{"id":31972,"date":"2014-11-20T07:03:07","date_gmt":"2014-11-20T15:03:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=31972"},"modified":"2015-01-27T00:41:00","modified_gmt":"2015-01-27T08:41:00","slug":"november-20-2014-emini-abc-pullback-and-trend-reversal-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/market-update\/november-20-2014-emini-abc-pullback-and-trend-reversal-up\/","title":{"rendered":"Intraday market update, November 20, 2014: <br \/>ABC pullback and trend reversal up from below the low of yesterday"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"caption\">Posted 7:02 a.m.<\/p>\n<p>The Emini opened with ABC pullback and trend reversal up from below yesterday&#8217;s low (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/how-to-trade-manual\/bar-counting\/\" target=\"_blank\">high 2 bull flag<\/a>). However, the bars were not big and there were prominent tails. Although this might lead to an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/price-action\/10-best-price-action-trading-patterns\/#opening-reversals\" target=\"_blank\">opening reversal<\/a> down at the moving average, the rally is strong enough so that the first reversal down will probably be bought. Today will probably either be a weak bull trend or a trading range. Until the bears create a strong reversal, bulls will continue to look for reasons to buy. Because of the possible trading range, pullbacks can be deep.<\/p>\n<p>The reversal up from below yesterday&#8217;s low created a double bottom with yesterday&#8217;s low. However, the reversal up was not strong initially, which increases the chances of mostly sideways trading for the first hour or so. <\/p>\n<p>Tomorrow is Friday and weekly support and resistance is becoming more important. The most important price is 2049, which is the top of the weekly bull trend channel, and the Emini failed there twice in the past 2 days. <\/p>\n<p>Here are my thoughts before the open. The Emini is at the top of the weeky channel. Although it might break above the channel for 1 &#8211; 5 bars (weeks), there is a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/price-action\/10-best-price-action-trading-patterns\/#channels\" target=\"_blank\">75% chance it will fail<\/a> and then reverse to the bottom of the channel. It can get there by going sideways to down. The minimum objective is a pullback to the middle of the channel and then go sideways to the weekly trendline below. <\/p>\n<p>The Emini might have already topped out. However, it is more likely that it will go sideways to up for several weeks before the correction begins. It might be forming a triangle on the 5 minute chart. This could be the final flag before the weekly reversal begins.<\/p>\n<h2>Day trading outlook for tomorrow\u2019s Emini price action<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/ES13-600x339.jpg\" alt=\"The emini reversed up from a failled breakout below yesterday&#039;s low and now is in breakout mode for trend resumption or trend reversal.\" width=\"600\" height=\"339\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-32306\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/ES13-600x339.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/ES13-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/ES13.jpg 1145w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">I am travelling today and had to post this chart before the close. The Emini is in a trading range after a strong bull reversal from below yesterday&#8217;s low. It is currently above yesterday&#8217;s high and today is an outside up day.<\/p>\n<p>The bulls see the chart as having a wedge bull flag after a strong breakout. The bears see it as being in the early stages of a bear channel after a small double top lower high major trend reversal that formed within the tight trading range. It is in breakout mode. The bulls want trend resumption up to the all-time high. The bears want a trend reversal down to the 60 minute moving average. The breakout might come today, or it might wait for tomorrow.<\/p>\n<p>Tomorrow is a Friday so nearby weekly support and resistance will be magnets, especially at the end of the day. The most important price all week has been 2049, which is the top of the weekly bull trend channel. The all-time high is also a magnet, as is last week&#8217;s high of 2043.25, and this week&#8217;s open of 2033.25. Today&#8217;s low created a 60 minute double bottom, but until there is a breakout up or down, the 60 minute chart is in a 3 day tight trading range.<\/p>\n<h4>Premarket price action analysis<\/h4>\n<p>See yesterday&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/intraday-market-update\/\" title=\u201dIntraday market update articles\u201d >intraday market update<\/a>  report for today&#8217;s premarket analysis. Once there, scroll down to the heading, <em>Day trading outlook for tomorrow&#8217;s Emini price action<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>See the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\">weekly update<\/a> for a discussion of the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&amp;sub=profile_prefer&amp;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>, and a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a> is available.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a title=\"Emini intraday market update\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Posted 7:02 a.m. The Emini opened with ABC pullback and trend reversal up from below yesterday&#8217;s low (high 2 bull flag). However, the bars were not big and there were prominent tails. Although this might lead to an opening reversal down at the moving average, the rally is strong enough so that the first reversal [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-31972","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-market-update","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31972","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31972"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31972\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31972"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31972"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31972"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}