{"id":245508,"date":"2025-07-27T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-27T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=245508"},"modified":"2025-07-26T03:54:54","modified_gmt":"2025-07-26T10:54:54","slug":"bitcoin-bulls-weakening-after-stalling-at-resistance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/bitcoin-bulls-weakening-after-stalling-at-resistance\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Bulls Weakening after Stalling at Resistance"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: Bitcoin <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investing.com\/crypto\/bitcoin\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/investing.com\/crypto\/bitcoin\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin <\/a><\/strong>has ended a 4-week bull micro channel this week. Next week marks the monthly bar close. So far this month, price rose about 8%. There&#8217;s a real chance the month closes below its midpoint, raising odds of testing $100,000 in August. Bulls aim for a close near the high to show resilience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> chart of Bitcoin <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORT.png\" alt=\"Weekly Chart of Bitcoin on July 26th 2025\" class=\"wp-image-245619\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORT.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORT-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORT-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORT-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Weekly Chart of Bitcoin on July 26th 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Context and Transition<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin traded in a wide range for eight months in 2024. Breaking above the range high completed a measured move. Early 2025 showed a double-top and strong bear surprise bar, shifting bias to &#8220;always in short&#8221; (expecting downward pressure). Bears expected a second leg down or sideways, but failed due to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Big lower tail on the surprise bar signaling selling exhaustion.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Price re-entering double-top zone and closing breakout gap.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears not gaining control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>12-month moving average overlapping 2024 breakout zone as support.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Shift Back to Long<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Q1 2025 saw a 30% drop from Q4 2024 highs, triggering institutional buys. A High-3 pattern (technical reversal) formed. A strong bull bar closed above 3-month moving average, flipping bias to &#8220;always in long&#8221; (upward bias). Drawdown recovered; price entered bull micro-channel and cup-and-handle pattern. Markets resist quick shifts; rallying from short to bull has edge. First pullbacks in new bull legs rarely reverse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A tight sideways-to-down pause ended with High-2 buy signal two weeks ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">High-2 Mechanics<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>High-2 triggered legitimate entry. Follow-through was weak, but bulls held against Q2 sellers. Buying above all-time high was better entry. Bulls targeted bull breakout to $120,000, achieved last week. Expected profit-taking at $120,000\u2013$123,000 due to monthly measured move resistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bad Follow-Through<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Profit-taking created bad follow-through for bull breakout, undermining momentum. Price likely drifts into trading range in next 9 bars. Reduces odds of cup-and-handle measured move. High odds of pullback this week or next.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pullback and Quality of Bull Breakout<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>This week, price traded below the prior weekly low. Prior bar was bear reversal. Current bar neutral\u2014not bearish or bullish, bad for bulls. Bull leg quality low: 6 bars with only 2 good bull bars, 2 dojis, 2 bear bars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Now<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Market in tight bull channel, but bulls weakening weekly. Bulls need strength: new highs or strong reversal if testing breakout point down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Bull thesis weaker today. No strong bears yet. Without bull strength soon, price may return to $100,000 area.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> chart of Bitcoin <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORTdaily.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORTdaily.png\" alt=\"Daily Chart of Bitcoin on July 26th 2025\" class=\"wp-image-245616\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORTdaily.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORTdaily-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORTdaily-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORTdaily-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Daily Chart of Bitcoin on July 26th 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading Range<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Daily chart in two-month trading range. Bears failed two breakdowns; bulls broke out on third try.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bull Breakout<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Breakout initially strong for bulls. Rally stalled at daily and monthly measured-move targets\u2014typical profit-taking.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Time for Bulls to Assess Strength<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Bulls reached target, now assessing. Bears failed to shift to &#8220;always in short.&#8221; Tuesday&#8217;s &#8220;OO&#8221; setup (bullish in context) failed for bulls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tight Trading Range<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Now a tight trading range, balancing bull\/bear odds. Not good for bulls after failing &#8220;OO&#8221; and trend resumption. Milestone for bears, fail for bulls. Market in Breakout Mode.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">50% Pull Back<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Price hit 50% pullback of bull breakout, reversed back to tight range. No bullish action yet. 50% pullback hints breakout was leg in trading range, not trend start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading Range or Broad Bull Channel<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Market likely in Trading Range or Broad Bull Channel, not Bull Trend. In Broad Bull Channel: scalp shorts at higher highs, buy bottom third for scalp\/swing. Closes most gaps. Selling easier than buying\u2014bears confident, bulls not. Bull breakout of tight range likely fails: either limited (broad bull channel) or starts bear leg (trading range).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading Implications<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Tight trading ranges bad for trades\u2014avoid positioning. Wait for breakout. In context: fade bull breakout (sell high). Strong bear breakout might be sold on close, with scalp room to $105,000 (prior range apex).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: Bitcoin Bitcoin has ended a 4-week bull micro channel this week. Next week marks the monthly bar close. So far this month, price rose about 8%. There&#8217;s a real chance the month closes below its midpoint, raising odds of testing $100,000 in August. Bulls aim for a close near the high to show [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7271,"featured_media":245619,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1904,136],"tags":[223,324],"class_list":{"0":"post-245508","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bitcoin","8":"category-analysis","9":"tag-bitcoin","10":"tag-cryptocurrency","11":"entry","12":"override","13":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20250726-BITCOIN-REPORT.png","author_info":{"display_name":"Josep","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/cnjoseluis10gmail-com\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/245508","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7271"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=245508"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/245508\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/245619"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=245508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=245508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=245508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}