{"id":168380,"date":"2023-01-15T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2023-01-15T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=168380"},"modified":"2023-01-14T23:27:00","modified_gmt":"2023-01-15T07:27:00","slug":"bitcoin-testing-20-week-ema","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/bitcoin-testing-20-week-ema\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin testing 20-week EMA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Bitcoin Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/crypto\/bitcoin\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/crypto\/bitcoin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Bitcoin futures<\/a><\/strong> are testing the 20-week exponential moving average (testing 20-week EMA). During the week, the Bitcoin price increased +15.71% of its value. After 8 weeks of extremely low volatility, traders wonder if this is the start of a large move. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> chart of Bitcoin futures<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-weekly-20-week-ema-bull-breakout.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-weekly-20-week-ema-bull-breakout.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin weekly chart testing 20-week EMA Bull Breakout\" class=\"wp-image-168498\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-weekly-20-week-ema-bull-breakout.png 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-weekly-20-week-ema-bull-breakout-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-weekly-20-week-ema-bull-breakout-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-weekly-20-week-ema-bull-breakout-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-weekly-20-week-ema-bull-breakout-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Analysis<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This weekly candlestick is a bull breakout bar that closed above the 20-week EMA. The bar gapped up on Monday and did not test the closing price of the past week, meaning that the bulls were eager to buy at the market, a sign that the bulls are in. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It is the first time since May 2022 that Bitcoin closed a week above the 20-week EMA.  <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The context is more likely a trading range instead of a bear trend, but if right after testing the EMA the price reaches a new low of the bear trend, the trading range market cycle will no longer be valid.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>When the price it is considered to be within a trading range, anything below the 20-EMA is considered \u201ccheap\u201d; anything above is considered \u201cexpensive\u201d.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Nowadays, the price is either:\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bull case: \n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Reversing up after a lower low major trend reversal or a final flag pattern.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls hope that this is the start of the long-awaited bull leg that will drive the price up to June 2021 low or to the prior major lower high. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bear case: \n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Vacuum testing the 20 EMA before continuing the bear trend. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears know that the first reversal up will be probably minor, since there are strong open gaps along the way up.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since this week was a strong bull breakout bar following a breakout mode pattern (tight trading range) we should expect higher prices for the next week.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bulls:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bulls have a good buy signal bar after a final flag pattern. The probability is likely around 50% and the risk-reward ratio surpasses 1:2; Therefore, it looks good for the bulls if they place their Stop Loss below the current week&#8217;s low and take their profit around the June 2021 low.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears: \n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bears might sell right at the 20 EMA, but they are coming from failing a bear flag trend continuation pattern; They know that the first reversal up will probably fail, and they might wait to sell higher, where many bulls will exit prior trapped longs. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> chart of Bitcoin futures<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-daily-bull-breakout-in-trading-range.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-daily-bull-breakout-in-trading-range.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin daily chart Bull surprise in Trading Range\" class=\"wp-image-168489\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-daily-bull-breakout-in-trading-range.png 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-daily-bull-breakout-in-trading-range-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-daily-bull-breakout-in-trading-range-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-daily-bull-breakout-in-trading-range-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-daily-bull-breakout-in-trading-range-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Analysis<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>During the week, all bars were bull bars: the buying was relentless. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>There is a 6-bar micro channel: traders should expect a pullback starting the next 1\u20133 days. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This leg is strong enough to expect another one or two legs up. Bulls are strong, they are buying at the market, they hope that this is the start of a spike and channel bull trend. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The price is breaking above various price levels:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>12\/14 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Major bear trend line.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>June 2022 close. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>On the left of the chart, there is a trading range, which represents an area of agreement. This might be just a 2-legged up move within a trading range. However, traders should expect more upside because many bears have their stop losses at the major lower high, and it is expected that this move will get there. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>There are various bullish measured moves in play; the nearest one is at $20750, and it is based upon the size of a prior bear climax. If the price gets above that level without signs of profit taking, traders might look at a measured move based on the total distance between 11\/09 low and 12\/14 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the price gets to the major lower high, it will technically end the bear channel.  Ultimately, bulls want to get to test the 200-day simple moving average (the only moving average shown on the chart). <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bulls:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>They think that they are in a spike and channel bull trend. After a 6-bull micro channel, they might either wait to buy a pullback, or trade small and add to their positions during a pullback: the stop loss is far away; thus, the risk is big.  The chances are that the price it will get to the major lower high.  <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bears hope that this is just a bull climax within a trading range; hence, they will sell a micro double top or a breakout mode pattern such as an \u201cii\u201d. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Bitcoin Futures Bitcoin futures are testing the 20-week exponential moving average (testing 20-week EMA). During the week, the Bitcoin price increased +15.71% of its value. After 8 weeks of extremely low volatility, traders wonder if this is the start of a large move. Bitcoin futures The Weekly chart of Bitcoin futures Analysis Trading [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7271,"featured_media":168498,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1904,136],"tags":[223,1873,324],"class_list":["post-168380","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin","category-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-bull-breakout","tag-cryptocurrency","entry","override","shadow"],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/bitcoin-weekly-20-week-ema-bull-breakout.png","author_info":{"display_name":"Josep","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/cnjoseluis10gmail-com\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/168380","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7271"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=168380"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/168380\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/168498"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=168380"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=168380"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=168380"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}