{"id":255527,"date":"2025-11-23T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-23T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=255527"},"modified":"2025-11-22T23:56:51","modified_gmt":"2025-11-23T07:56:51","slug":"e-mini-pullback-to-the-20-week-ema","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/e-mini-pullback-to-the-20-week-ema\/","title":{"rendered":"E-mini Pullback to the 20-Week EMA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Overview: S&amp;P 500 E-mini Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The market formed a <strong>S&amp;P 500 E-mini<\/strong> pullback to the 20-week EMA. Bears will need consecutive bear bars closing near their lows and breaking far below the 20-week EMA to show they are firmly in control. Bulls want the October 10 low and the 20-week EMA to act as support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S&amp;P500 E-mini futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Weekly<\/em> S&amp;P 500 E-mini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Weekly-Test-20-Week-EMA-Bulls-Want-Retest-High.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Weekly-Test-20-Week-EMA-Bulls-Want-Retest-High-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"E-mini Weekly - Test 20-Week EMA, Bulls Want Retest High, E-mini Pullback to the 20-Week EMA\" class=\"wp-image-255669\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Weekly-Test-20-Week-EMA-Bulls-Want-Retest-High-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Weekly-Test-20-Week-EMA-Bulls-Want-Retest-High-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Weekly-Test-20-Week-EMA-Bulls-Want-Retest-High-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Weekly-Test-20-Week-EMA-Bulls-Want-Retest-High-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Weekly-Test-20-Week-EMA-Bulls-Want-Retest-High.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This week\u2019s E-mini candlestick was a bear bar closing in its lower half with a prominent tail below.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/e-mini-overlapping-candlesticks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said traders would watch whether bears could finally create strong follow-through selling \u2014 something they haven\u2019t managed since April \u2014 or if the pullback would continue to lack follow-through (overlapping bars).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears produced a follow-through bear bar testing the 20-week EMA. It is the first streak of four consecutive bear bodies since February.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a reversal from a wedge top (May 19, Jul 31, Oct 29).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They see the 6-week trading range as a final flag in the rally and want a pullback to the October 10 low area or the 20-week EMA. They achieved that this week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They are looking for a TBTL (Ten Bars, Two Legs) pullback lasting several weeks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, they want it to form a lower high major trend reversal, followed by a second leg sideways to down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears will need consecutive bear bars closing near their lows and breaking far below the 20-week EMA to show they are firmly in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls see the current move as a pullback. They want the October 10 low and the 20-week EMA to act as support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest and breakout above the October 29 high, followed by a resumption of the bull trend from a double bottom bull flag (Oct 10 and Nov 21).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The move up since the April 21 low has been a tight bull channel, reflecting persistent buying pressure.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The rally is slightly climactic and overbought; it may need a pullback before continuing higher. That pullback is underway.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, traders will watch the strength of the move. If it is weak \u2014 overlapping bars, long tails above bars, dojis \u2014 and forms a lower high, the odds of a second leg sideways to down from a lower high major trend reversal will increase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, traders will watch whether bears can create stronger follow-through selling and push price below the 20-week EMA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will the pullback stall around the 20-week EMA, followed by a retest of the October 29 high instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>At the moment, odds slightly favor the pullback being minor.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <em>Daily<\/em> S&amp;P 500 E-mini chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Daily-Large-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-Strong-FT-Selling.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"680\" height=\"383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Daily-Large-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-Strong-FT-Selling-680x383.jpg\" alt=\"E-mini Daily - Large DB Bull Flag, Bears Need Strong FT Selling\" class=\"wp-image-255670\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Daily-Large-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-Strong-FT-Selling-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Daily-Large-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-Strong-FT-Selling-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Daily-Large-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-Strong-FT-Selling-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Daily-Large-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-Strong-FT-Selling-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Daily-Large-DB-Bull-Flag-Bears-Need-Strong-FT-Selling.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The market traded slightly lower early in the week, but follow-through selling was limited. On Thursday, it gapped up and tested the 20-day EMA but reversed into a big outside bear bar closing near its low. Friday dipped slightly lower but reversed into a bull bar with prominent tails.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/analysis\/e-mini-overlapping-candlesticks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Last week<\/a>, we said traders would watch whether bears could create more follow-through selling. If the market traded higher, we noted they would watch for the move to stall around the November 12 high and form a double top bear flag, followed by another sideways-to-down leg.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls see the current move as a pullback within the bull trend and want it to remain weak and sideways \u2014 overlapping bars, dojis, long lower tails, and poor bear follow-through.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They hope the pullback has relieved the recent overbought conditions.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls want the October 10 low and the 100-day EMA to act as support. If the market trades lower, they want the 200-day EMA to hold.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They want a retest and breakout above the October 29 high, followed by a continuation of the trend from a wedge bull flag (Nov 7, Nov 18, Nov 21) and a large double bottom bull flag (Nov 7 and Nov 21).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bulls must create strong consecutive bull bars trading above the 20-day EMA to show they are taking back control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bears want a reversal from the large wedge pattern (May 19, Jul 31, Oct 29) and a lower-high major trend reversal (Nov 12).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the market trades higher, bears want it to stall around the 20-day EMA or the November 12 high, forming a larger double top bear flag.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They must produce strong consecutive bear bars closing near their lows and pushing far below the 20-day EMA and the October 10 low to signal that they are decisively in control.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since September, the market has made new all-time highs but with more overlapping ranges \u2014 a sign of increasing two-sided trading and loss of momentum.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders will watch whether bears can create more follow-through selling. If the market trades higher, they will watch for the move to stall around the 20-day EMA or the November 12 high and form a larger double top bear flag, followed by another sideways-to-down leg.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or will bulls generate a strong retest of the all-time high instead?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For now, odds slightly favor the pullback being minor.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trading room<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed E-mini price action real-time each day in the Brooks Trading Course <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Overview: S&amp;P 500 E-mini Futures The market formed a S&amp;P 500 E-mini pullback to the 20-week EMA. Bears will need consecutive bear bars closing near their lows and breaking far below the 20-week EMA to show they are firmly in control. Bulls want the October 10 low and the 20-week EMA to act as [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2836,"featured_media":255669,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[136,1843],"tags":[60],"class_list":{"0":"post-255527","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analysis","8":"category-sp500-emini","9":"tag-sp-emini","10":"entry","11":"override","12":"shadow"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/E-mini-Weekly-Test-20-Week-EMA-Bulls-Want-Retest-High.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Andrew","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/andrewa\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255527","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2836"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=255527"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255527\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/255669"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=255527"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=255527"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=255527"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}