{"id":216293,"date":"2024-09-01T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-09-01T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=216293"},"modified":"2024-09-01T00:48:31","modified_gmt":"2024-09-01T07:48:31","slug":"monthly-crude-oil-double-top-bear-flag","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/monthly-crude-oil-double-top-bear-flag\/","title":{"rendered":"Monthly Crude Oil Double Top Bear Flag"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The market formed a monthly Crude Oil double top bear flag trading around the middle of the trading range. The bears want the market to close far below the 20-month EMA and a breakout below the triangle pattern. The bulls want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jun 4 and Aug 5) and a higher low.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Crude oil futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Monthly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-DT-Bear-Flag-Middle-of-Trading-Range.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-DT-Bear-Flag-Middle-of-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Monthly: DT Bear Flag, Middle of Trading Range, Monthly Crude Oil Double Top Bear Flag\" class=\"wp-image-216467\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-DT-Bear-Flag-Middle-of-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-DT-Bear-Flag-Middle-of-Trading-Range-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-DT-Bear-Flag-Middle-of-Trading-Range-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-DT-Bear-Flag-Middle-of-Trading-Range-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-DT-Bear-Flag-Middle-of-Trading-Range.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The August monthly Crude Oil candlestick was a bear bar closing slightly below the middle of its range with a long tail below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/monthly-crude-oil-lower-high\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last month<\/a>, we said that traders would see if the bears can create a follow-through bear bar closing below the 20-month EMA and breaking below the triangle or if the market would trade slightly lower but stall around the bull trend line area.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market traded lower but had no strong breakout from the bull trend line. The monthly candlestick closed near the 20-month EMA, the middle of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears want a reversal from a lower high\u00a0major\u00a0trend reversal, a wedge bear flag (Sep 28, Apr 12, and Jul 5), and a double top bear flag (Apr 12 and Jul 5).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They managed to get a follow-through bear bar in August but the prominent tail below the recent candlesticks indicates that the bears are not yet as strong as they hoped to be.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the market to close far below the 20-month EMA and a breakout below the triangle pattern.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls\u00a0hope that the current sideways-to-down move is simply a pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jun 4 and Aug 5) and a higher low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the 20-month EMA and the bull trend line to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since August was a bear bar closing around the middle of its range with a prominent tail below, it is a sell signal bar albeit weaker.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will see if the bears can create another follow-through bear bar closing below the 20-month EMA and breaking below the triangle.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market trade continue to stall around the 20-month EMA area?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market trades around the 20-month EMA, the middle of the\u00a0large\u00a0trading range. It is an area of balance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is in\u00a0a large\u00a0trading range (Trading range high:\u00a0September 29, Trading range low:\u00a0May 4).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Double-Top-Bear-Flag-Bears-Need-FT.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Double-Top-Bear-Flag-Bears-Need-FT-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Weekly: Double Top Bear Flag, Bears Need FT\" class=\"wp-image-216470\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Double-Top-Bear-Flag-Bears-Need-FT-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Double-Top-Bear-Flag-Bears-Need-FT-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Double-Top-Bear-Flag-Bears-Need-FT-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Double-Top-Bear-Flag-Bears-Need-FT-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Double-Top-Bear-Flag-Bears-Need-FT.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This\u00a0week\u2019s\u00a0candlestick on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/crude-oil-streaming-chart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly Crude Oil chart<\/a> was a bear bar closing near its low with a long tail above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/weekly-crude-oil-trading-range\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said that traders would see if the bulls can create a strong entry bar closing above the 20-week EMA or if the market would trade slightly higher (perhaps early next week) but stall and reverse back below the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market traded higher early in the week but lacked follow-through buying and reversed to close below the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Previously, the bears created a reversal from a lower high major trend reversal from around the top of the large triangle pattern.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest of the recent leg low (Aug 5) and the bull trend line.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a double top bear flag (Aug 12 and Aug 26).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jun 4 and Aug 5), a wedge (Jun 4, Aug 5, and Aug 21), and a higher low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest of the recent high (Aug 12). While the market traded higher this week, the lack of follow-through buying indicates that the bulls are not yet as strong as they hope to be.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades lower, the bulls hope that the bull trend line will act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since this\u00a0week\u2019s\u00a0candlestick is\u00a0a bear bar closing near its low, it is a sell signal bar for next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market may trade slightly lower (probably early in the week).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will see if the bears can create a strong follow-through bear bar. If they do, that will increase the odds of a retest and breakout attempt below the triangle.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market trade slightly lower, but stall and reverse to close with a long tail or a bull body?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is trading around the middle of the large trading range which is an area of balance and has been acting as a magnet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The sideways overlapping candlesticks (in the last 6 weeks) indicate trading range price action.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Poor follow-through and reversals are hallmarks of a trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is in\u00a0a large\u00a0trading range (Trading range high:\u00a0September 29, Trading range low:\u00a0May 4).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with\u00a0sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Side note: The ongoing turmoil in the Middle East can cause volatility in energy prices.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures The market formed a monthly Crude Oil double top bear flag trading around the middle of the trading range. The bears want the market to close far below the 20-month EMA and a breakout below the triangle pattern. The bulls want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jun [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":216470,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1892,136],"tags":[325],"class_list":{"0":"post-216293","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-crude-oil","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-crude-oil-futures","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Double-Top-Bear-Flag-Bears-Need-FT.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/216293","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=216293"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/216293\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/216470"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=216293"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=216293"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=216293"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}