{"id":274002,"date":"2026-07-26T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-26T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=274002"},"modified":"2026-07-25T07:42:35","modified_gmt":"2026-07-25T14:42:35","slug":"bitcoin-weekly-high-2-bull-signal-failing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/bitcoin-weekly-high-2-bull-signal-failing\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Weekly High 2 Bull Signal Failing"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Video Report: Bitcoin<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-stackable-video-popup stk-block-video-popup stk-block stk-a0a882a\" data-video=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/Yz_q1hGX1ZQ\" data-block-id=\"a0a882a\"><style>.stk-a0a882a {margin-bottom:23px !important;}<\/style><div class=\"stk-block-video-popup__overlay stk-row stk-inner-blocks stk-block-content stk-hover-parent\" aria-label=\"Play Video\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-stackable-icon stk-block-icon has-text-align-center stk-block stk-fc13844\" data-block-id=\"fc13844\"><span class=\"stk--svg-wrapper\"><div class=\"stk--inner-svg\"><svg style=\"height:0;width:0\"><defs><linearGradient id=\"linear-gradient-fc13844\" x1=\"0\" x2=\"100%\" y1=\"0\" y2=\"0\"><stop offset=\"0%\" style=\"stop-opacity:1;stop-color:var(--linear-gradient-fc-13844-color-1)\"><\/stop><stop offset=\"100%\" style=\"stop-opacity:1;stop-color:var(--linear-gradient-fc-13844-color-2)\"><\/stop><\/linearGradient><\/defs><\/svg><svg data-prefix=\"fas\" data-icon=\"play\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-play fa-w-14\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 448 512\" aria-hidden=\"true\" width=\"32\" height=\"32\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M424.4 214.7L72.4 6.6C43.8-10.3 0 6.1 0 47.9V464c0 37.5 40.7 60.1 72.4 41.3l352-208c31.4-18.5 31.5-64.1 0-82.6z\"><\/path><\/svg><\/div><\/span><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-stackable-image stk-block-image stk-block stk-9ca5ccf\" data-block-id=\"9ca5ccf\"><figure><span class=\"stk-img-wrapper stk-image--shape-stretch\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"stk-img wp-image-273947\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Josep-Capo-Bitcoin-Weekend-Report-YouTube-Thumbnail.jpg\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" alt=\"Bitcoin Weekend Video Report - Josep Capo\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Josep-Capo-Bitcoin-Weekend-Report-YouTube-Thumbnail.jpg 1280w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Josep-Capo-Bitcoin-Weekend-Report-YouTube-Thumbnail-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Josep-Capo-Bitcoin-Weekend-Report-YouTube-Thumbnail-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Josep-Capo-Bitcoin-Weekend-Report-YouTube-Thumbnail-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><\/span><\/figure><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Duration 27:41 mins.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Summary <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/investing.com\/crypto\/bitcoin\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"investing.com\/crypto\/bitcoin\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong> shows a loss of bear momentum after completing two bear legs on the weekly chart, favoring a bull swing. However, daily price action triggers a bear breakout from a wedge top targeting $60,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Transcript<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260726-BITCOIN-REPORT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260726-BITCOIN-REPORT.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin weekly chart broad bear channel\" class=\"wp-image-274064\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260726-BITCOIN-REPORT.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260726-BITCOIN-REPORT-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260726-BITCOIN-REPORT-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260726-BITCOIN-REPORT-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Gaps and Short-Term Control<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Evaluating price gaps provides critical insights into underlying market strength and potential test targets:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Open Bear Body Gap:<\/strong> Following a bear breakout, the market formed a pullback (a bear flag) followed by a subsequent bear breakout. During the retest of the lowest close of this bear flag, bulls failed to close the open bear body gap. This failure demonstrated bear strength and fueled the subsequent leg down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Breakout Point Gap (Closed):<\/strong> Conversely, bulls successfully closed the breakout point gap between the prior low before the pullback and the next breakout. Bulls who bought one tick below or at the low of the bear flag were able to scale in lower as price declined, allowing them to exit their lower entries with a profit and their first entries at breakeven. Because traders recognize that downside potential is limited in these structures, they become less fearful of buying during bear trends, knowing they can scale in to exit profitably or breakeven.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Weak Micro Gap:<\/strong> A three-bar micro gap exists between the low of the first bear bar and the high of the third bar in the pattern. Because the third bar closed as a bull bar rather than a strong bear bar, this micro gap is classified as weak and prone to being closed. A strong bear bar would have signaled high probability for immediate continuation down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Open-of-Bar Gaps:<\/strong> Bulls gained temporary control by closing a bull bar above the open of a prior bear bar. However, bears defended the open of the <strong>Low 1<\/strong> bear bar, preventing bulls from closing above it. As long as bulls cannot close above this open, the likelihood of closing higher gaps remains low, increasing the probability of a downward test.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bear Momentum and Two-Legged Structures<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Markets continuously move in two-legged structures. Analyzing the rhythm and acceleration of these swings reveals key directional clues:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Loss of Bear Momentum:<\/strong> Bears are taking significantly more time to cover less distance. The initial bear breakout was large, followed by a pullback. The subsequent bear breakout was smaller in size and required much more time to unfold. This loss of momentum indicates that bears are losing their strength and hints that a bull leg may be underway.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Completion of Two Bear Legs:<\/strong> Bears completed a two-legged downside structure. Although the second leg did not achieve a full measured move equal to the height of the first, price action traders adhere to the principle that <em>&#8220;close is close enough.&#8221;<\/em> Once price trades sideways long enough, market participants forget prior structures and trade the new price action.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Probability of Next Swing:<\/strong> With a two-legged bear structure complete and bear momentum waning, a bull leg starting is the highest-probability outcome. However, a surprise bear breakout carries a <strong>20% to 30% probability<\/strong>\u2014a notable risk. Should a surprise breakout occur, a second leg in the direction of that surprise would follow.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bull vs. Bear Scenarios on the Weekly Chart<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>The Bear Case:<\/strong> Bears are targeting a measured move down toward the <strong>$50,000 area<\/strong>, based on the height of the prior bull leg. They view the current structure as a <strong>Low 2<\/strong> setup (a double top variant). Bears successfully defended the Low 1 open and are now attempting to force a weekly close that tests the open of the <strong>High 2<\/strong> bull signal bar near the <strong>$60,000 area<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>The Bull Case:<\/strong> Bulls need the Low 2 signal to fail. If bulls can close above the open of the Low 1 bear bar\u2014or trigger the Low 2 and immediately form an outside-up bar closing near its high\u2014the Low 2 will have failed. This would open the path to closing the weak micro gap and testing the major lower high at or above the <strong>$80,000 level<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Traders&#8217; Dilemma:<\/strong> Bulls who bought the High 2 signal bar face disappointing price action. Lacking strong breakout follow-through, there is no high-probability trade for bulls at this exact moment. Professional traders exercise patience, waiting for strong breakout bars with clear follow-through before committing.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Price Action Methodology &amp; Brooks Trading Course<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This technical analysis relies strictly on <strong>Al Brooks Price Action Principles<\/strong>. The goal of price action education is not to copy trades or rely on external signals, but to empower traders to develop independent decision-making systems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Whether day trading futures, swing trading stocks and crypto, or executing income strategies in option markets, price action principles remain universal across all timeframes and financial markets. Understanding core concepts in isolation\u2014and subsequently learning how to interrelate them holistically with trend direction, acceleration, and rhythm\u2014is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/buy-the-brooks-price-action-trading-course\/ref\/4mpfz\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/buy-the-brooks-price-action-trading-course\/ref\/4mpfz\/\">definitive pathway toward consistent trading<\/a> execution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260726-BITCOIN-REPORT-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260726-BITCOIN-REPORT-1.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin daily chart sideways trading range\" class=\"wp-image-274065\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260726-BITCOIN-REPORT-1.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260726-BITCOIN-REPORT-1-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260726-BITCOIN-REPORT-1-680x383.png 680w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260726-BITCOIN-REPORT-1-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Daily Gap Mechanics and Structure<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Breakout Point Gaps &amp; Micro Gaps:<\/strong> The daily chart features an open breakout point gap alongside a strong three-bar micro gap that successfully held on its first test.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>July Price Structure:<\/strong> Price formed two distinct bull legs. Bulls defended the open of a key breakout bull bar during prior bear reversal attempts. However, bears responded by closing nearby short-term bull gaps and testing bull body levels. Bears are currently pushing to test lower boundaries and open bull gaps.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EMA Breakout Mode &amp; Reversal Dynamics<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Breakout Mode at the EMA:<\/strong> Price recently entered a tight trading range (breakout mode) near the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Tight price action at the EMA acts as a 50\/50 setup, typically resolving in a swing away from the moving average.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Wedge Top &amp; Third Failure:<\/strong> Although the tight range had a slight upward bias (forming higher highs and higher lows), bulls repeatedly failed to establish value above the prior high. This marked a <strong>third failure<\/strong> of bull trend continuation, turning the market down from a wedge top at the upper boundary of a bull channel.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Rule of Three Attempts:<\/strong> When the market fails two or three times to push in one direction, traders give up, triggering a test of the opposite boundary.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Immediate Daily Outlook &amp; Risk\/Reward Profile<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bear scalpers taking entries after the breakout and follow-through are operating with smaller position sizes, planning to scale in if pullbacks develop, while bulls must wait for a clear bear reversal failure before re-entering.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Bear Setup in Effect:<\/strong> The daily chart currently favors the bears due to a bear breakout below an inside bar, followed immediately by a bear follow-through bar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Target Area:<\/strong> The high-probability expectation for bears is at least a small second leg sideways to down, targeting the <strong>$60,000 level<\/strong> (where bulls previously defended the open of breakout bull bars) or the low of the major bull leg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Always-In Status &amp; Trader Strategy:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The market is <strong>not yet explicitly Always-In Short<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If bears deliver another strong bear bar (or more small bear bars), it will flip the market to Always-In Short, prompting traders to sell pullbacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Because the market is not yet fully Always-In Short, the probability of a full bear trend remains moderate, but the <strong>reward-to-risk ratio is high<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market analysis reports archive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You can access all weekend reports on the <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">Market Analysis<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Video Report: Bitcoin Duration 27:41 mins. Summary Bitcoin shows a loss of bear momentum after completing two bear legs on the weekly chart, favoring a bull swing. However, daily price action triggers a bear breakout from a wedge top targeting $60,000. Transcript Market Gaps and Short-Term Control Evaluating price gaps provides critical insights into [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7271,"featured_media":273947,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"shadow","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1904,136,241],"tags":[223,1855],"class_list":["post-274002","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin","category-analysis","category-video","tag-bitcoin","tag-failed-high-2","entry","override","shadow"],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Josep-Capo-Bitcoin-Weekend-Report-YouTube-Thumbnail.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Josep","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/cnjoseluis10gmail-com\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/274002","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7271"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=274002"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/274002\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":274074,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/274002\/revisions\/274074"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/273947"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=274002"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=274002"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=274002"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}