Monday and closed below May low.<\/li><li>Last week, we said that odds slightly favor at least slightly lower prices, and the bears want another bear bar which will increase the odds of a breakout attempt below the May low, while bulls want a bull reversal bar even though the Emini may trade lower first.<\/li><li>The gap this week remained open which was a sign of strength from the bears.\u00a0<\/li><li>The bulls want a failed breakout below the May low.<\/li><li>They see a trend channel line overshoot, and a wedge bottom (Feb 24, May 20 and June 17).<\/li><li>However, since this week\u2019s candlestick had a big bear body, it is not a good buy signal bar for next week.<\/li><li>Bears want a continuation of the measured move down to 3600 or lower around 3450, based on the height of the 12-month trading range starting from May 2021.<\/li><li>This week\u2019s candlestick was a bear bar closing in the lower half of the range. It is a sell signal bar for next week.<\/li><li>There was only 1 bull bar in the last 11 weeks. That means persistent selling.<\/li><li>With the last 2 candlesticks closing near the low, odds continue to favor slightly lower prices.<\/li><li>However, the trend channel line overshoot increases the odds of a 2-legged sideways to up pullback beginning within 1 to 3 weeks.<\/li><li>The bulls will need at least a micro double bottom or a strong reversal bar before they would be willing to buy aggressively.<\/li><li>For now, odds slightly favor sideways to down for next week.<\/li><li>Bears want another bear bar closing near the low. Bulls on the other hand want next week to close near the high as a bull reversal bar with a long tail below even though the Emini may trade slightly lower first.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> S&amp;P 500 Emini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Daily-June-Tight-Channel-Down-TCL-Overshoot.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Daily-June-Tight-Channel-Down-TCL-Overshoot-680x383.png\" alt=\"SP50 Emini Daily Chart June Tight Channel Down Trend Line Channel Overshoot\" class=\"wp-image-154421\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Daily-June-Tight-Channel-Down-TCL-Overshoot-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Daily-June-Tight-Channel-Down-TCL-Overshoot-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Daily-June-Tight-Channel-Down-TCL-Overshoot-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Daily-June-Tight-Channel-Down-TCL-Overshoot-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Daily-June-Tight-Channel-Down-TCL-Overshoot.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The Emini gapped down on Monday and traded sideways for several days. Wednesday traded slightly higher but failed to close the gap.<\/li><li>Thursday gapped down once again but closed with a prominent tail below. Friday was a bull doji overlapping Thursday\u2019s range.<\/li><li>Last week, we said that the bears will need to create consecutive bear bars closing near the low to increase the odds of a breakout below the May low.<\/li><li>If the Emini stalls around the May low and the bulls get a strong bull reversal bar or a micro double bottom, we may see bulls return for a double bottom major trend reversal higher.<\/li><li>The bears got the breakout below May low this week with follow-through selling.<\/li><li>Bears want a continuation of the measured move down to around 3600 based on the height of the 9-month trading range or lower around 3450 based on the height of the 12-month trading range starting with May 2021.<\/li><li>The bulls want a failed breakout below the May low. They will need to start creating consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to convince traders that a reversal higher may be underway.<\/li><li>The bulls want a reversal higher from a trend channel line overshoot and a wedge bottom (Feb 24, May 20 and June 17).<\/li><li>While there is a micro double bottom on Jun 16 and Jun 17, those are likely just sideways consolidation bars.<\/li><li>Since Friday was only a bull doji, it is a weak buy signal bar for Tuesday.<\/li><li>The problem with the bull\u2019s case is that the move down since June 9 is in a tight channel. It increases the odds that the bears will get at least a small second leg sideways to down after a slightly larger pullback.<\/li><li>The bulls will need to create a strong reversal bar following the trend channel line overshoot or a more credible micro double bottom.<\/li><li>For now, odds slightly favor sideways to down and at least a small second leg sideways to down after a slightly larger pullback.<\/li><li>However, because the selling is climactic with a trend channel line overshoot, traders should be prepared for at least a small 2-legged sideways to up pullback to begin within 1-3 weeks.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading room<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders can see the end of the day <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. Al talks about the detailed Emini price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0S&amp;P 500 Emini\u00a0futures gapped down and broke below the May low. Bears want a continuation to measured moves below around 3600 and 3450. While the bulls have a trend channel line overshoot, they need at least a micro double bottom or a strong bull reversal bar before they would be willing to buy aggressively.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":154418,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[136,1843],"tags":[333,60,310],"class_list":{"0":"post-154141","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analysis","8":"category-sp500-emini","9":"tag-breakout","10":"tag-sp-emini","11":"tag-trend-channels","12":"entry","13":"override","14":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Emini-Weekly-2nd-Leg-BO-below-May-Low-TCL-Overshoot.png","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/154141","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=154141"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/154141\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/154418"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=154141"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=154141"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=154141"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}