{"id":230753,"date":"2025-02-23T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-23T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=230753"},"modified":"2025-02-22T13:40:49","modified_gmt":"2025-02-22T21:40:49","slug":"crude-oil-bears-want-a-breakout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/crude-oil-bears-want-a-breakout\/","title":{"rendered":"Crude Oil Bears Want a Breakout"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Crude Oil bears want a breakout below the February 18 low followed by another strong leg down to test the November low area from a wedge bear flag (Feb 3, Feb 11, and Feb 20). The bulls hope to get a retest of the January 15 high from a wedge bull flag (Feb 6, Feb 13, and Feb 18).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Crude oil futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Wedge-Bear-Flag-or-Wedge-Bull-Flag.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Wedge-Bear-Flag-or-Wedge-Bull-Flag-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Weekly - Wedge Bear Flag or Wedge Bull Flag, Crude Oil Bears Want a Breakout\" class=\"wp-image-230902\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Wedge-Bear-Flag-or-Wedge-Bull-Flag-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Wedge-Bear-Flag-or-Wedge-Bull-Flag-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Wedge-Bear-Flag-or-Wedge-Bull-Flag-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Wedge-Bear-Flag-or-Wedge-Bull-Flag-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Wedge-Bear-Flag-or-Wedge-Bull-Flag.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This\u00a0week\u2019s\u00a0candlestick on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/crude-oil-streaming-chart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly Crude Oil chart<\/a> was a bear doji closing near its low with a long tail above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/crude-oil-bears-want-a-strong-bear-leg\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said traders would see if the bears could create more follow-through selling following this week\u2019s close below the 20-week EMA. Or if the market would continue to stall around the 20-week EMA followed by a pullback higher within the next few weeks instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This week&#8217;s candlestick traded slightly lower but had a lot of overlapping range with last week\u2019s candlestick.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears got some follow-through selling trading below the 20-week EMA albeit not strong.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move down is in a bear channel with many overlapping ranges, especially in the last four weeks which indicates weaker momentum.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears want another strong leg down to test the November low area from a wedge bear flag (Feb 3, Feb 11, and Feb 20).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see the current move as a deep pullback and a retest of the breakout point (top of the tight trading range).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They hope to get a retest of the January 15 high from a wedge bull flag (Feb 6, Feb 13, and Feb 18).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market attempted to trade higher in the last three weeks (Feb 3, Feb 11, and Feb 20) but the follow-through buying was limited, forming lower highs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need to create strong bull bars closing near their highs to show that they are back in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the 20-week EMA and the middle of the trading range area to continue acting as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is currently trading around the middle of the large trading range which is an area of balance and a magnet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The overlapping ranges in the last 4 weeks indicate slightly weaker selling momentum.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Attempts to trade higher in the last three weeks (Feb 3, Feb 11, and Feb 20) had limited follow-through buying which indicates the bulls are not yet as strong as they hope to be.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bears can create a strong breakout below the February 18 low, forming a larger second leg down (with the first leg being Jan 15 to Feb 6).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market continue to stall around the 20-week EMA followed by a pullback higher within the next few weeks instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Because of the repeated failure to trade higher in the last 3 weeks (forming lower highs), the market could attempt to break lower next week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market remains in a large trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with\u00a0sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>That means selling in the upper third and buying in the lower third of the trading range.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-or-Wedge-Bear-Flag.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-or-Wedge-Bear-Flag-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Daily - Wedge Bull Flag or Wedge Bear Flag\" class=\"wp-image-230905\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-or-Wedge-Bear-Flag-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-or-Wedge-Bear-Flag-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-or-Wedge-Bear-Flag-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-or-Wedge-Bear-Flag-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Daily-Wedge-Bull-Flag-or-Wedge-Bear-Flag.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The market traded higher most of the week, closing above the 20-day EMA on Thursday. Friday formed a big bear bar closing far below the 20-day EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/crude-oil-bears-want-a-strong-bear-leg\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said that traders would see if the bears could continue to create more follow-through selling to retest the November low area or if the market would continue to stall around the middle of the trading range followed by a pullback instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market has stalled around the middle of the trading range in the last three weeks. However, the follow-through buying of the pullbacks (Feb 3, Feb 11, and Feb 20) has been limited, forming lower highs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears got another sideways to down leg testing the middle of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest of the bottom of the trading range from a wedge bear flag (Feb 3, Feb 11, and Feb 20).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a larger second leg sideways to down (with the first leg being the Jan 15 high to the Jan 27 low).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create a breakout below the February 18 low with follow-through selling to increase the odds of testing the November low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, they want the 20-day EMA or the bear trend line to act as resistance. So far, this is the case.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see the current move as a deep pullback testing the breakout point (the top of the tight trading range) and the middle of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a wedge pattern (Feb 6, Feb 13, and Feb 21).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They hope the middle of the trading range will be an area of support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need to create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs breaking far above the bear trend line and 20-day EMA to show they are back in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So far, the move down is in a bear channel with overlapping ranges in the last 4 weeks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While that could mean weaker selling momentum, the bulls need to do more to show that they are back in control. The follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA has been limited.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Crude Oil is currently trading around the middle of the trading range which is an area of balance and a magnet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bears can create a breakout below the February 18 low with sustained follow-through selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If they can do that, the odds of another strong leg towards the November low area will increase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market continue to stall around the middle of the trading range followed by another pullback (bounce) instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bear leg within the trading range is currently underway. The market could still trade slightly lower.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures The Crude Oil bears want a breakout below the February 18 low followed by another strong leg down to test the November low area from a wedge bear flag (Feb 3, Feb 11, and Feb 20). The bulls hope to get a retest of the January 15 high from a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":230902,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1892,136],"tags":[325],"class_list":{"0":"post-230753","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-crude-oil","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-crude-oil-futures","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Wedge-Bear-Flag-or-Wedge-Bull-Flag.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/230753","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=230753"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/230753\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/230902"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=230753"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=230753"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=230753"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}