{"id":228986,"date":"2025-02-02T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-02T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=228986"},"modified":"2025-02-01T14:22:05","modified_gmt":"2025-02-01T22:22:05","slug":"monthly-crude-oil-lower-high-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/monthly-crude-oil-lower-high-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Monthly Crude Oil Lower High"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The market formed a monthly Crude Oil lower high, closing the monthly candlestick with a long tail above. The bears want the market to form another lower high and a failed breakout from the triangle pattern. The bulls hope to get a retest of the July 15 high, even if it forms a lower high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Crude oil futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Monthly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Retest-Jan-High-or-DT-Bear-Flag.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Retest-Jan-High-or-DT-Bear-Flag-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Monthly - Retest Jan High or DT Bear Flag, Monthly Crude Oil Lower High\" class=\"wp-image-229132\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Retest-Jan-High-or-DT-Bear-Flag-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Retest-Jan-High-or-DT-Bear-Flag-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Retest-Jan-High-or-DT-Bear-Flag-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Retest-Jan-High-or-DT-Bear-Flag-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Retest-Jan-High-or-DT-Bear-Flag.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The January monthly Crude Oil candlestick was a bull bar closing in its lower half with a long tail above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/crude-oil-breakout-from-tight-trading-range\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last month<\/a>, we said the market may still trade sideways to up (perhaps in the first half of the month). Traders would see if the bulls could create a follow-through bull bar or if the market would trade higher but close the monthly candlestick with a long tail above or a bear body instead (failed breakout from ii pattern).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market traded higher in the first half of the month followed by sideways to down from mid-month onwards.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears want the market to form another lower high and a failed breakout from the triangle pattern.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a double top bear flag (Apr 12 and Jan 15).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, they want the July or April highs to act as resistance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls\u00a0got a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jun 4 and Sep 10) and a larger double bottom bull flag (Dec 13 and Sep 10).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They got a breakout above the ii (inside inside) pattern and a measured move (based on the height of the ii pattern) which took them to the July high area.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The candlestick had a long tail above which indicates that the bulls are not yet as strong as they hope to be.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need to create follow-through buying to increase the odds of retesting the trading range high (Sept 28).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>At the very least, they hope to get a retest of the July 15 high, even if it forms a lower high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So far, the market remains in a trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will see if the bulls can create a retest of the July 15 high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market trade back into the triangle pattern instead, testing the 20-month EMA?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The middle of the large trading range (around the 20-month EMA) is an area of balance and a magnet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>That means buying in the lower third and selling in the upper third of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Poor follow-through and reversals are the hallmarks of a trading range.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Want-Bear-Leg-Bulls-Want-2nd-Leg.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Want-Bear-Leg-Bulls-Want-2nd-Leg-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Weekly - Bears Want Bear Leg, Bulls Want 2nd Leg\" class=\"wp-image-229135\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Want-Bear-Leg-Bulls-Want-2nd-Leg-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Want-Bear-Leg-Bulls-Want-2nd-Leg-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Want-Bear-Leg-Bulls-Want-2nd-Leg-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Want-Bear-Leg-Bulls-Want-2nd-Leg-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Want-Bear-Leg-Bulls-Want-2nd-Leg.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This\u00a0week\u2019s\u00a0candlestick on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/crude-oil-streaming-chart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly Crude Oil chart<\/a> was a follow-through bear bar closing in its lower half with a small tail below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/crude-oil-pullback-on-the-weekly-chart\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said that traders would see if the bears could create a strong follow-through bear bar or if the market would form a retest of the January 15 high in the next 1-2 weeks (even if it forms a lower high or a one-or-two bar pullback retest) instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears got a follow-through bear bar testing near the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They got a reversal from a double top bear flag (Jul 5 and Jan 15).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the recent move as a buy vacuum and a bull leg within a trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest of the middle of the trading range (around the 20-week EMA area) followed by a retest of the bottom of the triangle.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, they want a reversal from a lower high major trend reversal. They want the July high to act as resistance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see the last two weeks as a pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They hope to get a retest and a breakout above the July high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>At the very least, they want a small sideways to up leg to retest the recent leg extreme high (Jan 15), even if it forms a lower high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades lower, they want the 20-week EMA to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So far, the market remains in a large trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The recent move could still only be a buy vacuum and a bull leg within a trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with\u00a0sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>That means selling in the upper third and buying in the lower third of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The middle of the large trading range is an area of balance and a magnet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bears can create more follow-through selling trading below the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market stall around the 20-week EMA followed by a retest of the January 15 high in the next few weeks (even if it forms a lower high) instead?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures The market formed a monthly Crude Oil lower high, closing the monthly candlestick with a long tail above. The bears want the market to form another lower high and a failed breakout from the triangle pattern. The bulls hope to get a retest of the July 15 high, even if [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":229135,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1892,136],"tags":[325],"class_list":{"0":"post-228986","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-crude-oil","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-crude-oil-futures","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Bears-Want-Bear-Leg-Bulls-Want-2nd-Leg.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228986","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=228986"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228986\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/229135"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=228986"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=228986"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=228986"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}