{"id":164913,"date":"2022-11-20T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-11-20T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=164913"},"modified":"2022-11-20T01:22:02","modified_gmt":"2022-11-20T09:22:02","slug":"emini-wedge-bear-flag","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/emini-wedge-bear-flag\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini Wedge Bear Flag, No Follow-through Buying"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: S&amp;P 500 Emini Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The\u00a0<strong>S&amp;P 500 Emini<\/strong>\u00a0futures formed an Emini wedge bear flag on the weekly chart. The bulls did not get follow-through buying. The bulls expect at least a small second leg sideways to up after a pullback. The bears need to create strong consecutive bear bars closing near their lows, similar to August to increase the odds of a retest of the October low.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S&amp;P500 Emini futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> S&amp;P 500 Emini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Weekly-No-Bull-FT-Bar-Thanksgiving-Week.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Weekly-No-Bull-FT-Bar-Thanksgiving-Week-680x383.png\" alt=\"Emini Wedge bear Flag on Weekly: No Bull FT Bar, Thanksgiving Week.\" class=\"wp-image-165040\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Weekly-No-Bull-FT-Bar-Thanksgiving-Week-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Weekly-No-Bull-FT-Bar-Thanksgiving-Week-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Weekly-No-Bull-FT-Bar-Thanksgiving-Week-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Weekly-No-Bull-FT-Bar-Thanksgiving-Week-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Weekly-No-Bull-FT-Bar-Thanksgiving-Week.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/indices\/us-spx-500-futures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">This week\u2019s Emini candlestick<\/a>&nbsp;was a bear doji with tails above and below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Last week, we said the odds slightly favor the Emini to trade at least a little higher. Traders will see if the bulls can get a follow-through bull bar.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While this week traded above last week\u2019s high, the Emini reversed to close below it. The bulls did not get a bull follow-through bar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls got a reversal higher from a wedge bottom (Feb 24, June 17 and Oct 13) with a nested wedge (Sept 6, Sept 30 and Oct 13).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They then got a second leg sideways to up from a higher low major trend reversal (Nov 3).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While the move up from October low is in a tight bull channel, there is a lot of overlapping price action.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>That means the bulls are not as strong as they would like to be.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The problem with the bull\u2019s case is that the selloff from August was very strong. The sideways to up leg may lead to a lower high. For now, this remains true.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls need to create strong consecutive bull bars closing near their highs breaking far above the major bear trend line to signal the end of the correction.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears got a tight bear channel down testing the June low but failed to get follow-through selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears hope that the current pullback is simply forming a wedge bear flag (Oct 5, Oct 28, and Nov 15) or a double top bear flag (Sept 12) and a lower high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Next week, they will need to create a strong follow-through bear bar to increase the odds of lower prices.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest of the October low followed by a strong breakout and a measured move down to around 3450 or the 3400 Big Round Number which is also 2020 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears see the selloff from January as a broad bear channel. The major bear trend line remains as resistance above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since this week was a bear doji, it is a weaker sell signal bar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Next week is a shortened trading week due to the Thanksgiving holiday. This slightly increases the odds of more sideways trading.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Unless the bears get a surprising big bear spike with subsequent follow-through selling like in August, odds slightly favor at least a small second leg sideways to up after a pullback.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> S&amp;P 500 Emini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Daily-Weak-FT-Wedge-Bear-Flag.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Daily-Weak-FT-Wedge-Bear-Flag-680x383.png\" alt=\"Emini Daily: Weak FT, Wedge Bear Flag\" class=\"wp-image-165043\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Daily-Weak-FT-Wedge-Bear-Flag-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Daily-Weak-FT-Wedge-Bear-Flag-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Daily-Weak-FT-Wedge-Bear-Flag-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Daily-Weak-FT-Wedge-Bear-Flag-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Daily-Weak-FT-Wedge-Bear-Flag.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Emini traded higher on Monday and Tuesday but both days closed as bear bars. Thursday broke below Wednesday&#8217;s inside bar but reversed into a bull bar. Friday opened higher but closed as a bear bar with a long tail below.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Last week, we said that the odds slightly favor sideways to up.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While this week traded above last week\u2019s high, it was mostly sideways to slightly down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls see the strong selloff from August simply as a sell vacuum testing June low within a broad bear channel. A broad bear channel is almost a trading range that is tilted down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They got a reversal higher from a lower low major trend reversal with the June low, a wedge bull flag (Feb 24, June 17, and Oct 13) and a nested wedge (Sept 6, Sept 30 and Oct 13).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They then got the second leg sideways to up from a higher low major trend reversal (Nov 3).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This week, the bulls did not get strong follow-through buying. They see this week as a breakout test of the October high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The problem with the bull\u2019s case is that the selloff from August 16 was very strong. Sideways to up pullbacks may lead to a lower high. For now, this remains true.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls need to create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs (strong spike up) and trading far above the major bear trend line, to convince traders that a reversal higher is underway.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The next targets for the bulls are the September 12 high and the major bear trend line.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears want a strong breakout below the October low followed by a measured move down to 3450 or slightly lower around the 3400 big round number which is also the 2020 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the current move as a developing wedge bear flag (Oct 5 or 18, Nov 1 and Nov 11) and a double top bear flag with the September 12 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see the selloff from January as a broad bear channel. If the Emini trades higher, the bears want a reversal from a lower high around the major bear trend line.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since Friday was a bear bar with a long tail below, it is a weak sell signal bar for Monday.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Next week is a shortened trading week due to the Thanksgiving holiday. This slightly increases the odds of sideways trading.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, odds slightly favor at least a small second leg sideways to up after the current pullback.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading room<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders can see the end of the day <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. Al talks about the detailed Emini price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: S&amp;P 500 Emini Futures The\u00a0S&amp;P 500 Emini\u00a0futures formed an Emini wedge bear flag on the weekly chart. The bulls did not get follow-through buying. The bulls expect at least a small second leg sideways to up after a pullback. The bears need to create strong consecutive bear bars closing near their lows, similar [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":165040,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[136,1843],"tags":[60,1455,341],"class_list":{"0":"post-164913","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analysis","8":"category-sp500-emini","9":"tag-sp-emini","10":"tag-weak-follow-through","11":"tag-wedge","12":"entry","13":"override","14":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Emini-Weekly-No-Bull-FT-Bar-Thanksgiving-Week.png","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/164913","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=164913"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/164913\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/165040"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=164913"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=164913"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=164913"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}