{"id":231271,"date":"2025-03-02T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-03-02T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=231271"},"modified":"2025-03-01T23:57:46","modified_gmt":"2025-03-02T07:57:46","slug":"crude-oil-weak-bear-channel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/crude-oil-weak-bear-channel\/","title":{"rendered":"Crude Oil Weak Bear Channel"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The market is forming a Crude Oil weak bear channel on the weekly chart (overlapping ranges and consecutive doji bars). The bears must continue to create follow-through selling to increase the odds of testing the November 18 low area. The bulls want the 20-week EMA and the middle of the trading range area to act as support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Crude oil futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Monthly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-Trading-Range-Bears-Need-FT.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-Trading-Range-Bears-Need-FT-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Monthly - Middle of Trading Range, Bears Need FT, Crude Oil Weak Bear Channel\" class=\"wp-image-231478\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-Trading-Range-Bears-Need-FT-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-Trading-Range-Bears-Need-FT-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-Trading-Range-Bears-Need-FT-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-Trading-Range-Bears-Need-FT-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Monthly-Middle-of-Trading-Range-Bears-Need-FT.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The February monthly Crude Oil candlestick was a bear bar with a small tail below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/monthly-crude-oil-lower-high-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last month<\/a>, we said that traders would see if the bulls could create a retest of the Jan 15 high, or if the market would trade back into the triangle pattern, testing the 20-month EMA instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears want the market to form another lower high and a failed breakout from above the triangle pattern.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a double top bear flag (Apr 12 and Jan 15) followed by a retest and breakout below the bottom of the triangle.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need to create follow-through selling trading below the 20-month EMA to increase the odds of testing the trading range low.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls\u00a0hope to get a retest of the January 15 high, even if it forms a lower high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the current move as a pullback and want the 20-month EMA to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need to create strong bull bars with follow-through buying to increase the odds of testing the trading range high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So far, the market is trading around the middle of the large trading range (around the 20-month EMA) which is an area of balance and a magnet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The candlesticks have overlapping ranges, poor follow-through and frequent reversals which further indicates trading range price action.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>That means buying in the lower third and selling in the upper third of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bears can create follow-through selling trading below the 20-month EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market stall around the 20-month EMA followed by a retest of the January 15 high instead?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> crude oil chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Weak-Bear-Channel-Consecutive-Doji.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Weak-Bear-Channel-Consecutive-Doji-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"Crude Oil Weekly - Weak Bear Channel, Consecutive Doji\" class=\"wp-image-231481\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Weak-Bear-Channel-Consecutive-Doji-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Weak-Bear-Channel-Consecutive-Doji-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Weak-Bear-Channel-Consecutive-Doji-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Weak-Bear-Channel-Consecutive-Doji-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Weak-Bear-Channel-Consecutive-Doji.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This\u00a0week\u2019s\u00a0candlestick on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/crude-oil-streaming-chart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weekly Crude Oil chart<\/a> was a doji bar closing around the middle of its range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/crude-oil-bears-want-a-breakout\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said because of the repeated failure to trade higher in the prior 3 weeks (forming lower highs), the market could attempt to break lower.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears got another leg sideways to down trading below the February 18 low this week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>However, the candlestick was a doji bar which means the bears are not yet as strong as they hoped to be.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want another strong leg down to test the November 18 low area from a wedge bear flag (Feb 3, Feb 11, and Feb 20).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>So far, the move down is in a bear channel albeit weak (many overlapping ranges and consecutive doji bars).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears must continue to create follow-through selling to increase the odds of testing the November 18 low area.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, they want the 20-week EMA or the bear trend line to act as resistance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls see the current move as a two-legged deep pullback.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They hope to get a retest of the January 15 high, even if it forms a lower high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They need to create strong bull bars closing near their highs to show that they are back in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the 20-week EMA and the middle of the trading range area to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is currently trading around the middle of the large trading range which is an area of balance and a magnet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The recent candlesticks have overlapping ranges and formed consecutive bear doji(s). That is a sign of a weaker bear channel<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bears can continue to create follow-through selling trading below the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market reverse back above the 20-week EMA and trade higher within the next few weeks instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market remains in a large trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) until there is a breakout from either direction with\u00a0sustained follow-through buying\/selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>That means selling in the upper third and buying in the lower third of the trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Poor follow-through and frequent reversals are hallmarks of a trading range price action.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Crude Oil Futures The market is forming a Crude Oil weak bear channel on the weekly chart (overlapping ranges and consecutive doji bars). The bears must continue to create follow-through selling to increase the odds of testing the November 18 low area. The bulls want the 20-week EMA and the middle of the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":231481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1892,136],"tags":[325],"class_list":{"0":"post-231271","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-crude-oil","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-crude-oil-futures","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Crude-Oil-Weekly-Weak-Bear-Channel-Consecutive-Doji.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/231271","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=231271"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/231271\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/231481"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=231271"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=231271"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=231271"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}