{"id":177050,"date":"2023-04-29T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-04-29T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=177050"},"modified":"2023-04-30T02:43:11","modified_gmt":"2023-04-30T09:43:11","slug":"ftse-100-small-pullback","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/ftse-100-small-pullback\/","title":{"rendered":"FTSE 100 Small Pullback Bull Trend, Double Top"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: FTSE 100 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The\u00a0<strong>FTSE futures <\/strong>market has been in a small pullback bull trend since COVID. We moved higher last month, retracing the deep 50% pullback in March. The bears are happy with the sell-off before and will look to sell above February. The bulls will buy all pullbacks to the moving average until they take a loss. Sideways for 12 months, so selling high in the trading range is a profitable strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">FTSE 100 Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Monthly<\/em> FTSE chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Small-Pullback-Bull-Trend-Double-Top.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Small-Pullback-Bull-Trend-Double-Top.jpg\" alt=\"FTSE 100 Small Pullback Bull Trend, Double Top\" class=\"wp-image-177256\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Small-Pullback-Bull-Trend-Double-Top.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Small-Pullback-Bull-Trend-Double-Top-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Small-Pullback-Bull-Trend-Double-Top-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Small-Pullback-Bull-Trend-Double-Top-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Small-Pullback-Bull-Trend-Double-Top-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">FTSE 100 Small Pullback Bull Trend, Double Top<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.londonstockexchange.com\/indices\/ftse-100\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">FTSE 100 futures<\/a> has been in a small pullback bull trend for some time now.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A bull bar was closing near its high, which is a buy signal for next month.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It is also an inside bar &#8211; no breakout above or below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Inside bar breakouts fail at a higher rate &#8211; so the first breakout may come back to test it.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It is a triangle on a lower time frame, and triangles late in trend can often be final flags. Any break above this pattern will typically come back to test it before the market decides.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see a small pullback bull trend. The 50% pullback in March was bought up. Buying the moving average (MA) in a strong trend is a profitable strategy.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see a possible lower high double top, a bear surprise last month and reasonable to sell above it.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see it as a bull flag and want a High 1 or High 2 buy &#8211; but so far above the MA might be too much for bulls &#8211; who will want to buy lower.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see a failed breakout above June 2022 prior high &#8211; it was reasonable for bears to sell there. Because there have been at least 3 legs in this move &#8211; bears will short more aggressively. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls need a breakout above and follow-through to convince traders there is a measured move above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Both sides are likely to be disappointed &#8211; the structure is more similar to a broad bull channel &#8211;  a sloping trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>December was a bad buy signal &#8211; so smart bulls bought above there. Aggressive bears were selling, betting we would get back to test it.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears want this last move up to be a wedge reversal and two legs sideways to down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see that March bar as disappointing, but it closed above its midpoint, so it&#8217;s technically a bull bar. The bears might need two more reversals to get a scalp back down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls also hit a new All Time High (ATH), so there is nothing to sell yet. Bears must get a sell signal and hit s scalp target before momentum to the downside appears.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>When the signal bars are bad, but the move goes 1:1 risk reward anyway, that is a sign of a trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Expect sideways to up next month as it triggers another buy signal.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> FTSE chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Bull-Micro-Channel-1st-Pullback.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Bull-Micro-Channel-1st-Pullback.jpg\" alt=\"FTSE 100 Bull Micro Channel, 1st Pullback\" class=\"wp-image-177260\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Bull-Micro-Channel-1st-Pullback.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Bull-Micro-Channel-1st-Pullback-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Bull-Micro-Channel-1st-Pullback-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Bull-Micro-Channel-1st-Pullback-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Bull-Micro-Channel-1st-Pullback-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">FTSE 100 Bull Micro Channel, 1st Pullback<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The FTSE 100 futures on the weekly chart was a small bear bar closing above its midpoint &#8211; technically, a bull bar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It is a bull micro channel and the first pullback &#8211; a buy signal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>I&#8217;ve highlighted some inside and outside bars on the chart to show the support and resistance flips.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>In February, we had an outside up bar that should have been support &#8211; that failed (the green bar.) <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>When the market went down to the 50% pullback of the last leg &#8211; it came back, and we are stalling here as resistance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It can be a difficult trade to take &#8211; selling 4 bull bars &#8211; but aggressive bears made money last week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The high of the sell climax bar is also resistance, so we might have another move and pullback above &#8211; setting up a wedge reversal. The second leg of a double top is often a wedge.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>But the bulls have been making lots of money &#8211; and probably expect a second leg after such a strong micro channel. This could trap bears, and we could get back to the highs of the tight trading range above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see a double bottom and want a measured move above the ATH.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see a potential double top &#8211; but they need a better sell signal to make it happen. They might need two more &#8211; as this week was too strong for a sell signal &#8211; it might hit the stops of those bears.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Smart bears will scale in higher and trade small.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Most traders should be long or flat &#8211; exit below the low of a bear bar closing below its midpoint &#8211; so not last week. Or a scalp below any bar. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Stops did not get hit so still on the swing.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>But the bear bar is not a great buy signal &#8211; expect sideways to up next week.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: FTSE 100 Futures The\u00a0FTSE futures market has been in a small pullback bull trend since COVID. We moved higher last month, retracing the deep 50% pullback in March. The bears are happy with the sell-off before and will look to sell above February. The bulls will buy all pullbacks to the moving average [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10339,"featured_media":177256,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1697,136],"tags":[328,1699,340],"class_list":["post-177050","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ftse-100","category-analysis","tag-double-top","tag-ftse-100","tag-small-pullback-bull-trend","entry","override","shadow"],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FTSE-100-Small-Pullback-Bull-Trend-Double-Top.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Timothy","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/timfairweathercagmail-com\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/177050","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10339"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=177050"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/177050\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/177256"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=177050"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=177050"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=177050"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}