{"id":251972,"date":"2025-10-05T01:39:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-05T08:39:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=251972"},"modified":"2025-10-04T21:57:22","modified_gmt":"2025-10-05T04:57:22","slug":"monthly-eurusd-wedge-pattern","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/monthly-eurusd-wedge-pattern\/","title":{"rendered":"Monthly EURUSD Wedge Pattern"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The market formed a monthly EURUSD wedge pattern (Apr 21, Jul 1, and Sept 17). The bears want the bear trend line and the upper third of the multi-year trading range to be areas of resistance. The bulls want a retest of the September 17 high, even if it only forms a lower high. If there is a pullback, the bulls want the August low area to act as support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD Forex market <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Monthly<\/em> EURUSD Forex chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Monthly-Wedge-Bears-Need-Strong-Bear-Bars.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Monthly-Wedge-Bears-Need-Strong-Bear-Bars-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"EURUSD Monthly - Wedge, Bears Need Strong Bear Bars, Monthly EURUSD Wedge Pattern\" class=\"wp-image-251975\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Monthly-Wedge-Bears-Need-Strong-Bear-Bars-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Monthly-Wedge-Bears-Need-Strong-Bear-Bars-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Monthly-Wedge-Bears-Need-Strong-Bear-Bars-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Monthly-Wedge-Bears-Need-Strong-Bear-Bars-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Monthly-Wedge-Bears-Need-Strong-Bear-Bars.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The September monthly EURUSD candlestick was a bull doji closing below the middle of its range with a long tail above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/no-eurusd-follow-through-selling\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last month<\/a>, we said the market may trade a little higher to retest near the July 1 high. Traders would observe if the bulls could create a retest and breakout, or if the market would trade slightly higher but stall around the July 1 high area instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market broke above the July 1 high, but there was no sustained follow-through buying.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Previously, the bulls had a breakout above the trading range (Apr) with subsequent follow-through buying.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a measured move based on the height of the trading range, which will take the market to the 2021 high area.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move up (since Jan 13 low) is in a tight bull channel, indicating persistent buying.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls want a retest of the September 17 high, even if it only forms a lower high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The overlapping candlesticks in the last 5 months indicate a slight loss of buying momentum.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If there is a pullback, the bulls want the August low area to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears see the rally (Sept 17) as a bull leg and a buy vacuum within the multi-year trading range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the market to form a major lower high (vs Jan 2021 high), followed by a reversal from a wedge pattern (Apr 21, Jul 1, and Sept 17).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want the bear trend line and the upper third of the multi-year trading range to be areas of resistance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create strong consecutive bear bars to show they are back in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The buying pressure since the January low is stronger (tight bull channel) compared to the weaker selling pressure (bear bar with no follow-through selling).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The wedge pattern (Apr 21, Jul 1, and Sept 17) and loss of momentum (overlapping candlesticks) could lead to a pullback within a few months.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bulls can create a retest of the September 17 high, followed by a breakout above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the market continue to stall around the July 1 or September 17 high area, followed by a pullback towards the August low instead?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> EURUSD chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Retest-High-or-20-Week-EMA.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Retest-High-or-20-Week-EMA-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"EURUSD Weekly - No FT Selling, Retest High or 20-Week EMA\" class=\"wp-image-251976\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Retest-High-or-20-Week-EMA-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Retest-High-or-20-Week-EMA-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Retest-High-or-20-Week-EMA-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Retest-High-or-20-Week-EMA-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Retest-High-or-20-Week-EMA.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This week\u2019s candlestick on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/currencies\/eur-usd\" rel=\"noopener\">weekly EURUSD Forex chart<\/a> was a small inside bull bar closing in its upper half with prominent tails.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/minor-eurusd-pullback\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said traders would observe whether the bears could create strong follow-through selling, testing the 20-day EMA, or if the pullback would lack follow-through selling, trading mostly sideways with long tails below candlesticks instead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market traded sideways, and the bears couldn\u2019t create a follow-through bear bar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bears want the upper third of the multi-year trading range, or the May 2021 high, to act as a resistance area. They want the move to form a lower high (vs Jan 2021).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They view the recent move (Sep 17) as a retest of the prior trend&#8217;s extreme high (Jul 1) and want a failed breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal pattern and a wedge pattern (Apr 21, Jul 1, and Sept 17).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must create consecutive bear bars closing near their lows, breaking far below the 20-week EMA, to increase the odds of a reversal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, they want it to stall below the September 17 high, forming a small double top.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls got a larger wedge pattern (Apr 21, Jul 1, and Sept 17), but the breakout above the July 1 high was not strong.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the current move as a pullback and want it to be weak and sideways (long tails below candlesticks, doji(s), overlapping candlesticks).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades lower, they want the 20-week EMA or the August 1 low to act as support, forming a larger double bottom bull flag (with Aug 1).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The bulls need to create strong follow-through buying trading above the July 1 high to increase the odds of a resumption of the trend.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The recent breakout above the July 1 high was not strong.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market has been trading in a tight trading range pattern in the last 12 weeks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The buying pressure is slightly stronger (trending doji(s)), compared to the weaker selling pressure (limited follow-through selling).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will see if the bears can create strong follow-through selling, testing the 20-day EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the pullback continue to lack follow-through selling? If this remains the case, the odds will swing in favor of a retest and breakout above the September 17 high in the weeks ahead.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The market formed a monthly EURUSD wedge pattern (Apr 21, Jul 1, and Sept 17). The bears want the bear trend line and the upper third of the multi-year trading range to be areas of resistance. The bulls want a retest of the September 17 high, even if it only forms a lower high. If [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":251976,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[136],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-251972","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analysis","8":"entry","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/EURUSD-Weekly-No-FT-Selling-Retest-High-or-20-Week-EMA.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/251972","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=251972"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/251972\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/251976"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=251972"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=251972"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=251972"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}