{"id":154149,"date":"2022-06-18T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-06-18T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=154149"},"modified":"2022-06-18T02:06:50","modified_gmt":"2022-06-18T09:06:50","slug":"dax-failed-bull-breakout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/dax-failed-bull-breakout\/","title":{"rendered":"DAX failed bull breakout, possible double bottom"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: DAX 40 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>DAX failed bull breakout<\/strong> and a possible double bottom. Traders sold the market for the last 2 weeks so we should get a another leg down but it&#8217;s at key support so profit taking will take us sideways. If bulls can get a good reversal that might set the trading range boundaries for the next few months. If the bears can close strongly below the long-term averages we might keep heading lower to the measured move target from the January leg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DAX 40 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> DAX chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Failed-Bull-Breakout-Possible-Double-Bottom.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Failed-Bull-Breakout-Possible-Double-Bottom.jpg\" alt=\"DAX Failed Bull Breakout Possible Double Bottom on Weekly Chart\" class=\"wp-image-154266\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Failed-Bull-Breakout-Possible-Double-Bottom.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Failed-Bull-Breakout-Possible-Double-Bottom-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Failed-Bull-Breakout-Possible-Double-Bottom-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Failed-Bull-Breakout-Possible-Double-Bottom-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Failed-Bull-Breakout-Possible-Double-Bottom-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>DAX Failed Bull Breakout, Possible Double Bottom<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyfx.com\/dax-40\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dax 40<\/a> futures was a big bear bar closing near its lows so market should trade lower next week.<\/li><li>It was a failed bull breakout and also the second consecutive big bear bar so traders should expect at least a small second leg.<\/li><li>For the bulls, it&#8217;s a deep pullback for a double bottom with March 7<sup>th<\/sup> at the 13000 big round number. <\/li><li>Bulls have successfully traded long from here expecting the larger trend to continue, <strong>but perhaps the context is different now?<\/strong><\/li><li>They expect lower prices next week but will scale into longs below this week looking to at least create a wedge reversal possibly lower than March. <\/li><li>They know the best the bears will get in the medium-term is a trading range and it looks like we are at the bottom, so the math is better for buying.<\/li><li>Bulls know that no matter how bearish something looks in a trading range, traders should expect disappointment and reversals. They want an inside bar for a High 1 buy signal.<\/li><li>Ensuring the disappointment is equally shared after a failed breakout long, it might be a failed breakout short!\u00a0<\/li><li>For the bears, they see it as the 2<sup>nd<\/sup> leg of the lower high major trend reversal in January and are looking for a harmonic move of the same length. Though that puts it into 11000 territory or Oct 2020 which is a pandemic zone and probably too low.<\/li><li>Bears see the failed bull breakout of a higher low, double bottom attempt at a major trend reversal. You can see every bull exited in a hurry and bears sold the market.\u00a0<\/li><li>The bears want a weekly bar closing completely below the 200-week moving average (MA) which hasn\u2019t happened in 2 years so it makes you wonder just how bearish can it be yet.<\/li><li>The bears look left and see both times we have a strong bear bar into that long-term average, it was a sell climax and was the start of an aggressive bull trend. If you are short, you&#8217;re looking to take profits. The small tail on the end of the bar shows this. <\/li><li>Two weeks ago bears held into the weekend, but this Friday they did not.<\/li><li>If bears are scalping and selling above bars, bulls will be buying below bars so we might go sideways. This is bad for the bears at support. They need a strong break and close below the 13000 big round number to convince traders we will move down.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> DAX chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Tight-Bear-Channel-Low-in-a-Trading-Range.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Tight-Bear-Channel-Low-in-a-Trading-Range.jpg\" alt=\"DAX Daily Chart Tight Bear Channel Low in a Trading Range\" class=\"wp-image-154271\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Tight-Bear-Channel-Low-in-a-Trading-Range.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Tight-Bear-Channel-Low-in-a-Trading-Range-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Tight-Bear-Channel-Low-in-a-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Tight-Bear-Channel-Low-in-a-Trading-Range-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Tight-Bear-Channel-Low-in-a-Trading-Range-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>DAX Tight Bear Channel Low in a Trading Range<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyfx.com\/dax-40\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dax 40<\/a> futures was a small bull inside bar with a tail on top. It followed a down week and a sell climax on Thursday.<\/li><li>It was a failed bull breakout and the bulls see an area for a double bottom at the bottom of a trading range. They made money buying here last time so will start to scale in to do it again here.<\/li><li>They see a failed breakout and now are trying for a double bottom, lower low major trend reversal.<\/li><li>The bulls want a High 1 buy but after such a large streak who wants to buy here? Waiting for a second entry buy at the bottom of the range would be a higher probability long.<\/li><li>Some traders look at averages crossing and recently saw them do so for the first time in 5 months. Bulls are able to rally strongly so it is more likely we are in a trading range.<\/li><li>Trading ranges are full of disappointment and the bears might have to handle a failed breakout instead. Other commodity, metal and Forex charts are doing similar right now as traders wonder how much inflation is priced in already.<\/li><li>The bears see an 8-bar tight bear channel and expect a second leg lower. They see the larger weekly move from January to March as the first leg and want this to be the start of an equidistant harmonic move.<\/li><li>They see the lack of follow-through after Thursday and suspect we might be transitioning into a trading range so will look to sell above bars instead of below which will mean sideways to down next week.<\/li><li>Even so, a reasonable measured move target would be the 5 bear bars before the pullback which would put us in new lows for the year. Once again, Monday is the day to watch, if the US session continues a down Euro session it could be another move down.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: DAX 40 Futures DAX failed bull breakout and a possible double bottom. Traders sold the market for the last 2 weeks so we should get a another leg down but it&#8217;s at key support so profit taking will take us sideways. If bulls can get a good reversal that might set the trading [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10339,"featured_media":154266,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1698,136],"tags":[1700,130],"class_list":{"0":"post-154149","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-dax-40","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-dax-40","10":"tag-failed-bull-breakout","11":"entry","12":"override","13":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/DAX-Failed-Bull-Breakout-Possible-Double-Bottom.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Timothy","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/timfairweathercagmail-com\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/154149","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10339"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=154149"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/154149\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/154266"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=154149"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=154149"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=154149"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}