{"id":230759,"date":"2025-02-24T06:20:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-24T14:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=230759"},"modified":"2025-02-24T21:11:45","modified_gmt":"2025-02-25T05:11:45","slug":"emini-surprise-bear-breakout-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/emini-surprise-bear-breakout-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini Surprise Bear Breakout"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading Update: Monday February 24, 2025<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Emini end of day video review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-stackable-video-popup stk-block-video-popup stk-block stk-54fddfd\" data-video=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=GuDu4Xl92KY\" data-block-id=\"54fddfd\"><div class=\"stk-block-video-popup__overlay stk-row stk-inner-blocks stk-block-content stk-hover-parent\" aria-label=\"Play Video\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-stackable-icon stk-block-icon has-text-align-center stk-block stk-d41a24f\" data-block-id=\"d41a24f\"><span class=\"stk--svg-wrapper\"><div class=\"stk--inner-svg\"><svg style=\"height:0;width:0\"><defs><linearGradient id=\"linear-gradient-d41a24f\" x1=\"0\" x2=\"100%\" y1=\"0\" y2=\"0\"><stop offset=\"0%\" style=\"stop-opacity:1;stop-color:var(--linear-gradient-d-41-a-24-f-color-1)\"><\/stop><stop offset=\"100%\" style=\"stop-opacity:1;stop-color:var(--linear-gradient-d-41-a-24-f-color-2)\"><\/stop><\/linearGradient><\/defs><\/svg><svg data-prefix=\"fas\" data-icon=\"play\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-play fa-w-14\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 448 512\" aria-hidden=\"true\" width=\"32\" height=\"32\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M424.4 214.7L72.4 6.6C43.8-10.3 0 6.1 0 47.9V464c0 37.5 40.7 60.1 72.4 41.3l352-208c31.4-18.5 31.5-64.1 0-82.6z\"><\/path><\/svg><\/div><\/span><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-stackable-image stk-block-image stk-block stk-bc584bf\" data-block-id=\"bc584bf\"><figure><span class=\"stk-img-wrapper stk-image--shape-stretch\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"stk-img wp-image-216272\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Emini-EOD-Review-Joseph-Imbornone.png\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" alt=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=GuDu4Xl92KY\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Emini-EOD-Review-Joseph-Imbornone.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Emini-EOD-Review-Joseph-Imbornone-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Emini-EOD-Review-Joseph-Imbornone-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Emini-EOD-Review-Joseph-Imbornone-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><\/span><\/figure><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Follow Joseph&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@JosephImbornone10\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">YouTube channel<\/a> for more Al Brooks price action analysis.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S&amp;P Emini market analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Emini daily chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The daily chart formed a strong downside breakout bar last Friday, closing on its low and far below the moving average. Last Friday\u2019s breakout is a surprise and is strong enough that the odds favor a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> leg down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls are hopeful that today will form a bull reversal bar closing on its high, trapping the bears into a bad short. Even if the bulls manage to form a bull reversal bar, the odds will still favor sellers above and the bears getting a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> leg down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Last Friday\u2019s breakout was climactic, increasing the odds that the market will have to pull back for a bar or two before the bears can get their 2<sup>nd<\/sup> leg down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears are hopeful that today will form a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> strong bear breakout bar closing on its low. This would increase the odds of lower prices and a test below the January low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Overall, because last Friday\u2019s bar closed mostly below the moving average on the daily chart, the odds favor a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> leg down. This means the best the bulls will probably get is a minor reversal. The Bulls need a very strong reversal of last Friday\u2019s bear breakout bar if they are going to prevent the Bears from getting a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> leg down.The daily chart formed a strong downside breakout bar last Friday, closing on its low and far below the moving average. Last Friday\u2019s breakout is strong enough that the odds favor a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> leg down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls are hopeful that today will form a bull reversal bar closing on its high, trapping the bears into a bad short. Even if the bulls manage to form a bull reversal bar, the odds will still favor sellers above and the bears getting a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> leg down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Last Friday\u2019s breakout was climactic, increasing the odds that the market will have to pull back for a bar or two before the bears can get their 2<sup>nd<\/sup> leg down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears are hopeful that today will form a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> strong bear breakout bar closing on its low. This would increase the odds of lower prices and a test below the January low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Overall, because last Friday\u2019s bar closed mostly below the moving average on the daily chart, the odds favor a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> leg down. This means the best the bulls will probably get is a minor reversal. The Bulls need a very strong reversal of last Friday\u2019s bear breakout bar if they are going to prevent the Bears from getting a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> leg down.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Emini 5-minute chart and what to expect today<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Globex market has rallied sideways to up for most of the overnight session (15-minute chart).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls want to undo as much of the selling from last Friday\u2019s selloff as possible. However, the best the bulls will likely get is a trading range. This means that today\u2019s U.S. Session will likely have a lot of trading range price action.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Because last Friday was so climactic, there is a 75% chance of two hours of sideways trading beginning before the end of the 2<sup>nd<\/sup> hour. As mentioned above, there is a 50% chance of follow-through selling, followed by two hours of sideways trading.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>There is only a 20% chance of a trend from the open lasting all day.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This means that most traders should consider waiting 6-12 bars before placing a trade. Because the odds favor a trading range, traders can wait for the open to form a double top\/bottom or a wedge top\/bottom before placing a trade to catch the opening swing.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders should also pay attention to the open of the day as it will likely be an important magnet today as both the bulls and bears decide if today will create follow-through selling after last Friday\u2019s bear breakout bar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The most important thing on the open is to be patient. A trade is never overdue, and traders must not force trades if they cannot justify a mathematical reason for placing a trade.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Friday&#8217;s Emini setups<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Bear-Trend-from-Open-680x383.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Bear-Trend-from-Open-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"SP500 Emini 5-Min Chart Bear Trend from Open\" class=\"wp-image-230823\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Bear-Trend-from-Open-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Bear-Trend-from-Open-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Bear-Trend-from-Open-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Bear-Trend-from-Open.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Al created the SP500 Emini charts.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">Here are reasonable stop entry setups from Friday. I show each buy entry bar with a green arrow and each sell entry bar with a red arrow. Buyers of both the Brooks Trading Course and Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns have access to a near 4-year library of more detailed explanations of swing trade setups (see Online Course\/BTC Daily Setups). Encyclopedia members get current daily charts added to Encyclopedia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not currently in the market, these entries would be logical times for him to enter. These therefore are swing entries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">It is important to understand that most swing setups do not lead to swing trades. As soon as traders are disappointed, many exit. Those who exit prefer to get out with a small profit (scalp), but often have to exit with a small loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"caption\">If the risk is too big for your account, you should wait for trades with less risk or trade an alternative market like the Micro Emini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Summary of today&#8217;s S&amp;P Emini price action<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Sell-Climax-and-Then-HL-Major-Trend-Reversal.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Sell-Climax-and-Then-HL-Major-Trend-Reversal-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"SP500 Emini 5-Min Chart Sell Climax and Then HL Major Trend Reversal\" class=\"wp-image-231074\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Sell-Climax-and-Then-HL-Major-Trend-Reversal-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Sell-Climax-and-Then-HL-Major-Trend-Reversal-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Sell-Climax-and-Then-HL-Major-Trend-Reversal-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Sell-Climax-and-Then-HL-Major-Trend-Reversal.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Al created the SP500 Emini charts.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD Forex market analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD Forex daily chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The EURUSD went above the February 14<sup>th<\/sup> high during last night\u2019s session. Because Friday was a bear bar closing near its low, the odds favored sellers above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears are hopeful that today&#8217;s rally will form a strong bear reversal bar, leading to a test of the February 19<sup>th<\/sup> low. However, the bears will more likely become disappointed, and today will not close near its low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Overall, the odds favor higher prices and a test up to the December 6<sup>th<\/sup> major lower high.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em>See the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the price action on the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading Room<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time each day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">trading room<\/a> days. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Charts use Pacific Time<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>When times are mentioned, it is USA Pacific Time. The Emini day session charts begin at 6:30 am PT and end at 1:15 pm PT which is 15 minutes after the NYSE closes. You can read background information on the market reports on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trading Update: Monday February 24, 2025 Emini end of day video review Follow Joseph&#8217;s YouTube channel for more Al Brooks price action analysis. S&amp;P Emini market analysis Emini daily chart Emini 5-minute chart and what to expect today Friday&#8217;s Emini setups Al created the SP500 Emini charts. Here are reasonable stop entry setups from Friday. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5460,"featured_media":230823,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153,136,241],"tags":[333,281,60],"class_list":{"0":"post-230759","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-market-update","8":"category-analysis","9":"category-video","10":"tag-breakout","11":"tag-eurusd-forex","12":"tag-sp-emini","13":"entry","14":"override","15":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/SP500-Emini-5-Min-Chart-Bear-Trend-from-Open.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Brad","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/brad-wolff\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/230759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5460"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=230759"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/230759\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/230823"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=230759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=230759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=230759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}