{"id":239369,"date":"2025-06-01T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-01T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=239369"},"modified":"2025-05-31T13:14:34","modified_gmt":"2025-05-31T20:14:34","slug":"bitcoin-bulls-continued-the-rally-in-may","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/bitcoin-bulls-continued-the-rally-in-may\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Bulls continued the Rally in May"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Bitcoin <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investing.com\/crypto\/bitcoin\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/investing.com\/crypto\/bitcoin\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin <\/a><\/strong>is up nearly 10% in May, with just one trading day remaining before the monthly close, at the time of writing. This follows a strong April and reinforces the current bullish tone. June marks the final month of Q2, which makes price behavior this month especially important. A strong close could influence positioning for the second half of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Monthly<\/em> chart of Bitcoin <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT.png\" alt=\"monthly chart of bitcoin on may 30th 2025\" class=\"wp-image-239423\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Monthly Chart of Bitcoin Spot (Coinbase quotes) on May 30th 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>April ended with an outside up bar. Price responded by rallying again in May. The monthly candlestick traded above the previous higher high, surging from a retest of the prior breakout level. This move brought critical developments:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Price surged from the breakout point until a higher high without trading at or below the breakout point level<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This is visible on main charts, such as Coinbase Exchange Bitcoin Spot chart and from the Ishares Bitcoin (IBIT) ETF<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Therefore, the breakout point level remains protected, indicating bulls are still in control<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>At the upper wick of May\u2019s candle, a long tail suggests that sellers engaged near resistance. This tells you the area remains contested. But the case is weak for the bears:<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bulls still control the structure<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Few professionals want to short into bull\u2019s strength<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>There are two clear measured move targets to watch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>$120,000 projection based on the 2021\u20132022 drawdown<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>$140,000 projection based on the current pullback<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Also notable: the 12-month EMA is now above $80,000, this is certainly an average to watch, since it is the breakeven price of many Bitcoin holders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> chart of Bitcoin <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT-1.png\" alt=\"weekly chart of bitcoin on may 30th 2025\" class=\"wp-image-239420\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT-1.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT-1-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT-1-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT-1-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Weekly Chart of Bitcoin Spot (Coinbase quotes) on May 30th 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>A large cup formation is visible on the weekly chart. The right side of the cup developed through a six-week bull micro channel. Currently, the weekly bar is an inside bar. The same is true for the IBIT ETF (after this week&#8217;s close).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Inside bars are often early-stage pullbacks. In this context, they may act as the beginning of a handle, which could complete a Cup and Handle pattern. This is important for one reason:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Traders need tighter formations to define risk<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A handle provides a place to place a reasonable stop near entry<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Without it, the setup lacks a risk management structure<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The current environment supports this setup:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The prior bull trend is strong<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The cup depth is not too deep<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If the handle forms, traders can act with more confidence. They\u2019ll know quickly if the trade works, and the expected payoff can be worth the attempt. Historically, this pattern gives:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>About a 40% chance of achieving a 2:1 reward-to-risk move<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>2021 vs 2025 \u2013 Cup and Handle Differences<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Many beginners compare this pattern to 2021. On the surface, the similarities exist. But key differences show why this analogy can be misleading. Get an in depth breakdown <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/bitcoin-2025-cup-and-handle-vs-2021-cup-and-handle\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/bitcoin-2025-cup-and-handle-vs-2021-cup-and-handle\/\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pre-Cup Rally<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>2021: Bitcoin surged +5x from COVID lows\u2014an extreme run-up<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2025: Price moved from $74K to $108K, a modest and steady climb<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Drawdown Depth<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>2021: Cup was followed by a 50% crash<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2025: Pullback was only 30%, and it reversed fast<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bear Breakout Behavior<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>2021: Aggressive selloff with weak bounce<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2025: Mild selling, followed by strong reversal<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Leg Structure<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>2021: First leg was slow, second was explosive<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2025: First leg already reclaimed all losses with momentum<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sentiment<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>2021: Heavy retail engagement, meme culture, \u201cto the moon\u201d talk<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2025: Calm tone, low retail presence, more measured participation<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Ask yourself: are conditions in 2025 pointing to a similar crash? Or are traders reacting based on memory, not current structure?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What Traders Need to Enter<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, the market lacks a clean breakout mode (BOM) structure. The inside bar is a start, but one or two more sideways bars are needed.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bulls will not want to see a deep pullback. A 10\u201315% retracement from highs is acceptable, but deeper may weaken the setup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A few more sideways bars would offer:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Clear entry and stop points<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Confirmation that buyers are still active near highs<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A chance for professional bulls to re-enter or scale up<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bearish Outlook<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s little activity from bears on this timeframe. Most participants are long-term holders. They may choose to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sell portions to take profit<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hedge positions using options<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This is not fear-driven, it\u2019s positioning. Bears are not aggressive. They see limited downside, and the price structure supports that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Where might bears aim if they engage?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>$65,000 to $75,000 would be reasonable pullback targets<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>A wide, sideways trading range is more likely than a full-blown crash<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all the weekend reports on the <a class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Bitcoin Bitcoin is up nearly 10% in May, with just one trading day remaining before the monthly close, at the time of writing. This follows a strong April and reinforces the current bullish tone. June marks the final month of Q2, which makes price behavior this month especially important. A strong close could [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7271,"featured_media":239423,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[323,136],"tags":[223,324],"class_list":{"0":"post-239369","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-cryptocurrency","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-bitcoin","10":"tag-cryptocurrency","11":"entry","12":"override","13":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20250530-BITCOIN-REPORT.png","author_info":{"display_name":"Josep","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/cnjoseluis10gmail-com\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239369","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7271"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=239369"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239369\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/239423"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=239369"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=239369"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=239369"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}