{"id":203915,"date":"2024-03-31T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-03-31T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=203915"},"modified":"2024-03-31T01:44:38","modified_gmt":"2024-03-31T08:44:38","slug":"crude-oil-bull-leg","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/crude-oil-bull-leg\/","title":{"rendered":"Crude Oil Bull Leg"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The weekly chart is in a persistent bull channel which could be the start of the Crude Oil bull leg to retest the trading range high. The bears will need to create sustained follow-through selling closing below the 20-week EMA but they have not yet been able to do so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Crude oil futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Monthly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-FT-Bull-Bar-above-20-Month-EMA.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-FT-Bull-Bar-above-20-Month-EMA-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Monthly: FT Bull Bar above 20-Month EMA, Crude Oil Bull Leg\" class=\"wp-image-204175\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-FT-Bull-Bar-above-20-Month-EMA-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-FT-Bull-Bar-above-20-Month-EMA-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-FT-Bull-Bar-above-20-Month-EMA-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-FT-Bull-Bar-above-20-Month-EMA-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-FT-Bull-Bar-above-20-Month-EMA.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The March monthly Crude Oil candlestick was a bull bar closing near its high and was a follow-through bull bar following last month\u2019s close above the 20-month EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/crude-oil-wedge-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last month<\/a>, we said that the market is in a tight trading range with a slight slope up. Poor follow-through and reversals are the hallmarks of a trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Previously, the bears got a reversal from a double top bear flag with the November 2022 high and a lower high major trend reversal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They were not able to create follow-through selling below the 20-month EMA (Dec 13).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a second leg sideways to down and a retest of the December low from a lower high major trend reversal (against Sept high).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, they want the bear trend line to act as resistance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see the pullback (Sept to Dec) simply as a deep pullback and hope to get a retest of the September high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They got a reversal from a higher low major trend reversal (December) and a double bottom bull flag (May 4 and Dec 13).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They managed to create follow-through buying above the 20-month EMA (in March) which increases the odds of the bull leg beginning.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since March was a bull bar closing near its high, it is a buy signal bar for April.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Odds slightly favor the market to trade at least a little higher.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will see if the bulls can continue creating follow-through buying breaking above the bear trendline to retest the September high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is in a large trading range (Trading range high: September 29, Trading range low: May 4).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Weak-Bull-Channel.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Weak-Bull-Channel-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Weekly: No FT Selling, Weak Bull Channel\" class=\"wp-image-204180\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Weak-Bull-Channel-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Weak-Bull-Channel-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Weak-Bull-Channel-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Weak-Bull-Channel-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Weak-Bull-Channel.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This week\u2019s candlestick on the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/crude-oil-streaming-chart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly Crude Oil chart<\/a>&nbsp;was a bull bar closing near its high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/crude-oil-weak-bull-channel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last we<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/crude-oil-weak-bull-channel\/\">ek<\/a>, we said that there may be an attempt to create a pullback lower. Until the bears can create consecutive bear bars closing near their lows, odds favor any pullback to be minor and the bull channel to continue.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see the recent sideways to up pullback as forming a wedge bear flag (Dec 26, Jan 29, Mar 28). They also see an embedded wedge forming in the third leg up (Feb 14, Mar 3, and Mar 28).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want another leg down to retest the prior leg low (Dec 13).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They will need to create sustained follow-through selling closing below the 20-week EMA. So far, they have not yet been able to do so.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see the selloff to the December 13 low simply as a bear leg within a trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They got a weak bull channel with overlapping candlesticks trading above the 20-week EMA for weeks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While the move up has a lot of overlapping candlesticks, the bulls have created stronger buying pressure (bull bars closing near their highs) against weaker selling pressure (bear bars had no follow-through selling).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades lower, the bulls want the 20-week EMA or the bull trend line to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since this week\u2019s candlestick is a bull bar closing near its high, it is a buy signal bar for next.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While the bears have a wedge pattern, they have not been able to create strong selling pressure with follow-through selling since the pullback started in December.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, the odds slightly favor the market to remain in the bull channel.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Until the bears can create consecutive bear bars closing near their lows, odds favor any pullback to be minor and the bull channel to continue.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The inability of the bears to create meaningful follow-through selling is slowly swinging the odds in favor of more sideways to up movements. This remains true.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures The weekly chart is in a persistent bull channel which could be the start of the Crude Oil bull leg to retest the trading range high. The bears will need to create sustained follow-through selling closing below the 20-week EMA but they have not yet been able to do so. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":204180,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1892,136],"tags":[325],"class_list":{"0":"post-203915","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-crude-oil","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-crude-oil-futures","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Weak-Bull-Channel.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/203915","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=203915"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/203915\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/204180"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=203915"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=203915"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=203915"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}