{"id":220307,"date":"2024-10-13T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-10-13T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=220307"},"modified":"2024-10-13T01:39:21","modified_gmt":"2024-10-13T08:39:21","slug":"weekly-crude-oil-follow-through","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/weekly-crude-oil-follow-through\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Crude Oil Follow-through"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The market formed a weekly Crude Oil follow-through bull bar closing above the 20-week EMA. The bulls must create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to increase the odds of a breakout above the triangle top. The bears see the recent move as a two-legged pullback (Sep 24 and Oct 4). They want a reversal from a lower high and a double top bear flag (Aug 12 or Aug 26 high with Oct 8).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Crude oil futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-FT-Bull-Bar-No-Breakout-Yet.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-FT-Bull-Bar-No-Breakout-Yet-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Weekly: FT Bull Bar, No Breakout Yet, Weekly Crude Oil Follow-through\" class=\"wp-image-220445\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-FT-Bull-Bar-No-Breakout-Yet-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-FT-Bull-Bar-No-Breakout-Yet-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-FT-Bull-Bar-No-Breakout-Yet-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-FT-Bull-Bar-No-Breakout-Yet-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-FT-Bull-Bar-No-Breakout-Yet.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This\u00a0week\u2019s\u00a0candlestick on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/crude-oil-streaming-chart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly Crude Oil chart<\/a> was a bull bar with a small body closing above the middle of its range with long tails above and below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/weekly-crude-oil-big-outside-bull-bar\/\">Last week<\/a>, we said the market may still trade at least a little higher. Traders would see if the bulls could create a follow-through bull bar or if the market would form a pullback closing below the 20-week EMA instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Crude Oil traded higher early in the week followed by a pullback to test the 20-week EMA. The market then reversed to close the week higher.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls got a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jun 4 and Sept 10 or Dec 13 and Sep 10) and a wedge (Jun 4, Aug 5, and Sep 10).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They got a failed breakout below the triangle and a reversal to the middle of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This week, they got a retest of the triangle high but there was no strong breakout yet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While this week\u2019s bull body was small, it was enough to indicate some follow-through buying.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls must create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to increase the odds of a breakout above the triangle top.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Previously, the bears got a breakout below the triangle but lacked follow-through selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the recent move as a two-legged pullback (Sep 24 and Oct 4). They want a reversal from a lower high and a double top bear flag (Aug 12 or Aug 26 high with Oct 8).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest of the September 10 low, even if it forms a higher low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since this\u00a0week\u2019s\u00a0candlestick is a bull bar with a small body and long tails, it is not a good signal bar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The long tails above and below the candlestick also indicate poor follow-through and frequent reversals which is the hallmark of trading range price action.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, the market may still be in the sideways to up phase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will see if the bulls can create another follow-through bull bar breaking above the triangle top.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market start to stall and form a pullback closing below the 20-week EMA instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is trading around the middle of the large trading range which is an area of balance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Poor follow-through and reversals are hallmarks of a trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is in\u00a0a large\u00a0trading range (Trading range high:\u00a0September 29, Trading range low:\u00a0May 4).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with\u00a0sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The ongoing \/ escalating conflict in the Middle East can keep energy prices volatile.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Test-Top-of-Triangle-LH-or-Breakout.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Test-Top-of-Triangle-LH-or-Breakout-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Daily: Test Top of Triangle, LH or Breakout?\" class=\"wp-image-220448\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Test-Top-of-Triangle-LH-or-Breakout-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Test-Top-of-Triangle-LH-or-Breakout-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Test-Top-of-Triangle-LH-or-Breakout-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Test-Top-of-Triangle-LH-or-Breakout-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Test-Top-of-Triangle-LH-or-Breakout.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The market traded higher early in the week but reversed into a big outside bear bar on Tuesday. Wednesday tested the 20-day EMA but closed with a long tail below. Thursday traded higher followed by an inside doji on Friday.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/crude-oil-bears-need-follow-through\/\">Previously<\/a>, we said that traders would see if the bears could create more follow-through selling to retest the Sep 10 low or if the market would stall at a higher low and form a retest of the September 24 high instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market formed a higher low and retested the triangle top.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see the current move as a pullback and want a small retest of the prior leg low (Sep 10), even if it forms a higher low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a double top bear flag (Aug 26 and Oct 8) and hope the top of the triangle will act as resistance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see Thursday as a pullback and want a second leg sideways to down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls got a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jun 4 and Sep 10), a wedge (Jun 4, Aug 5, and Sep 10) and an embedded wedge (Sep 4, Sep 6, and Sep 10).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They then got a reversal from a higher low major trend reversal (Oct 1) to retest the top of the triangle but there is no strong breakout yet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls must create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs breaking far above the August high to increase the odds of a breakout above the triangle pattern.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So far, the move up from the October 1 low has stronger bull bars than bear bars that lacked follow-through selling (Oct 9).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market may still be in the sideways to up phase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will see if the bulls can create more follow-through buying (probably early next week).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market trade slightly higher but form a double top with the October 8 high instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Poor follow-through and reversals are hallmarks of a trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is trading around the middle of the trading range which is an area of balance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with\u00a0sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The ongoing \/ escalating conflict in the Middle East can keep energy prices volatile.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures The market formed a weekly Crude Oil follow-through bull bar closing above the 20-week EMA. The bulls must create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to increase the odds of a breakout above the triangle top. The bears see the recent move as a two-legged pullback (Sep 24 and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":220445,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1892,136],"tags":[325],"class_list":{"0":"post-220307","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-crude-oil","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-crude-oil-futures","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-FT-Bull-Bar-No-Breakout-Yet.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220307","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=220307"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220307\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/220445"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=220307"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=220307"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=220307"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}