{"id":219795,"date":"2024-10-06T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-10-06T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=219795"},"modified":"2024-10-06T08:04:36","modified_gmt":"2024-10-06T15:04:36","slug":"weekly-crude-oil-big-outside-bull-bar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/weekly-crude-oil-big-outside-bull-bar\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Crude Oil Big Outside Bull Bar"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The market formed a weekly Crude Oil big outside bull bar closing above the 20-week EMA. The bulls want a retest of the triangle high and a strong breakout above. They must create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to increase the odds of a breakout above the triangle top. The bears see the recent move as a two-legged pullback (Sep 24 and Oct 4). They want a reversal from a lower high and a double top bear flag (Aug 12 or Aug 26 high with Oct 4).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Crude oil futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Monthly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-No-FT-Selling-Middle-of-Trading-Range.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-No-FT-Selling-Middle-of-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Monthly: No FT Selling, Middle of Trading Range\" class=\"wp-image-219957\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-No-FT-Selling-Middle-of-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-No-FT-Selling-Middle-of-Trading-Range-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-No-FT-Selling-Middle-of-Trading-Range-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-No-FT-Selling-Middle-of-Trading-Range-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-No-FT-Selling-Middle-of-Trading-Range.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The September monthly Crude Oil candlestick was a bear bar closing slightly below the middle of its range with a long tail below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/monthly-crude-oil-double-top-bear-flag\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last month<\/a>, we said that traders would see if the bears could create another follow-through bear bar, closing below the 20-month EMA and breaking below the triangle or if the market would continue to stall around the 20-month EMA area.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market broke below the triangle in September but lacked follow-through selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Previously, the bears got a reversal from a lower high\u00a0major\u00a0trend reversal (Jul vs Apr), a wedge bear flag (Sep 28, Apr 12, and Jul 5), and a double top bear flag (Apr 12 and Jul 5).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The prominent tail below the recent candlesticks indicates that the bears are not yet as strong as they hoped to be.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the current move as a pullback and want the market to stall at a lower high around the bear trend line area.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a wedge bear flag with the first two legs being April 12 and July 5 highs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls\u00a0hope the recent sideways-to-down move (to Sep 10) is simply a two-legged pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jun 4 and Sep 10) and a higher low. They also see a larger double bottom bull flag (Dec 13 and Sep 10).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest of the triangle high and a strong breakout above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So far, October has traded sharply higher.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will see if the bulls can create a strong bull bar closing above the 20-month EMA and testing the top of the triangle.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market trade higher (as it has now) but stall and close the month with a long tail or a bear body below the 20-month EMA instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The increasingly tight triangle pattern indicates that Crude Oil is in a breakout mode.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Because the market is also in a trading range (sideways overlapping candlesticks), traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market trades around the 20-month EMA, the middle of the\u00a0large\u00a0trading range. It is an area of balance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The broadening conflict in the Middle East will keep energy prices volatile.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Big-Outside-Bull-Bar-Bulls-Need-FT.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Big-Outside-Bull-Bar-Bulls-Need-FT-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Weekly: Big Outside Bull Bar, Bulls Need FT, Weekly Crude Oil Big Outside Bull Bar\" class=\"wp-image-219960\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Big-Outside-Bull-Bar-Bulls-Need-FT-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Big-Outside-Bull-Bar-Bulls-Need-FT-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Big-Outside-Bull-Bar-Bulls-Need-FT-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Big-Outside-Bull-Bar-Bulls-Need-FT-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Big-Outside-Bull-Bar-Bulls-Need-FT.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This\u00a0week\u2019s\u00a0candlestick on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/crude-oil-streaming-chart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly Crude Oil chart<\/a> was a big outside bull bar closing in its upper half with a small tail above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/crude-oil-bears-need-follow-through\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said that traders would see if the bears can create a follow-through bear bar or if the market would form a second leg sideways to up instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market traded lower early in the week but reversed sharply higher after.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls got a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jun 4 and Sept 10 or Dec 13 and Sep 10) or a wedge (Jun 4, Aug 5, and Sep 10).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a failed breakout below the triangle and the market to reverse to the middle of the trading range. They got what they wanted.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Next, the bulls want a retest of the triangle high and a strong breakout above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to increase the odds of a breakout above the triangle top.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market forms a pullback, they want another leg up completing the wedge with the first two legs being September 24 and October 4 highs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Previously, the bears got a reversal from a double top bear flag (Aug 12 and Aug 26).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They got a breakout below the triangle but lacked follow-through selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the recent move as a two-legged pullback (Sep 24 and Oct 4). They want a reversal from a lower high and a double top bear flag (Aug 12 or Aug 26 high with Oct 4).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest of the September 10 low, even if it forms a higher low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since this\u00a0week\u2019s\u00a0candlestick is\u00a0a big bull bar closing in its upper half, it is a buy signal bar for next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market may still trade at least a little higher.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bulls can create a follow-through bull bar following this week\u2019s close above the 20-week EMA. If they do, that will increase the odds of a retest of the July or August high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market form a pullback closing below the 20-week EMA instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sometimes, the candlestick following an outside bar is an inside bar or has a lot of overlapping price action.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Poor follow-through and reversals are hallmarks of a trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is in\u00a0a large\u00a0trading range (Trading range high:\u00a0September 29, Trading range low:\u00a0May 4).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with\u00a0sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is trading around the middle of the large trading range which is an area of balance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The ongoing \/ escalating conflict in the Middle East can keep energy prices volatile.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures The market formed a weekly Crude Oil big outside bull bar closing above the 20-week EMA. The bulls want a retest of the triangle high and a strong breakout above. They must create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to increase the odds of a breakout above the triangle [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":219960,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1892,136],"tags":[325],"class_list":{"0":"post-219795","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-crude-oil","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-crude-oil-futures","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Big-Outside-Bull-Bar-Bulls-Need-FT.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219795","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=219795"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219795\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/219960"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=219795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=219795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=219795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}