{"id":173757,"date":"2023-03-19T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2023-03-19T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=173757"},"modified":"2023-03-18T22:41:44","modified_gmt":"2023-03-19T05:41:44","slug":"emini-futures-opened-lower","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/emini-futures-opened-lower\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini Futures Opened Lower but No Follow-through"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: S&amp;P 500 Emini Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>S&amp;P 500 Emini<\/strong> futures opened lower but no follow-through selling. The bears hope that this week was simply a pullback and want another leg down forming the wedge pattern with the first two legs being March 2 and March 13. The bulls hope that the current pullback will form a higher low and reverse up from a double bottom bull flag with the December low.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S&amp;P500 Emini futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> S&amp;P 500 Emini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Weekly-No-FT-DB-Bull-Flag-Bear-Leg-in-TR.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Weekly-No-FT-DB-Bull-Flag-Bear-Leg-in-TR-680x383.png\" alt=\"Emini Futures Opened Lower on Weekly: No Follow-through, DB Bull Flag, Bear Leg in TR\" class=\"wp-image-173954\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Weekly-No-FT-DB-Bull-Flag-Bear-Leg-in-TR-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Weekly-No-FT-DB-Bull-Flag-Bear-Leg-in-TR-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Weekly-No-FT-DB-Bull-Flag-Bear-Leg-in-TR-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Weekly-No-FT-DB-Bull-Flag-Bear-Leg-in-TR-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Weekly-No-FT-DB-Bull-Flag-Bear-Leg-in-TR.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/indices\/us-spx-500-futures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">This week\u2019s Emini candlestick<\/a>&nbsp;was a bull bar with a prominent tail above, closing above the middle of the range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Last week, we said that odds slightly favor the Emini to trade at least a little lower and if the bears get strong follow-through selling, the odds of a retest of the October increase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This opened lower but traded sideways to up for the week. The bears did not get follow-through selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see the move up to February 2 high simply as a two-legged swing up.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They got a reversal down from a higher high major trend reversal.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They then got a second leg sideways to down from a lower high major trend reversal (Mar 6).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While some traders may view December high as a major lower high, the bears would need to see a break above the August high to be sure of the end of the bear trend.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears hope that this week was simply a pullback and want another leg down forming the wedge pattern with the first two legs being March 2 and March 13.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since this week was a bull bar with a prominent tail above, it is not a strong sell signal bar for next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see the last 8 months as forming an inverted head and shoulders, with the December low being the right shoulder.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>However, an inverted head and shoulders pattern often ends up as a bear flag instead of a reversal pattern.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls hope that the current pullback will form a higher low and reverse up from a double bottom bull flag with the December low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>By breaking above the December high, they hope the bear trend of successively lower highs and lower lows has ended.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need to break far above the December and August highs to signal the end of the selloff.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Next week, the bulls will need to create a follow-through bull bar to increase the odds of a retest of the February 2 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Emini is in a smaller 21-week trading range around 3750 and 4200.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a strong breakout from either direction.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bulls can create a follow-through bull bar or if next week forms a surprise breakout below the December low.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> S&amp;P 500 Emini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-Trading-Range-Lower-High.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-Trading-Range-Lower-High-680x383.png\" alt=\"Emini Daily: Wedge Bull Flag, Trading Range, Lower High\" class=\"wp-image-173957\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-Trading-Range-Lower-High-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-Trading-Range-Lower-High-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-Trading-Range-Lower-High-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-Trading-Range-Lower-High-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-Trading-Range-Lower-High.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Emini gapped lower on Monday but the bears did not get follow-through selling. The market traded sideways to up for the rest of the week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Last week, we said that odds slightly favor sideways to down and traders will see if the bears can create follow-through selling breaking far below the December low.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears recently got the second leg sideways to down from a lower high major trend reversal (Mar 6).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the move up from October 2022 simply as forming a double top bear flag (Aug 16 and Feb 2) within a broad bear channel.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They determine that the August high is the last major lower high, therefore, believe that the Emini is still in a bear trend.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a strong break below the December low and a retest of the October low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears hope that this week was simply a pullback and want another leg down completing the wedge pattern with the first two legs being February 24 and March 13.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need to continue creating consecutive bear bars closing near their lows to convince traders that a retest of the October low is underway.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls got a breakout above December high but did not get sustained follow-through buying.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>By trading above the December high, the bulls hope that the bear trend has ended, and the market has either transitioned into a trading range or a bull trend.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls want the current pullback to stall at a higher low and reverse up from a double bottom bull flag with the December low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest of February high and another big leg up, completing the wedge pattern with the first two legs being December 1 and February 2.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need to break far above the December and August highs, to convince traders that the selloff from January 2022 has ended.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the Emini trades lower, they want a reversal up from a higher low major trend reversal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since Friday was an inside bear bar, the Emini is in breakout mode.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The first breakout from an inside bar can fail 50% of the time.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Emini is in a smaller 21-week trading range around 3750 and 4200 within a larger trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move up from October 2022 may simply be a bull leg within the 4300 and 3500 trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bears can create another leg down, breaking below the December low or will next week trades slightly lower but reverse from a double bottom with March 13 low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the bulls get consecutive bull bars closing near their highs breaking far above the 20-day exponential moving average, the odds of a retest of February high increase.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading room<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time each day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: S&amp;P 500 Emini Futures The S&amp;P 500 Emini futures opened lower but no follow-through selling. The bears hope that this week was simply a pullback and want another leg down forming the wedge pattern with the first two legs being March 2 and March 13. The bulls hope that the current pullback will [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":173954,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[136,1843],"tags":[60,1455],"class_list":{"0":"post-173757","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analysis","8":"category-sp500-emini","9":"tag-sp-emini","10":"tag-weak-follow-through","11":"entry","12":"override","13":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Emini-Weekly-No-FT-DB-Bull-Flag-Bear-Leg-in-TR.png","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173757","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=173757"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173757\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/173954"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=173757"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=173757"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=173757"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}