{"id":25858,"date":"2014-07-12T23:04:57","date_gmt":"2014-07-13T06:04:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=25858"},"modified":"2020-02-23T00:36:25","modified_gmt":"2020-02-23T08:36:25","slug":"emini-july-16-2014-second-failed-breakout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/market-update\/emini-july-16-2014-second-failed-breakout\/","title":{"rendered":"Intraday market update, July 16, 2014: second failed breakout"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/ES13-600x430.jpg\" alt=\"Bear leg in trading range day, failed breakout above last week&#039;s high\" width=\"600\" height=\"430\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-26158\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/ES13-600x430.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/ES13-300x215.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/ES13.jpg 902w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">I posted this chart after the close. The Emini sold off again from above last week&#8217;s high. However, the bear trend on the open looked more like a bear leg in what would probably become a trading range, which was the case. The bulls bought the wedge bull flag for the low of the day, and then the Emini became a small pullback bull trend. It closed near the open and formed a doji bar on the daily candle chart.<\/p>\n<p>Posted 8:06 am PST.<br \/>\nThe most important price action in today\u2019s intraday update is the second failed breakout attempt to get above last week&#8217;s high. Last week&#8217;s candle is a breakout pullback buy signal bar. The market gapped above last week&#8217;s high and had a trend reversal down, and it began as a trend from the open bear trend. However, the lack of big consecutive bear trend bars increases the chances that this will be a bear leg in what will probably be mostly a trading range day.<\/p>\n<p>At 7:55 am PST, there was a bear breakout and follow-through, which increases the chances of a measured move down and a test of yesterday&#8217;s close and the 60 minute moving average. However, there was only one strong bear bar all day, and this makes a trading range day more likely. Bulls can wait for a second entry buy or for a strong bull breakout to buy. Bears have to be careful shorting too low because a trading range is likely.<\/p>\n<p>Last week was the first pullback in a 10 bar bull microchannel on the weekly chart. That means that yesterday triggered a weekly high 1 buy signal, and that this week&#8217;s candle on the weekly chart is the entry bar. Yesterday pulled back immediately, but today the bull trend resumed with the gap up and the breakout again above last week&#8217;s high. The big gap up was followed by a small trading range, as is usually the case, and the stock market was in breakout mode.<\/p>\n<p>For traders using the daily or 60 minute chart, today is a great location for a short trade because the stock market is at a double top. The risk is small and the reward is very big, and that more than offsets the low probability. Traders wanting high probability will wait for a strong bear breakout.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bar-by-bar report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">trading room<\/a>, and a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2 day free trial<\/a> is available.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">I sometimes refer to bar numbers (there are 81 five minute bars each day) instead of times on the 5 minute. When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard time (the market opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). Background information on this report can be read on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" title=\"Emini intraday market update\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I posted this chart after the close. The Emini sold off again from above last week&#8217;s high. However, the bear trend on the open looked more like a bear leg in what would probably become a trading range, which was the case. The bulls bought the wedge bull flag for the low of the day, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-25858","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25858","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25858"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25858\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25858"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25858"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25858"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}