{"id":60486,"date":"2016-11-19T00:30:55","date_gmt":"2016-11-19T08:30:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brookstradingcourse.com\/?p=60486"},"modified":"2016-11-18T22:43:59","modified_gmt":"2016-11-19T06:43:59","slug":"presidential-election-stock-market-rally-is-stalling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/analysis\/presidential-election-stock-market-rally-is-stalling\/","title":{"rendered":"Presidential election stock market rally is stalling<br \/>Emini weekend update: November 19, 2016"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--  MONTHLY EMINI FUTURES CHART  --><\/p>\n<h2>Monthly S&#038;P500 Emini futures candlestick chart: <br \/>President Trump&#8217;s all-time high bull breakout<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/m-2.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/m-2-600x336.png\" alt=\"monthly emini breakout above August high\" width=\"600\" height=\"336\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-60727\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/m-2-600x336.png 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/m-2-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/m-2-768x430.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The monthly S&#038;P500 Emini futures candlestick chart formed an outside bar this month after a 4 month pullback from a new high. <\/p>\n<p>The monthly S&#038;P500 Emini futures candlestick chart currently has an outside up month. The bulls want the month to close above last month&#8217;s high. This would therefore be an additional sign of strength.<\/p>\n<p>The 4 month pullback from the August high was a bull flag. The odds therefore favor at least a little more up. Yet, the monthly chart is in a 4 month tight trading range. This limits the chances for a big bull breakout. Furthermore, it increases the chances that the Emini will be mostly sideways for at least one more month.<\/p>\n<h3>What do the bears need for a monthly sell signal?<\/h3>\n<p>If December is an inside bar, it would create an ioi Breakout Mode setup. If it is a bull bar, the bulls would be more inclined to buy above December&#8217;s high. Hence, they would be looking for at least one more month up.<\/p>\n<p>Yet, the bears want December to be reversal bar. If December trades above November, the bears will try to create a bear reversal bar. If December is an inside bar, the bears will try to make it close on its low. In the absence of a strong sell signal bar, most bear will not sell on a stop below December&#8217;s low.<\/p>\n<p><!--  WEEKLY EMINI FUTURES CHART  --><\/p>\n<h2>Weekly S&#038;P500 Emini futures candlestick chart: <br \/>Follow-through buying after last week&#8217;s breakout<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/w-3.png\"  target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/w-3-600x336.png\" alt=\"Weekly emini breakout of wedge bull flag\" width=\"600\" height=\"336\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-60728\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/w-3-600x336.png 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/w-3-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/w-3-768x431.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The weekly S&#038;P500 Emini futures candlestick chart had a bull body this week. Bulls therefore see this week as an acceptable follow-through bar.<\/p>\n<p>The weekly S&#038;P500 Emini futures candlestick chart this week had a bull body. While the bar was not a strong bull trend bar, the bull body increases the chances of higher prices over the next couple of weeks. The odds would have been better if this week was a big bull trend bar.<\/p>\n<p>Yet, it is still possible for next week to reverse this week. The bears want to create a big bear trend bar next week. Furthermore, they want it to close on its low and at or below this week&#8217;s low. They would then increase the chance of a higher high major trend reversal on the weekly chart. <\/p>\n<p>Because last week was such a big bull bar and this week was a consecutive bull bar, the Emini will probably go at least a little higher. This is true even if next week is a bear sell signal bar. If it is, there will probably be more buyers than sellers below its low.  <\/p>\n<p><!--  DAILY EMINI FUTURES CHART  --><\/p>\n<h2>Daily S&#038;P500 Emini futures candlestick chart:<br \/>Presidential election stock market rally is stalling<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/d-2.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/d-2-600x334.png\" alt=\"daily emini small wedge top\" width=\"600\" height=\"334\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-60729\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/d-2-600x334.png 600w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/d-2-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/d-2-768x427.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">The daily S&#038;P500 Emini futures candlestick chart made a new all-time high this week. Additionally, it is in an 8 bar bull micro channel. Yet, the bears see the rally was an 8 day wedge.<\/p>\n<p>The daily S&#038;P500 Emini futures candlestick chart broke to a new high and has an 8 day bull micro channel. While the 8 day channel has lacked big consecutive bull bars, it was strong enough so that bulls will buy the 1st reversal down.<\/p>\n<p>Because the 8 day rally had 3 pushes up, it is a wedge top. Yet, when a wedge top is also a tight bull channel, it usually is a minor top. As a result, bulls will buy the reversal down. Furthermore, bears will be hesitant to sell below bars until after at least a couple big bear days. Therefore, while the rally will probably pull back next week, the pullback will likely create a bull flag. Hence, the odds still favor higher prices, even if a couple small legs down follow the small wedge top.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><!--  FOOTER TEXT AND LINKS  --><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Traders can see the end of the day <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/profile.php?mode=profil&#038;sub=profile_prefer&#038;mod=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bar-by-bar price action report by signing up<\/a> for free at BrooksPriceAction.com. I talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time throughout the day in the BrooksPriceAction.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/online-day-trading-room\/\" target=\"_blank\">trading room<\/a>. We offer a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookspriceaction.com\/portal.php?page=11\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2 day free trial<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">When I mention time, it is USA Pacific Standard Time (the Emini day session opens at 6:30 am PST, and closes at 1:15 pm PST). You can read background information on the intraday market reports on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/blog\/market-update\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Emini intraday market update\">Intraday Market Update<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Monthly S&#038;P500 Emini futures candlestick chart: President Trump&#8217;s all-time high bull breakout The monthly S&#038;P500 Emini futures candlestick chart formed an outside bar this month after a 4 month pullback from a new high. The monthly S&#038;P500 Emini futures candlestick chart currently has an outside up month. The bulls want the month to close above [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"shadow","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[136],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-60486","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-analysis","7":"entry","8":"has-post-thumbnail","9":"override"},"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"Al","author_link":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/author\/albrooks\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60486","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60486"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60486\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60486"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60486"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brookstradingcourse.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60486"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}