{"id":29875,"date":"2014-10-03T13:53:55","date_gmt":"2014-10-03T20:53:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=29875"},"modified":"2014-10-10T13:52:50","modified_gmt":"2014-10-10T20:52:50","slug":"sp500-emini-day-trading-october-4-2014-monthly-sell-signal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/sp500-emini-day-trading-october-4-2014-monthly-sell-signal\/","title":{"rendered":"Emini weekend update: October 11, 2014:  strong bear breakout on daily chart"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>The monthly S&#038;P500 Emini candle closed on Tuesday and created a bear reversal bar<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/es-m-600x260.jpg\" alt=\"The monthly stock market triggered a sell signal for swing trading when it fell below last month&#039;s bear reversal bar\" width=\"600\" height=\"260\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-29892\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/es-m-600x260.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/es-m-300x130.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/es-m.jpg 1322w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The monthly Emini chart triggered a second entry sell signal this week by falling below last month&#8217;s low. It is too early to know what the entry bar will look like when it closes at the end of October.<\/p>\n<p>The monthly Emini has been <a href=\"\/market-analysis\/emini-weekend-update-september-7-2014-weekly-bull-trend-but-overbought\/\">this overbought only three times in the past 20 years<\/a>, and each of those prior times was followed by a reversal of at least 20%. When this week fell below last month&#8217;s low, the Emini triggered a sell signal on the monthly chart. It also did this in August, and that makes this current sell signal a second signal. This increases the chances that the bears will be able to create a pullback that lasts at least a few bars (months). <\/p>\n<p>Since the monthly chart is in such a strong bull trend, the downside is probably limited. However, it should work its way sideways to down to the moving average, which currently is around 1800.<\/p>\n<h2>The weekly S&#038;P500 Emini candle chart had bad follow-through selling after triggering a sell signal 2 weeks ago.<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/es-w-600x292.jpg\" alt=\"The weekly S&amp;P500 EMini chart reversed up at the moving average support, but formed a doji candle in the middle of a trading range\" width=\"600\" height=\"292\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-29893\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/es-w-600x292.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/es-w-300x146.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/es-w.jpg 1202w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The weekly Emini reversed up sharply at the weekly moving average, but formed a doji bar in the middle of a four month trading range.<\/p>\n<p>The weekly Emini chart fell below its moving average, but reversed up to close above the average. With its close near the open, the candle became a big doji bar. It is a trading range bar in the middle of a 4 month trading range. <\/p>\n<h2>The daily S&#038;P500 Emini candle chart had a bear breakout, but bad follow-through<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/es-d-600x254.jpg\" alt=\"The daily chart of the stock market turned up from the 100 and 150 day moving averages for fast money traders and day traders\" width=\"600\" height=\"254\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-29894\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/es-d-600x254.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/es-d-300x127.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/es-d.jpg 1365w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The daily Emini reversed up sharply from a higher low and the 100 and 150 day moving averages, after closing two gaps in August on the daily chart. <\/p>\n<p>Today completed a reversal of Wednesday&#8217;s strong bear trend. However, the Emini is in the middle of a 4 month trading range so the follow-through will probably be bad and result in more sideways trading.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&#038;sub=profile_prefer&#038;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>, and a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a> is available.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Emini intraday market update\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The monthly S&#038;P500 Emini candle closed on Tuesday and created a bear reversal bar The monthly Emini chart triggered a second entry sell signal this week by falling below last month&#8217;s low. It is too early to know what the entry bar will look like when it closes at the end of October. The monthly [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[136],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-29875","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-analysis","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29875","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29875"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29875\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29875"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29875"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29875"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}