{"id":166684,"date":"2022-12-17T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-12-17T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=166684"},"modified":"2022-12-16T22:32:23","modified_gmt":"2022-12-17T06:32:23","slug":"dax-40-consecutive-bars","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/dax-40-consecutive-bars\/","title":{"rendered":"DAX 40 Consecutive Bars, Bear Surprise"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: DAX 40 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>DAX futures<\/strong> this week was consecutive bars, a bear surprise after such a tight bull channel. Although it is outside down, the bulls will expect a second leg up, so it might be a bear trap. The bears will probably get a second leg sideways to down to the breakout point below before traders decide. We would then be in the middle of the trading range again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DAX 40 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> DAX chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Consecutive-Bear-Bars-Surprise.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Consecutive-Bear-Bars-Surprise.jpg\" alt=\"DAX 40 Consecutive Bear Bars, Surprise\" class=\"wp-image-166763\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Consecutive-Bear-Bars-Surprise.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Consecutive-Bear-Bars-Surprise-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Consecutive-Bear-Bars-Surprise-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Consecutive-Bear-Bars-Surprise-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Consecutive-Bear-Bars-Surprise-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">DAX 40 Consecutive Bear Bars, Surprise<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ig.com\/en\/indices\/markets-indices\/germany-40\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DAX 40 futures <\/a>chart was consecutive bars, a bear surprise bar closing on its low, so we might gap down next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It is the second of consecutive bear bars, high in a trading range, so it is a surprise, and most traders will expect a second leg sideways to down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It is an outside down bar, a form of a tight trading range, which can trap traders.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see a pullback after a 9-bar tight bull micro channel. Traders bought below last fortnight and sold above for a micro double top. They want two legs to test the BO point on Oct 13<sup>th <\/sup>for a larger second leg up. Trading ranges often test swing points, so this is reasonable. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears see a double top with June and were quick to sell, hoping for a move to the lows of the range. The bull leg is strong, so it is likely to find buyers on the way down and might form a wedge bottom.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears want a break below the October swing BO test &#8211; the moves to the left have been very fast, so this is also reasonable. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Most traders should be short or flat. Always in bulls exited below last week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls want this to be a sell climax and a bear trap to buy below and break above these highs to a trading range above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears want a measuring gap to move down &#8211; they know many bears sold the previous double top below this week and are currently trapped. They want to exit with a breakeven \/ avoid a loss and make a profit on their second entry.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Most traders expect a second leg sideways to down, so either we continue down next week or go sideways first.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> DAX chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Breakout-and-Follow-Through-Failed-Wedge.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Breakout-and-Follow-Through-Failed-Wedge.jpg\" alt=\"DAX 40 Breakout and Follow Through, Failed Wedge\" class=\"wp-image-166759\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Breakout-and-Follow-Through-Failed-Wedge.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Breakout-and-Follow-Through-Failed-Wedge-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Breakout-and-Follow-Through-Failed-Wedge-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Breakout-and-Follow-Through-Failed-Wedge-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Breakout-and-Follow-Through-Failed-Wedge-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">DAX 40 Breakout and Follow Through, Failed Wedge<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ig.com\/en\/indices\/markets-indices\/germany-40\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DAX 40 futures<\/a> was a bear bar with a small tail below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It had a slightly lower close than Thursday&#8217;s big bear bar. So it is consecutive bear bars, a breakout with follow-through, so an always in short signal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see a small pullback bull trend and a deeper pullback to a prior breakout point. That makes this a test to form a channel, a double bottom bull flag and continuation.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see a wedge bull flag and a breakout down, with follow through, so they see a continuation to the short side, to the lower channel line on Nov 3<sup>rd<\/sup>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So who is correct? Both sides can be correct in a trading range. We are likely to test all the BO swing points.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The math favours bears selling in the top third of the trading range, so a sell below here is reasonable. The problem is with such a strong trend it might need to create a lower high before reversing down. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls will look to create a deeper wedge and form a trading range before it reverses. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Most traders should be looking for stop entries, but in trading ranges, they can often signal traps and reversals. It is better to wait for the second entry. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears want a lower high and consecutive big bear bars like in June. They probably wont get it.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls want a moving average gap bar buy setup and a a bear trap for trend resumption. There are probably trapped bulls above last week. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: DAX 40 Futures DAX futures this week was consecutive bars, a bear surprise after such a tight bull channel. Although it is outside down, the bulls will expect a second leg up, so it might be a bear trap. The bears will probably get a second leg sideways to down to the breakout [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10339,"featured_media":166763,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1698,136],"tags":[1353,1700,1392],"class_list":{"0":"post-166684","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-dax-40","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-consecutive-bear-bars","10":"tag-dax-40","11":"tag-surprise-bar","12":"entry","13":"override","14":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/DAX-40-Consecutive-Bear-Bars-Surprise.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Timothy","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/timfairweathercagmail-com\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166684","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10339"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=166684"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166684\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/166763"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=166684"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=166684"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=166684"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}