{"id":224210,"date":"2024-12-01T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-01T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=224210"},"modified":"2024-12-01T01:54:38","modified_gmt":"2024-12-01T09:54:38","slug":"monthly-crude-oil-tight-trading-range","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/monthly-crude-oil-tight-trading-range\/","title":{"rendered":"Monthly Crude Oil Tight Trading Range"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The market formed a monthly Crude Oil tight trading range (sideways overlapping candlesticks, poor follow-through and frequent reversals). The bulls want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jun 4 and Sep 10) and a larger double bottom bull flag (Dec 13 and Sep 10). The bears hope to get another sideways to down leg to retest the September 9 low followed by a breakout below the triangle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Crude oil futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Monthly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-TR-Tight-Trading-Range.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-TR-Tight-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Monthly - Middle of TR, Tight Trading Range, Monthly Crude Oil Tight Trading Range\" class=\"wp-image-224440\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-TR-Tight-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-TR-Tight-Trading-Range-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-TR-Tight-Trading-Range-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-TR-Tight-Trading-Range-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-TR-Tight-Trading-Range.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The November monthly Crude Oil candlestick was an inside bear bar closing in its lower half and below the 20-month EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/overlapping-candlesticks-in-crude-oil\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last month<\/a>, we said the market is trading around the middle of the trading range which is an area of balance. The overlapping candlesticks, long tail (Oct), poor follow-through and frequent reversals are hallmarks of trading range price action.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears saw the move in October as a one-bar pullback and want a reversal from a wedge bear flag (Apr 12, Jul 5, and Oct 8).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They hope to get another sideways to down leg to retest the September 9 low followed by a breakout below the triangle.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need to create a strong entry bar in December with follow-through selling to increase the odds of a breakout below the triangle.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls\u00a0see the sideways to down move (to Sep 10) as a two-legged pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jun 4 and Sep 10) and a larger double bottom bull flag (Dec 13 and Sep 10).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see October\u2019s rally as breaking the minor bear trend line and want a higher low major trend reversal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest of the triangle top and a strong breakout above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades lower, the bulls want the September low or the bottom of the triangle to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since November\u2019s candlestick is a small inside bear bar closing in its lower half, it can be a sell signal bar for December.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>However, the overlapping candlesticks, poor follow-through and frequent reversals are hallmarks of a tight trading range price action.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is trading around the middle of the trading range which is an area of balance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bears can create a strong bear entry bar and a breakout below the September 10 low and triangle pattern.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or if the bulls will be able to create a retest of the top of the triangle instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is in a trading range (sideways overlapping candlesticks). Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The lower third of the large trading range can be the buy zone of trading range traders.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The increasingly tight triangle pattern indicates that Crude Oil is in a breakout mode.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Buying-Tight-Trading-Range.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Buying-Tight-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Weekly - No FT Buying, Tight Trading Range\" class=\"wp-image-224443\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Buying-Tight-Trading-Range-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Buying-Tight-Trading-Range-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Buying-Tight-Trading-Range-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Buying-Tight-Trading-Range-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Buying-Tight-Trading-Range.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This\u00a0week\u2019s\u00a0candlestick on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/crude-oil-streaming-chart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly Crude Oil chart<\/a> was an inside bear bar closing near its low and below the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/weekly-crude-oil-outside-bull-bar\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said that the odds slightly favor the market to trade at least a little higher. Traders would see if the bulls could create a strong entry bar by trading above last week\u2019s high or if the market would trade slightly higher but stall around the November 7 high area instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market traded lower on Monday followed by sideways to down trading for the rest of the week. The market remains in a tight trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears saw last week as a pullback. They want a retest of the October low and the bottom of the triangle from a wedge bear flag (Oct 24, Nov 7, and Nov 22).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the bear trend line or the 20-week EMA to act as resistance. So far this is the case.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create a strong entry bar with follow-through selling to increase the odds of a breakout below the triangle.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see the move to November 18 as a two-legged pullback (with the first leg being the Oct 29 low).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a wedge bull flag (Oct 1, Oct 29 and Nov 18) followed by a retest of the October 8 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades lower, they want the October low and the bottom of the triangle to act as supports.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since this week\u2019s candlestick is an inside bear bar closing near its low, it is a sell signal bar for next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So far, the bulls have not yet been able to create sustained follow-through buying above the 20-week EMA in the last 6 weeks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market has been trading sideways with overlapping candlesticks, poor follow-through and frequent reversals which means the market is in a tight trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bears can create a strong entry bar by trading below this week\u2019s low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market trade slightly lower but stall and reverse higher instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The middle of the trading range is an area of balance and a magnet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The lower third of the large trading range can be the buy zone of trading range traders.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is in\u00a0a large\u00a0trading range (Trading range high:\u00a0September 29, Trading range low:\u00a0May 4).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with\u00a0sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures The market formed a monthly Crude Oil tight trading range (sideways overlapping candlesticks, poor follow-through and frequent reversals). The bulls want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jun 4 and Sep 10) and a larger double bottom bull flag (Dec 13 and Sep 10). The bears hope to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":224443,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1892,136],"tags":[325],"class_list":{"0":"post-224210","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-crude-oil","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-crude-oil-futures","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-No-FT-Buying-Tight-Trading-Range.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224210","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=224210"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224210\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/224443"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=224210"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=224210"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=224210"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}